Morning Brew - ☕️ Test case

How a former P&G exec is helping take the risks out of CPG launches.
Morning Brew July 12, 2022

Retail Brew

Wunderkind

Good day. According to a couple of fresh estimates, US e-commerce sales will cross the $1 trillion threshold by the end of this year. It’s no mystery that Amazon is doing its part today.

In today’s edition:

Erin Cabrey, Jeena Sharma

CPG

Run the risk

Dustin on Stranger Things saying "never tell me the odds." Stranger Things/Netflix via Giphy

When it comes to new CPG products, it’s survival of the fittest. About 30,000 new items—enough to fill an entire grocery store—debut every year, but just 30% actually notch growth two years post-launch (or just keep them steady), per NielsenIQ.

Bold Strategies, an e-commerce strategy and services firm, wants to help companies beat the odds with BoldLabs, a new division that it debuted in May.

  • Its Digital Test Market service does what the name suggests: It tests a brand’s new products online first—be it on Amazon’s or Walmart’s marketplaces, or a custom Shopify site—tweaking prices and marketing over several weeks to six months to find the perfect formula for a wider launch.
  • It already works with 30+ brands to help introduce new items to shoppers.

“At the end of the day, what you’re trying to do is, you’re trying to delight consumers, right? And you’re trying to give them something that they like better,” said Horacio Trevino, the CPG industry vet heading up BoldLabs.

But there’s a lot of potential risk associated with a wide launch of new products—the cost of manufacturing, the marketing dollars, and the bad taste (literal or metaphorical) left in the consumers’ mouths by a not-so-great product.

  • Trevino understands the process, having spent 20+ years at Procter & Gamble, including leading marketing for the $9 billion biz at its US Walmart stores.

“You can also affect your retail relationships,” he told Retail Brew. “If it doesn’t go well, the Walmarts of the world could be like, ‘Hey, your brand is not working.’”

Trial run

There are two “old ways” of testing products:

  • Quantitative simulations using claimed purchase data—basically, asking consumers if they’d pay $34.99 for X product—or…
  • Testing in secondary in-store placements, a move that’s costly, slow, or could have geographical bias based on where you choose to test, Trevino noted.

BoldLabs is taking a slightly different approach, with a playbook that includes three steps: “assess, build, and grow,” according to Trevino.

First, it takes a company’s product and evaluates factors like category, size, competitors, and pricing. Then, it offers “recommendation for differentiation,” he explained—be it another flavor or price point—to create a product listing.

“We become your e-commerce department or, in this case, e-commerce innovation department,” he said.

Click here to keep reading.—EC

        

TOGETHER WITH WUNDERKIND

Accelerate your revenue through loyalty

Wunderkind

Are customers falling out of love with your brand? Low customer engagement due to a lack of personalization in your one-to-one messaging could be the problem. 

Wunderkind is here to help you captivate your fans and drive unmatched revenue.

Wunderkind’s 2022 Consumer Outlook Report lays out simple, actionable steps for creating customer loyalty opportunities that increase revenue:

  • Emphasize core values. When they’re central to your messaging, customers notice, connect, and align with your brand.
  • Consider personalization and custom experiences. Invest in retention using one-to-one messaging and reactivation using first-party data to grow your audience. 
  • Stay relevant. Using first-party data, strategic segmentation, and personalized messaging is the best way to reach and keep your most valuable customers.

Above all, put honesty and transparency first. Create authentic experiences that stand out from the crowd. 

Get the full report from Wunderkind here.

FUNDING

Cash cow

Man holding iPad displaying dairy supply chain stats Milk Moovement

Milk has quite the journey from the farm to your cereal bowl, and with the help of new funding, one (aptly named) company is hoping to make it as smooth as possible.

Milk Moovement, a cloud-based dairy supply-chain software platform, today announced it secured $20 million in Series A funding, led by VMG Catalyst.

  • The company closed a $3.1 million seed round in April 2021.

CEO and co-founder Robert Forsythe told Retail Brew the company is working to streamline the “bare bones” dairy-supply chain, where stakeholders across farming, trucking, lab testing, and processing plants each use their own systems (which, in some cases, is “pen and paper”).

“No one can actually really agree on how much milk is in transit at any given time, or what’s the value of that milk, or how many trucks are on the way to one plant because everyone’s using a different software,” Forsythe said.

  • With experience in gas and oil supply chain, he teamed up with Milk Moovement’s co-founder and chief product officer, Jon King, previously a technical support analyst for a Canadian dairy co-op, to start the company in 2018.

Moo-ving forward: Milk Moovement offers tools from route tracking and quality monitoring to producer payment. It currently works with 2,500 dairy farms, like United Dairymen of Arizona and California Dairies, and manages 30 billion pounds of raw milk—that’s 15% of the US dairy market—annually, it noted in a release. It’s seen its revenue grow 10x over the past year, Forsythe said, but declined to share specific figures.

  • The startup will use new funding to add 20+ new employees to its 55-person team, particularly in engineering, Forsythe noted.
  • He added he hopes to hit 5,000 dairy farm users and 50 billion pounds of raw milk managed this year.

Spilled milk: The company also aims to limit food waste and profit loss, he said. Milk has about 72 hours to go from cow to a CPG company’s processing plant, so if there’s change in demand or a back-up at a plant, the supply chain can be flexible, Forsythe noted.

“These CPG companies have the data—they know whether Greek yogurt is going to spike in three months,” he said. “But unfortunately, the supply chain isn’t able, at this point, to meet that changing demand quickly. And that’s what we believe we can do.”—EC

        

INVENTORY

Stuffed

Warehouse excess inventory Francis Scialabba

Remember when out-of-stock messages were the norm as retailers struggled to get products due to supply-chain challenges? Well, companies big and small are now tackling a different issue: excess inventory.

From Walmart to Target to Gap, retailers are hard pressed to find a solution, as consumer spending has dropped due to inflation and shopping habits have shifted as people go back to the Before Times.

Enter: Liquidity Services, a B2B online marketplace for returned and overstocked goods. With seven distribution facilities across North America, the company today opened its eighth in Hebron, Kentucky, as it sees an uptick in surplus stuff and e-comm returns since the pandemic.

  • Liquidity’s stock ranges from clothing to furniture to electronics, and more.
  • It currently handles and resells five to 10 million units a month—its buyers are mostly discount retailers and eBay resellers—with its peak season being post-holiday returns.

“Usually our facilities are maxed out during the winter,” Jeff Rechtzigel, VP of retail at Liquidity Services, told Retail Brew. “Then this time of year, they slow down a bit until the holiday season kicks back in. We haven’t seen that slowdown this year; we’ve been running very high output all the way through the holidays until now.”—JS

        

FROM THE CREW

Morning Brew House Ads (Growth)

Mind your business: Morning Brew’s Business Casual podcast, that is. Join journalist Nora Ali as she chats with creators, thinkers, and innovators about today’s biggest and most significant business stories, what they mean, and why you should care. Listen here.

SWAPPING SKUS

Today’s top retail reads.

Mixed bag: How self-checkout became so ubiquitous even though it has so few fans. “The rationale was economics-based, and not focused on the customer,” said Sylvain Charlebois of Nova Scotia’s Dalhousie University. “From the get-go, customers detested them.” (CNN)

Jean mapping: American Eagle steps up its logistics operations, which may eclipse its clothing business someday. (Business of Fashion)

Tossing and returning: The challenge of finding sustainable solutions when it comes to returning big, bulky mattresses. (Retail Dive)

to brand loyalty: Building trust with consumers during Black Friday, Cyber Monday, and beyond starts with honesty and authenticity. Wunderkind’s Market Outlook Report breaks down ways to drive customer loyalty and increase revenue. Get the insights here.*

*This is sponsored advertising content.

EVENTS

FOMO

FOMO

Introducing Retail Brew’s newest debut ::drumroll:: The Sku: A Retail Brew Summit. FOMO is real, friends.

Here’s what’s on the agenda:

  • Meeting demand and maximizing profit
  • Managing your organization across channels
  • Creating omni-channel engagement with customer journeys
  • Sustainability: who is doing what and how?
  • Using technology to drive sales

Early-bird pricing ends soon! Register now to save your seat (and some $$). Only $499 for a limited time!

WHAT ELSE IS BREWING

  • Peloton will stop manufacturing its own exercise equipment and outsource the job to a new company.
  • Gap CEO Sonia Syngal left her role after more than two years, as the retailer’s sales struggled.
  • PepsiCo’s Q2 revenue beat estimates while the company raises prices on its drinks and snacks.
  • Klarna’s valuation plummeted 85% to $6.7 billion following a new $800 million funding round.
  • Sephora said it is selling its Russian biz; it has 88 stores in the country.

TIME MACHINE

Amazon Prime Day Truck Giphy

What happened in the world of retail this week in…1937 and beyond? Retail Brew takes you way, way, way back.

Are you primed for all the retail history we’re about to drop?

  • On July 12, 1976, Sol and Robert Price opened the first Price Club—the warehouse chain that would would merge with Costco in 1993—in a remodeled San Diego airplane hangar, which is now Costco warehouse #401.
  • On July 13, 1937, Krispy Kreme began selling its donuts in Winston-Salem, North Carolina.
  • On July 15, 1997, Italian fashion designer Gianni Versace was shot and killed outside his mansion in Miami Beach, Florida. He was 50 years old.
  • Also on July 15, but in 2015, Amazon held its first Prime Day, which, back then, was just one day, across nine countries. Among the most popular items sold (that will really bring you back)? Unrated edition Blu-rays of Fifty Shades of Grey, of which 12,000 were snapped up.

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Written by Erin Cabrey and Jeena Sharma

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