Real wages drop by fastest rate on record

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17th August 2022

Bite-sized business news from the UK and beyond
Good morning If you’re looking for a home and like the certainty of knowing what your mortgage payments will be for a really long time then a new product from digital startup Perenna could be of interest. Yesterday the newest player in the UK lending market was granted a licence by the financial regulator to offer mortgages with fixed rates of up to 50 years.
Today's stories
  • Real wages drop by fastest rate on record
  • British companies in takeover talks with US investors
ECONOMY
Real wages drop by fastest rate on record


What happened?
Average pay when adjusted for inflation was down 3% in the three months to June, according to data released from the ONS yesterday. That’s the biggest drop since records began in 2001.

The rising cost of living has been the main economic story of 2022
Inflation in June reached a 40-year-high of 9.4% driven by the soaring cost of essentials like food and fuel. 
  • The price cap on energy bills is expected to triple between January and October to £3,500 for the average household.
  • Grocery inflation was 12% over the last 4-weeks, its highest level since the financial crisis in 2008. This has contributed to more households turning to cheaper alternatives, with own-label supermarket brands now making up c.52% of overall grocery spending, a 7.3% increase according to Kantar research. 
But for the average worker, pay hasn’t kept up with inflation leading to a fall in purchasing power and living standards.

The Bank of England has warned against pay increases in line with inflation
The central bank – which has raised interest rates five times this year to try to control inflation - is worried that the cost to employers of higher wages will be passed on to consumers in the price of goods and services. Which then feeds inflation further and ultimately more wage rises a so-called ‘wage-price’ spiral that could lead to uncontrollable levels of inflation.

Looking ahead: Worker purchasing power will likely get worse before it gets better. Later today the latest inflation numbers are expected to show that prices climbed further in July, in spite of higher interest rates, to close to double digits for the first time since the 1980s. The Bank of England has consistently raised its inflation forecasts this year and now expects a peak of 13% in October.
Other stories to keep you in the loop
  • UK job vacancies fall for the first time in two years
  • Cost of living: supermarket Iceland to offer interest-free loans to customers
  • Ryanair ups Stansted flights over 'hopeless' Heathrow passenger cap
  • Apple tells staff to come into the office for at least three days a week
  • Watches of Switzerland sales jump as luxury demand remains buoyant
  • Ex-Manchester United director in talks to takeover club
  • China’s economy slows unexpectedly as Covid outbreaks and property crisis bite
TAKEOVERS
British companies in takeover talks with US investors


What happened?
Cybersecurity firm Darktrace and fashion retailer Ted Baker are both at the centre of takeover bids by American buyers.

Just over a year after debuting on the London stock market, Darktrace could be heading for private ownership. Yesterday the firm, founded in 2013 by former intelligence agents and maths professors, announced it was in early stage talks with US private equity firm Thoma Bravo for a takeover.

Darktrace uses artificial intelligence to detect cyberattacks in large companies, its clients include the likes of Coca Cola and Rolls Royce. The rise of hacking has made cybersecurity a top priority for many businesses and Darktrace has benefited, revenues have more than doubled to $200m in the past two years.

Next steps: Thoma Bravo will have until 12 September to make a formal offer or walk away.

Yesterday Ted Baker confirmed it would be taken over by Authentic Brands Group – the US owner of Reebok and Juicy Couture brands - for £211m.

It marks a major decline in fortunes for the British retailer known for its formal and occasion wear. Only four years ago the company was worth £1bn but since then has battled a series of challenges:
  • There was a £58m accounting error discovered in January 2020.
  • Chief Executive and founder Ray Kelvin left the business in March 2019 following misconduct allegations, that he denied.
  • The retailer was slow out the gate selling online which meant it wasn’t prepared for the boom in ecommerce during the pandemic.
Next steps: Authentic Brands said it "believes Ted Baker is a distinctive British lifestyle brand with a rich, authentic heritage and strong worldwide customer recognition" and it "will be a good custodian" of the name. It also added that it believes there’s “significant growth opportunities” for the brand in North America.
Stat of the day

Each episode of HBO's new Game of Thrones spin-off "House of the Dragon" costs around $20m to make
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