Climate change plans – courtesy of Big Oil

+ why swatting a fly is so hard ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌

President Joe Biden on Tuesday signed what’s being heralded as the nation’s most ambitious climate bill ever. The new law, which also includes spending on health care and tax measures, aims to push the U.S. closer to its pledge to cut greenhouse gas emissions in half by 2030. It contains about $370 billion in climate and energy investments, largely in renewable energy and energy efficiency.

But how do policymakers actually determine the best ways to decarbonize economies? As strange as it may sound, some of the most influential decarbonization roadmaps come from the companies considered responsible for that carbon in the first place – namely, oil giants like BP and Shell. Many policymakers and investors rely on them because the companies also happen to know the energy industry best.

Although these roadmaps are often described as consistent with the international Paris climate agreement, a new study led by University of Dayton Professor Bob Brecha finds they actually fail to meet its goals. The analysis showed that following their scenarios would lead to higher temperatures and rising risks.

Also today:

Stacy Morford

Environment + Climate Editor

BP, Shell and Equinor all produce widely used scenarios of energy’s future. Christopher Furlong/Getty Images

Influential oil company scenarios for combating climate change don’t actually meet the Paris Agreement goals, our new analysis shows

Robert Brecha, University of Dayton; Gaurav Ganti, Humboldt University of Berlin

Most claiming to be compatible with the climate agreement show a strong continuing reliance on natural gas and coal.

Ethics + Religion

  • What is a fatwa?

    Myriam Renaud, DePaul University

    The attack on Salman Rushdie promptly led to speculation if the attacker had been influenced by the 1989 fatwa against the author. A scholar explains that a fatwa rarely calls for death.

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