Morning Brew - ☕️ Storage shortage

The battery crunch comes for everyone.
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Morning Brew August 22, 2022

Emerging Tech Brew

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Happy Monday. Why not start the week with some friendly competition? The company that refers the highest number of its employees to this newsletter over the next 24 hours will win a happy hour, pizza party, escape room—or whatever other team-building activity you want—on us.

Here’s what you have to do: Use your referral code to share this newsletter with a coworker, and your team will have the chance to win. That’s it—we’ll handle the tabulation. The more referrals your company racks up, the higher your team ranks.

The competition closes at 5pm ET tomorrow (just in time for happy hour*).

In today’s edition:

Solar companies are navigating the battery crunch, too
The ever-shifting saga of semiconductors
Coworking

Grace Donnelly, Dan McCarthy

BATTERIES

Storage shortage

Storage shortage Sunrun

Sunrun, the largest residential solar installer in the US, is experiencing a challenge that has, thus far, mostly been reserved for automakers.

While the US solar tariff saga caused headaches for Sunrun’s solar-panel inventory in the second quarter, it’s batteries that are actually a limiting factor on the company’s growth, executives said during the company’s Q2 earnings call on August 3.

  • Sunrun saw 33% growth in new solar installations in the second quarter compared with 2021.
  • Rising utility costs and incentives from the Inflation Reduction Act are expected to contribute to continued strong demand from US customers, CEO Mary Powell said.

That said...Even as an industry leader, Sunrun’s ability to grow its energy storage business is limited by the fact that there just aren’t enough batteries. Sunrun has installed more than 42,000 solar and battery systems in the US to date, but it can’t keep up with the number of customers asking for energy storage.

“If we look at the demand for storage, I think it far outpaces the supply that we have of batteries. If we look at the volume growth rate in our storage customers, that has been robust—far outpacing the overall growth in the business,” CFO Danny Abajian said during the earnings call.

Big picture: Demand for behind-the-meter energy storage has grown from 3 gigawatt hours in 2018 to 9 GWh last year, Rho Motion research shared with Emerging Tech Brew.

By 2030, it expects the market to grow by more than 10x to reach over 100 GWh.

Read on about how solar installers are navigating booming battery demand.GD

        

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SEMICONDUCTORS

The many-faced chip crisis

The many-faced chip crisis Hquality Video/Getty Images

The semiconductor market continues to be, in a word, thorny. The industry is now reportedly bracing for a downturn due to an oversupply of chips—aka the exact opposite of the challenge it’s dealt with for the last few years.

  • Christopher Danely, an analyst at Citigroup, told Bloomberg he expects the coming semiconductor downturn to be “the worst in at least a decade, and possibly two.”

That would be a huge reversal in fortune for chipmakers: Global semiconductor revenue and units shipped both surged to record-highs last year. Meanwhile, Gartner recently slashed its growth projection for this year from 13% to 7%, the Financial Times reported, and now expects that semiconductor sales will shrink 2.5% in 2023.

The reason? As Bloomberg noted, it’s notoriously difficult for the semiconductor industry to reach the hallowed ground of supply-demand equilibrium, in large part because it takes so long to build new capacity.

The industry is seeing that play out now. Just as global chipmakers have begun ramping up production to deal with the almost two-year-strong shortage situation, consumers are beginning to pare back big purchases, causing manufacturers to cut demand for chips.

  • In February, there was enough global semiconductor inventory for ~1.2 months of production, per VLSI data cited by the FT.
  • By July, there was 1.7 months’ worth—a 42% increase.

Big picture: As another reminder of how complex the situation is, some customers (e.g., automakers) are still struggling to get the specific chips they need, per Bloomberg, even despite the glut.

Click here to read on-site.DM

        

TOGETHER WITH BLACKROCK ISHARES

BlackRock iShares

Wheels up on EV stocks. EVs are the fastest-growing car segment, tripling their share of the global car market since 2019. EVs could also experience accelerated demand from the Inflation Reduction Act, which includes tax credits, government EV purchases, and grants for EV facilities. Now may be the time to consider investing in electric and autonomous vehicles with iShares ETFs.

        

READER SPOTLIGHT

Coworking with…Chris Williams

Coworking with…Chris Williams Chris Williams

Coworking is a weekly segment where we spotlight Emerging Tech Brew readers who work with emerging technologies. Click here if you’d like a chance to be featured.

How would you describe your job to someone who doesn’t work in tech?

As the General Manager and CPO of iHeartRadio, I heavily influence the product vision and prioritize what type of digital products and features we build. I lead a team of talented technology experts that work to innovate and invent delightful ways to discover and consume audio content that our audience will love.

What’s your favorite emerging tech project you’ve worked on?

We just launched a new feature within iHeartRadio that allows radio and podcast listeners to participate with their favorite shows directly within the iHeartRadio App. TalkBack is the feature and it allows you to tap on a mic, record your comments and feedback directly through the app, and then resume playback automatically for the least amount of interruption. Your voice is then sent directly to the studio for the host of the station or podcast to include it in their show.

What’s the best piece of tech-related media you’ve read/watched/listened to?

I love the podcasts Tech Stuff, Brand Wars, and How I Built This—not always 100% tech, but they delve into tech matters [like] head-to-head battles and the how and why behind some fascinating tech stories.

One thing we can’t guess from your LinkedIn profile?

I paid off my student loans back in the day as a cyber-squatter. I bought and sold domains to companies that failed to register them prior to launching.

        

BITS AND BYTES

worker in copper cable factory Monty Rakusen/Getty Images

Stat: In 2030, the world’s supply of copper—which is absolutely key for rolling out climate tech—may only be enough to meet 80% of the demand, per the IEA.

Quote: “It’s your boss’s voice. It sounds like the person you talk to every day.”—Nick Giacopuzzi, senior consultant at StoneTurn, about the increasingly popular audio deepfake attacks hitting businesses

Read: We might be getting closer to the second iteration of the foldable phone.

Learn: Learn how to start building your empire with Learning Brew’s Business Essentials Accelerator. Apply here today.

WHAT ELSE IS BREWING

  • The Biden administration, hot on the heels of signing the CHIPS Act, is reportedly now trying to clamp down on the export of advanced chip-making tools to China.
  • Life Extension Ventures is a new $100 million venture fund dedicated to startups focused on “longevity for people and planet.”
  • Snap is killing its selfie drone just a few months after announcing it.
  • Tiktok and Meta may be able to see user behavior—including clicks, screenshots, and passwords—on in-app browsers.
  • Silicon Valley transformed this zip code into one of the country’s richest.
  • Samsung started building a $15 billion semiconductor R&D center in South Korea.
  • On September 29, we’re (virtually) convening hundreds of business leaders and innovators to discuss pressing technologies across food, energy, and health. You can now join the event and hear from speakers including Mark Cuban for zero cost. Click here to RSVP.

TRIVIA

News quiz branding Francis Scialabba

Another week, another chance to get 5/5 on our news quiz. Click here to play.

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Written by Grace Donnelly and Dan McCarthy

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