Morning Brew - ☕ Deepfake detectors

Meet the company working with the Air Force to detect deepfakes
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Morning Brew August 24, 2022

Emerging Tech Brew

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It’s Wednesday. Around this time 20 years ago, Google was the dark horse of search engines—it suddenly jumped to the fourth most-popular website on the internet, trailing only AOL, MSN, and Yahoo.

But not all were convinced it could leapfrog the OG internet giants. In September 2002, the Los Angeles Times wrote, “Google doesn’t have AOL, MSN, or Yahoo’s advantage of being the default home page for Internet providers and Web browsers, nor does it offer their breadth of services.”

Fast-forward to 2022, and Google can make us collectively lose our minds by changing the Gmail font.

In today’s edition:

Inside DeepMedia’s deepfake-detection business

Amid the semiconductor slump, chip design powers on

Reader poll: Green jobs edition

Hayden Field, Dan McCarthy

AI

Detector Gadget

Illustration and interpretation of a deepfake detector Francis Scialabba

Two of the ways DeepMedia makes money: by creating deepfakes and by detecting them.

Rijul Gupta, a former machine learning engineer, co-founded the Bay Area startup in 2017 with Emma Brown as a way to communicate in Hindi with his extended family. The tool they built, DubSync, currently allows someone to appear to be speaking any one of 10 languages, using translation, vocal synthesis, dubbing, and facial animation.

Now, the company claims it’s working with some of the biggest names in streaming, but would not share specific clients or partnerships. According to Gupta, it’s currently on track to generate between $300,000 and $500,000 in revenue this year.

Diving into detection

In the years since DeepMedia’s debut, the team—now a group of about 20—has also begun pursuing its other mission: detecting synthetic audio and video. And they’re doing it via partnerships, including one with the Air Force Research Laboratory, the division’s primary science R&D arm and part of the Department of Defense. Announced in April, the grant involves developing deepfake detectors for faces, voices, and aerial imagery. One of the ways DeepMedia trains these detector tools is by constantly creating datasets of advanced deepfakes, using the company’s own generation tools.

How it works: The company’s AI detection process starts with a lot of pre-processing steps. Say you uploaded a video that seemed to feature President Biden and wanted to check its authenticity: First, the models would need to detect the president’s face in that video, analyze facial landmarks, pick out the voice and extract it from background noise, and more—all before the deepfake detection begins.

  • Next, the content is run through a series of detectors, including a binary classifier of real versus fake for both video and audio. Finally, the content is examined by convolutional neural networks, which attempt to pick out which algorithm, or algorithms, were used to create a deepfake.

As of now, Gupta said, the company’s deepfake detectors work at about 95% accuracy across “most deepfake modalities on synthetic faces, voices, and aerial imagery.” He said the company won’t release them until they’re at 99% accuracy.

Read the full story here.—HF

        

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SEMICONDUCTORS

Testing, testing...

Semiconductors Francis Scialabba

As some analysts fear the “worst semiconductor downturn” in a decade, Synopsys—a leader in chip design and testing software—is trending in a different direction.

The company specializes in electronic design automation (EDA) software, which allows semiconductor engineers to test out chip designs and run through the manufacturing process. For its fiscal Q3 2022, Synopsys reported above-target revenue of $1.25 billion, up 18% year over year—with projections to finish the year with revenue growth of more than 20%.

Serious growth

Cadence, another EDA company based in the San Francisco Bay Area, reported its most recent quarterly earnings in July, with $858 million in revenue—up 17.8% year over year, according to a recent release. And Siemens, the German industrial manufacturing giant, reported “double-digit growth” in its EDA business last quarter, though it did not break out that sector’s revenue under its “digital industries” umbrella.

“Based on this strength and confidence in our business, we are raising guidance for the full year—we expect to…pass the $5 billion milestone,” Aart de Geus, chairman and CEO of Synopsys, said on its latest earnings call.

Big picture: After a period of record-high demand, the sudden semiconductor slump has spread to chipmakers like TSMC, Samsung, Micron, Nvidia, Intel, and AMD, with reports of excess inventory for some products, shortages for others, and an overall decrease or standstill in demand. On ASML’s earnings call, for instance, executives described supply-chain constraints and delayed revenue.

When faced with similar questions on Synopsys’s earnings call, de Geus said chip research and development is especially insulated against market ups and downs.

  • “The design activities typically don’t mirror immediately what happens in the market because the market is really a function of the end sales, i.e., the quantity of chips being sold,” he said. “R&D is very stable against that. And more often than not, when there’s a flat period, or even a downturn, people invest in R&D to make sure that they have differentiation coming out of it.”

On Cadence’s most recent earnings call, Anirudh Devgan, president and CEO, seemed to echo the sentiment, emphasizing that despite “macroeconomic uncertainties,” customers are “relentlessly investing in their next-generation innovation.”

Read the full story here.—HF

        

TOGETHER WITH BLACKROCK ISHARES

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Wheels up on EV stocks. EVs are the fastest-growing car segment, tripling their share of the global car market since 2019. EVs could also experience accelerated demand from the Inflation Reduction Act, which includes tax credits, government EV purchases, and grants for EV facilities. Now may be the time to consider investing in electric and autonomous vehicles with iShares ETFs.

        

FROM YOU

Reader poll: Green jobs edition

image of renewable energy sources and other climate tech Francis Scialabba

Last week, our snap poll took inspiration from the scores of LinkedIn-fluencers out there and decided to ask you about your career path.

Specifically…We asked whether you had thought about switching into a role related to the energy transition, or if you already worked in one.

  • Precisely one-third (33%) of our nearly 800 respondents said yes, while the remaining 67% said no.
  • The question was prompted by the signing of the Inflation Reduction Act, which one estimate found could create up to 1.5 million clean-energy jobs by 2030.

Big picture: Those who are considering switching into a climate-related job are not alone. Tech workers in particular have been keen to switch into the field, motivated by the urgency of the climate crisis.

Since its founding in 2020, climate-job website Climatebase says 600,000 people have used it, CNBC reports, while Work On Climate has grown its Slack channel for climate job-hunters to 10,000 users, up 4x in the last year.—DM

BITS AND BYTES

Agriculture field PepsiCo.

Stat: PepsiCo said it has helped farmers adopt regenerative-agriculture techniques across 345,000 acres of farmland worldwide, with plans to expand to 7 million acres by 2030.

Quote: “I feel like we’re on a roller coaster that’s about to pass the top of the largest hill. Buckle up, everyone, we’re going on a ride to the moon here.” —Jacob Bleacher, chief exploration scientist at NASA, ahead of this week’s Artemis 1 launch

Read: Indiana’s $100 million plan for EV chargers is facing blowback from the NAACP, which says the proposal was formed without consultation from minority communities.

WHAT ELSE IS BREWING

  • YouTube removed videos of Tesla owners using their children to test out the car’s full self-driving tech.
  • Apple is expanding its self-service repair program to include some laptops.
  • TerraPower, the nuclear innovation startup founded by Bill Gates, raised $750 million in new funding, but it still faces a serious fuel challenge.
  • TikTok added an “AI greenscreen” tool that uses a text-to-image generator to create background imagery for videos (though they’re more abstract than the ones from DALL-E 2).
  • Volkswagen has secured supply of battery materials including nickel, cobalt, and lithium from Canada, Bloomberg reports.

FROM THE CREW

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The event is 100% free, so there’s really no reason not to check it out—RSVP today!

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Written by Hayden Field and Dan McCarthy

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