Finimize - 🛬 EasyJet’s rocky landing

US prices are still on the up | EasyJet’s poised for another annual loss |

Hi Reader, here's what you need to know for October 14th in 3:10 minutes.

🤩 Cathie Wood’s not only an all-star, world-famous investor, she’s also the latest guest to join our Modern Investor Summit lineup. So if you want a chance to catch up with Cathie herself, go ahead and grab your free ticket here

Today's big stories

  1. US inflation was even worse than expected last month, despite the Federal Reserve's best efforts
  2. Here's what news you should watch (and not watch) this earnings season – Read Now
  3. EasyJet warned it's flying toward its third consecutive full-year loss

US Prices Pile Up

US Prices Pile Up

What’s Going On Here?

Fresh data out on Thursday showed that US consumer prices rose more than expected last month.

What Does This Mean?

The Federal Reserve (the Fed) might be aiming its rate hikes at inflation, but the only thing it seems to be hitting right now is the economy: after raising rates five times this year, the combined three-percentage-point bombardment has left markets riddled with more holes than Swiss cheese – while inflation’s stayed relatively unscathed. And sure, inflation has dropped off in areas like energy and used vehicles, but the overall price of goods and services rose by 0.4% between August and September, double the 0.2% economists were expecting and up 8.2% on September last year. Shelter, food, and medical care were the biggest contributors to that gain, which – with inflation-adjusted average hourly earnings down 3% from last year – could make ordinary life extraordinarily expensive.

Why Should I Care?

For markets: Better to fear too far than trust too far.
Minutes from the Fed’s meeting were released earlier this week, and they show that one philosophy reigns supreme: it’s better to do too much rather than too little in the fight against inflation. Translation: there’s plenty more where those hikes came from, especially with prices still on the rise. Traders, already betting on a 0.75 percentage point hike next month, now predict another one come December – which could explain why the S&P 500 dropped when Thursday’s inflation data emerged.

The bigger picture: Winter is coming.
Energy prices might have eased off last month, but that doesn’t mean households will have it easy compared to previous winters. In fact, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) predicts that higher prices and an especially frosty winter will drive household energy bills skyward. It expects that people who heat their homes with natural gas – over half of US households – will pay 28% more this winter than last, while households that rely on electricity will see an uptick of 10%.

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Analyst Take

What To Watch (And Not Watch) This Earnings Season

What To Watch (And Not Watch) This Earnings Season

By Paul Allison, Analyst

Fearful investors might well be watching the upcoming earnings season from behind the sofa.

But with cracks showing in the financial system, it’s sure to be an action-packed feature if you’re brave enough to keep your eyes open. 

So grab your popcorn, and maybe prepare for a couple of jumpscares: Paul’s picked out the bits of earnings season that you just can’t miss.

So that’s today’s Insight: what you should pay attention to – and what you can fast-forward through – this earnings season.

Read or listen to the Insight here

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Disclaimer: This content is for US investors only, if you are not a US investor please ignore this content. This content is a paid advertisement for Upexi (NASDAQ: UPXI) from Interactive Offers and Finimize. This is not Finimize editorial content. Finimize received a fixed fee for producing, hosting and promoting this content on behalf of Upexi, totalling $23,000. Other than the compensation received for this service, Finimize and its principals are not affiliated with either Interactive Offers or Upexi. Finimize and its principals have no ownership in Upexi. The content on this page should not be taken as advice, an endorsement, or a recommendation from Finimize and its principals to buy or sell any security. Finimize and its principals have not evaluated the accuracy of any claims made on this page. Finimize and its principals recommend that investors do their own independent research and consult with a qualified investment professional before buying or selling any security. Investing is inherently risky and capital is at risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

More Turbulence for EasyJet

More Turbulence for EasyJet

What’s Going On Here?

EasyJet warned on Thursday that it’s set to make a loss for the third year in a row.

What Does This Mean?

A spoonful of sugar helps the medicine go down, so let’s start with EasyJet’s good news: July to September was a busy period for the airline, with jet-setting vacationers taking over 26 million flights with the carrier. And that figure – 88% of 2019’s pre-pandemic levels – was enough for EasyJet to net a healthy profit in the quarter. Now for the medicine: that high-flying period wasn’t enough to make up for a bunch of flight cancellations and Covid restrictions that ate away at profit earlier in the year. And when you factor in the effect of the surging dollar (many of the airline’s costs are paid for in the greenback), it’s no wonder that EasyJet expects to post a pre-tax loss of as much as £190 million ($210 million) for this financial year. Now, there are some signs that strong demand will continue into this winter and next summer – but not enough to placate investors about what’s set to be EasyJet’s third straight annual loss.

Why Should I Care?

For markets: Vacay decay.
It looks like Europeans are still living their best lives: not one major airline in the region has reported declining bookings despite widespread economic turmoil, and EasyJet’s arch rival Ryanair actually reported that September was its third busiest month ever. That said, analysts think current strong demand could be short-lived, which might explain why Ryanair and EasyJet’s share prices have fallen by around 50% this year.

The bigger picture: Bye bye, small fry.
Analysts at Bernstein predict that Europe’s weaker airlines might not make it through this winter, as countries that rescued carriers during Covid begin to focus their financial efforts on more pressing problems. That’s good news for big fish like EasyJet and Ryanair: they can move in and hoover up customers that collapsing airlines leave behind.

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💬 Quote of the day

“The world is round and the place which may seem like the end may also be only the beginning.”

– Ivy Baker Priest (an American politician)
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Time for you to meet Cathie Wood

It wouldn’t be a Finimize Modern Investor Summit without some finance VIPs.

Good thing, then, that you’ll soon be hanging out with Ark Invest’s Cathie Wood and Ellevest CEO Sallie Krawcheck – all you need to do is snap up a free summit ticket.

Cathie and Sallie have more in common than their rhyming names: they’ve beaten the investing odds for four decades, and own empires that help modern investors achieve financial freedom. 

And since you can never have too much expert knowledge, we’re giving away ten copies of The Intelligent Investor. Just register for a ticket before midnight on October 16th for a chance to win.

Grab your free book and virtual summit ticket today.

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🎯 On Our Radar

  1. Party like Musk. The world’s richest man’s wacky social calendar.
  2. Buying a home is daunting. Diversifying with rental homes doesn’t have to be.*
  3. Thin air. How your breathing can influence your mind.
  4. Uncanny (Silicon) valley. An AI Joe Rogan interviews an AI Steve Jobs.
  5. Frankie says relax. Slogan tees are back, baby.

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🌍 Finimize Live

🥳 Coming Up In The Next Week

All events in UK time.

🧑‍💻 Why A Digital Asset Should Be Your Next Investment: 1pm, October 14th
💸 How To Understand The True Value Of Crypto: 6pm, October 17th
🌍 How to Avoid Greenwashing When Investing: 12:30pm, October 18th
💻 How To Invest In Tech Stocks During A Recession: 5pm, October 18th
💪 Three Metrics You Should Know Before Investing: 1pm, October 19th

👀 And After That…

🎧 How To Invest In Music NFTs: 6pm, October 24th
🗂 How to Prepare Your Portfolio For Recession: 5pm, October 25th
⬆️ How to Navigate Rising Interest Rates: 1pm, October 26th
🔥 How To Secure Your Financial Future Before 40: 5pm, October 26th
🏆 How To Spot Investment Opportunities In Gold: 12pm, October 27th
🥗 How Will The Global Food Crisis Impact Your Portfolio: 1pm, October 28th
🇨🇳 What You Need To Know About Investing In China: 5pm, October 31st
🤑 Asset Allocation For Young Investors: 5pm, November 2nd
🙋‍♀️ Ladies Investing Club Meetup: 6.30pm, November 2nd (in person)
🔧 Tools Value Investors Use For Turbulent Times: 6pm, November 10th
🚀 Modern Investor Summit: 12pm, December 6th-7th

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