Morning Brew - ☕ Public perception

A look at the retail IPO market in 2023.
January 03, 2023

Retail Brew

Recharge

Happy Tuesday! Here at Retail Brew HQ, we’re back in the office after a restful holiday break that included four canceled flights and lots of snow shoveling. We’re hoping you and your loved ones made it through the break without any wild weather, lost luggage, or Southwest flights.

In today’s edition:

—Katishi Maake, Katie Hicks, Erik Wander

MARKETS

Market watch

instacart grocery bag sitting on pile of money Francis Scialabba

It’s a new year, which means a new crop of companies will tackle the IPO market. This year, however, there are fewer contenders, as investors are a lot more weary given the economic conditions.

But what’s the outlook for companies that have already filed an IPO and are expected to go public? Here’s what experts told us.

Instacart: The grocery delivery service shelved plans to go public last year, as factors such as inflation, fears of a recession, and the war in Ukraine scared off Wall Street. The pandemic ratcheted up the adoption of grocery delivery rapidly, but that effect essentially wore off by June of last year, Daniel McCarthy, assistant professor of marketing at Emory University, told Retail Brew.

The pandemic boost allowed the public to get a better idea of how Instacart would fare on the market, and McCarthy believes the company has a solid value proposition—so long as it targets a reasonable valuation.

Klarna: The buy now, pay later firm had a busy 2022, rolling out a slew of social shopping tools for customers and its merchant partners, while expanding its services to more brick-and-mortar locations. In July, the company took a major hit to its valuation, falling from $45.6 billion to $6.7 billion after a funding round. Klarna also laid off more than 10% of its workforce last year and lost $580 million in the first two quarters.

It’s been long speculated that Klarna will file an IPO at some point, and this year may be the time. The company is still adding new users despite decelerating transaction growth that peaked last January, Michael Maloof, director of strategy and marketing at Earnest Analytics, said. Plus, the company is officially top dog as far as BNPL companies are concerned, with a larger market share (44.5%) than Affirm (19.6%) of total Q3 app downloads.

Keep reading here.—KM

        

TOGETHER WITH RECHARGE

Ace the subscription race

Recharge

In the quest for new customers, don’t sleep on repeats. Returning customers are 50% more likely than new ones to make another purchase, and they spend 33% more on average.

So, how do you attract these coveted peeps to your biz and set yourself up for recurring wins? With subscriptions. They help offset today’s high cost of customer acquisition and solidify a core group of returning shoppers.

Recharge outlined actionable tactics to help you build out your customer acquisition strategy with subscriptions in mind, including:

  • optimizing your site for sales
  • launching a compelling subscription landing page
  • offering one-time and subscription purchase options

And oodles more. If you wanna make the most out of your best customers, dig into Recharge’s timely write-up right here.

MARKETING

Shock waves

images of Velveeta, Coors Light, and Oscar Mayer marketing stunts Illustration: Francis Scialabba, Photos: Velveeta, Coors Light, Oscar Mayer

“As brands keep finding new ways to advertise their products, are marketers worried about unconventional campaigns feeling stale or becoming oversaturated? According to those involved in some of [2022’s] most out-there campaigns, the road signs aren’t pointing to a slowdown in 2023,” writes Marketing Brew’s Katie Hicks.

[Last year], Johannes Leonardo also worked with Kraft Heinz on Oscar Mayer’s “Cold Dog” ice pops and bologna sheet masks. “Prior to this, I don’t think there was a cycle of thinking, ‘What is Velveeta gonna do next?’ [or] ‘What is Oscar Mayer gonna do next?’” he said. “We want to change that.”
Making a new product can require partnerships, investments, and risk-taking that perhaps traditional ad campaigns do not. Chris Steele, senior director of marketing for Coors Light at Molson Coors, told us that to execute these campaigns, it’s important to “be in an environment that allows you to try some things that don’t always work.”

Read the whole story here on Marketing Brew.

        

RETAIL

The most popular (and most engaging) Retail Brew stories of 2022

SpongeBob SquarePants Nickelodeon via Giphy

Okay, okay, we know…it’s not a popularity contest, and also that it’s not 2022 anymore (we’ll move on after this, we promise), but here are the 10 most “popular” (aka, the most read) Retail Brew stories of 2022:

But wait, there’s more (and then we’ll put 2022 behind us, really). These were the stories we determined to be the most engaging* of the year, at least in terms of the number of you who read them all the way through (or scrolled all the way to the end perusing the pictures—we’re not judging):

*Some of the most read were also among the most engaging—namely, holiday windows, the Great Recession, the DHL ride-along, “Made in USA,” and the Gen Z charts—but we don’t want to repeat ourselves.—EW

TOGETHER WITH SIFTED

Sifted

Special delivery: What does the future of shipping look like? To help retailers peep 2023’s greatest shipping threats (and opportunities), Sifted dug into nearly $20b in parcel shipping data to highlight top trends and predictions. Unpack them here.

SWAPPING SKUS

Today’s top retail reads.

Foodbot: Despite the food world’s many automation announcements last year—Chipotle, Sweetgreen, and Starbucks, to name a few—and the industry’s labor-related challenges during the pandemic, the use of robots in restaurants is still very much in an experimentation phase. (CNBC)

Slow burn: 2022 was a momentous year for labor organizing at Amazon warehouses around the country, with one warehouse on Staten Island voting to unionize. In 2023, organizing efforts may play out more slowly. (the Wall Street Journal)

Resale reboot: The resale world is lush with cash, thanks to massive acquisitions and funding rounds in 2022. But heading into the new year, resale is facing all of the usual challenges that businesses grapple with: competition, consolidation, and the push for profitability. (Glossy)

WHAT ELSE IS BREWING

  • Shopify launched a new subscription service, called Commerce Components, which will allow retailers to select Shopify offerings to integrate with their existing online presence.
  • DC Shoes co-founder and rally car driver Ken Block died on January 2 in a snowmobile accident. He founded the skate shoe brand in 1984, and later sold it for $87 million.
  • Oatly is transferring production at two US factories to Ya YA Foods Corp in a $98.1 million deal.
  • Revlon is set to exit bankruptcy in April. The beauty giant filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy in June 2022.
  • And, over the break, New York’s first legal recreational marijuana shop opened in the East Village.

TIME MACHINE

What happened in the world of retail this week in…1994 and beyond? Retail Brew takes you way, way, way back.

  • On January 1, 1994, the North American Free Trade Agreement went into effect, eliminating tariffs on trade between Canada, the United States, and Mexico. Today, our biggest import from Mexico isn’t tequila, but computers, while the top Canadian import (to nobody’s surprise,) is mineral fuels.
  • On January 1, 1998, California became the first state in the country to ban smoking inside at bars and restaurants.
  • On January 2, 1990, Campbells introduced its Cream of Broccoli Soup, alongside a nationwide recipe contest: “How to get President [George] Bush to eat broccoli.” The winning recipe? Broccoli lemon sauce over steamed vegetables. A copy of the recipe was reportedly sent to the head chef at the White House.
  • On January 3, 2002, Alfred Henry Heineken, former head of one of the world’s largest brewers, died at his home in the Netherlands, at age 78. “Freddy” first began working at his grandfather’s brewery in 1942, at age 18.

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Written by Katishi Maake, Katie Hicks, and Erik Wander

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