Wednesday Briefing: NATO won’t invite Ukraine to join yet

Plus, floods in Japan.
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By Amelia Nierenberg

Writer, Briefings

Good morning. We’re covering NATO’s debate over Ukraine and Japan’s fatal floods.

President Volodymyr Zelensky with his wife, center, and other leaders at the NATO summit yesterday.Pool photo by Ludovic Marin

Ukraine will be invited to join NATO when ‘conditions are met’

Ukraine wanted a clear timeline for when it can join NATO. But the alliance’s leaders would not commit to one.

Yesterday, at a summit in Vilnius, Lithuania, NATO leaders agreed to invite Ukraine to join — but remained vague on how and when. The leaders said that Ukraine would be invited to join “when allies agree and conditions are met,” and they pledged regular reviews of its progress toward standards on democracy and military integration.

The response meant that President Biden, who said before the summit that Ukraine was not ready for membership, and like-minded allies had prevailed over Poland and Baltic nations, who wanted a formal invitation for Ukraine as soon as the war ends.

To better understand the debate, I spoke with Steven Erlanger, our chief diplomatic correspondent in Europe.

Why won’t Ukraine get into NATO right now?

Steven: Ukraine is at war with a nuclear-armed Russia, which is right next door. NATO’s collective defense promise, the famous Article V, would mean that every NATO member is obligated to fight for Ukraine.

That’s not just “give them weapons” but actually “fight for Ukraine.” And nobody wants to do that.

What is the argument in favor of offering NATO membership?

“It’s fighting our war.” Ukraine is actually defeating NATO’s prime enemy. It’s doing it with NATO equipment and NATO help, but it has shown itself to be among the bravest, most adaptable armies in Europe.

Some are saying: “We owe them a European future. If our promise that Russia will not win the war means something, then NATO should take this huge political step and give Ukraine a firm commitment to membership.”

President Volodymyr Zelensky: The Ukrainian leader attended a dinner with NATO leaders after the summit. He plans to meet with Biden today.

NATO’s military commitments: For the first time since the Soviet Union fell, NATO countries gave political approval of detailed plans to ensure a collective defense.

Turkey: After President Recep Tayyip Erdogan agreed to support Sweden’s NATO bid on Monday, Biden’s national security adviser said that the U.S. would move forward with the transfer of the F-16 fighter jets that Turkey is demanding. Erdogan’s U-turn could signal warming ties with the West.

The Chikugo River in Tachiarai, Japan, on Monday.Harumi Ozawa/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

Japan’s south hit by ‘heaviest rain ever’

The top forecaster at the Japan Meteorological Agency said that part of Kyushu, the country’s southernmost main island, had endured its “heaviest rain ever experienced” on Monday. At least six people died. Three more are missing.

The rains had stopped by yesterday, but officials warned residents to remain alert for floods and landslides, which the island is prone to because of its mountainous terrain. In recent years, rains have killed hundreds of people there. Here’s a video of the recent destruction.

Across southwestern Japan, the rains have washed away homes, flooded hospitals and disrupted mobile phone services, officials said. Officials warned of strong winds and lightning today and tomorrow.

In India: The death toll from landslides and floods in the north rose to at least 49. Bridges and buildings were washed away, officials said.

In the U.S.: At least 117 people in the state of Vermont were rescued from flooded cars and homes yesterday, and authorities were trying to use helicopters to get to those who could not be reached by boat. My colleague David Gelles, whose home was affected by the rain, wrote that these once-shocking climate are now commonplace.

Protesters at Ben Gurion Airport yesterday.Tsafrir Abayov/Associated Press

Protests erupt again in Israel

Tens of thousands of demonstrators blocked the road outside Israel’s main airport and caused widespread disruptions after the right-wing governing coalition pushed forward with plans to limit the power of the Supreme Court. The rallies stretched out to at least 20 towns and cities. Police arrested at least 71 people.

The intensity of the protests did not rise to the levels of unrest seen in March, when top trade unions shut down large parts of the economy to protest the government’s efforts to curb judicial power. But after a three-month hiatus, during which the government and opposition failed to reach a compromise, this fresh wave of outrage showed that the debate is far from over.

Details: By a majority of 64 to 56, lawmakers gave provisional support to a bill that would reduce the ways that the court can overrule elected officials. If it passes two further votes in the coming weeks, it could prevent the court from using the legal standard of “reasonableness” to counter the government.

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