Morning Brew - ☕ Deal with it

Bargain-hungry shoppers shape retailers’ holiday expectations.
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December 04, 2023

Retail Brew

Rokt

It’s Monday, and sadly for most of us, it didn’t start with a creamy avocado tomatillo breakfast sandwich from McDonald’s. But it could soon: Mickey D’s is reportedly piloting a new restaurant concept, CosMc’s, in Illinois, and alongside McDonald’s standard fare, it includes more adventurous items, including a spicy queso sandwich and turmeric spiced latte. Pretzel bites (yes, those too) with that?

In today’s edition:

—Alex Vuocolo, Katishi Maake, Natasha Piñon

STORES

‘Affordable joy’

Black Friday deals sign on window of shop Anadolu/Getty Images

During Target’s Q3 earnings call earlier this fall, one word was on the tip of every executive’s tongue: affordability.

To give just a few examples, CEO Brian Cornell said recent investments were aimed at “providing an affordable, easy, and joyful guest experience,” while Chief Growth Officer Christina Hennington coined what may be a new corporate neologism.

“With a combination of everyday low prices, compelling promotions, and exciting savings events all season long, we aim to be the holiday destination for affordable joy,” she said.

Other retailers were similarly focused on how they plan to lure price-sensitive customers this holiday season, and their reasoning was fairly consistent. Consumers are still willing to spend, but they are being more cautious or “choiceful,” to use another popular industry term.

Evidence for this prognosis mounted during the Black Friday–Cyber Monday period with those sales events seeing sizable annual gains amid record discounts of up to 31% off listed prices. This tracks with a recent Deloitte survey showing that consumers are concentrating their shopping around the sales events in order to stretch their budget.

But with those discounts coming to an end, retailers are faced with a fresh challenge: how to keep bargain-hungry customers coming.

Keep reading here.—AV

     

PRESENTED BY ROKT

Don’t risk your relevance

Rokt

The only consistent thing about e-commerce consumer expectations is that they’re always changing. Of course, that can complicate clear, decisive plans of action for retailers.

Luckily, if you’ve got Rokt’s latest report in hand, the future can look clearer. Rokt commissioned The Harris Poll to conduct research with 6k consumers across the US, Australia, the UK, Germany, France, and Japan about their online shopping expectations. That’s right, folks—we’re goin’ global.

Key areas explored include:

  • the paradox of choice and the rise of relevance
  • AI shopping and young consumers
  • business blindspots with missed contextualization


Stay relevant to the modern consumer by taking a peek at Rokt x The Harris Poll’s timely findings—and evolve your e-comm for the better.

RETAIL

Quick fix

Stitch Fix Box on Doorstep Stitch Fix

Welcome back, everyone. We’re officially in the home stretch of this year, and make no mistake, there’s plenty of stuff that can’t “wait until after the New Year,” so let’s dive into what’s going on in retail this week.

In events: Yesterday, industry leaders and professors in CPG descended upon Marina del Rey, California, for BevNet Live Winter 2023, a three-day conference offering demonstrations, presentations, and networking events.

In earnings: Stitch Fix reports its earnings Tuesday, which will put a bow on what has been an interesting year for the company. In January, former CEO Elizabeth Spaulding left her post as the company announced it would cut 20% of salaried roles.

Dollar General reports earnings Thursday, and is still very much looking to bounce back after a grim Q1 report that found the company’s core customers had dramatically cut back on spending. It was alarming for the company, since dollar and discount stores are typically able to weather tougher macroeconomic conditions.

Keep reading here.—KM

     

OPERATIONS

Shrink again

Retail theft shrinkage Francis Scialabba

Turn on the news or tune in to an earnings call and you’ll probably hear the same two-word culprit tottered out for falling profits and sales dips. Starts with R, ends with…well, it’s retail theft.

It’s reached such a fever pitch, however, that some retail executives are backtracking. At the start of this year, Walgreens CFO James Kehoe said the pharmacy chain had “cried too much” about retail theft in 2022, and overdid it with private security guards in stores.

“We’ve started seeing [retail theft] being used as an excuse: an excuse for falling profits, an excuse for closing stores,” Neil Saunders, retail analyst and managing director of retail research agency GlobalData, told CFO Brew. “Now, it may be a legitimate excuse, but nevertheless it’s being used as a talking point around why certain things are happening to retailers.”

That timing makes sense, Saunders continued. “We’re seeing a lot more pressure on retailers,” he said, citing sluggish sales and an erosion of profitability. “The problem is that when performance comes under pressure, people do start rolling out more excuses.”

But that’s also what makes the current moment so nebulous, because retail theft isn’t just a catch-all scapegoat.

Keep reading here on CFO Brew.—NP

     

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SWAPPING SKUS

Today’s top retail reads.

Keeping it zeal: Why 59% of major retailers have adopted a “return-less” refunds policy that tells consumers to keep unwanted or damaged items. (Marketplace)

Zero-proof of concept: Behind Target’s decision to add more alcohol-free spirits products to its shelves. (CNN)

Grocer profit margin: Australia’s Greens Party is launching an investigation into major supermarkets over alleged “price gouging.” (Reuters)

E-comm evolution: Rokt commissioned The Harris Poll to learn about e-commerce expectations from 6k global consumers. See how relevance can nurture long-lasting relationships and read the full report for free.*

*A message from our sponsor.

HOT TOPIC

At the mall, it’s where band tees are the only tees. In Retail Brew, it’s where we invite readers to weigh in on a trending retail topic

NielsenIQ predicts that the dollar share of private-label consumer products, aka store brands, will increase to 19.6% in Q4, as a result of both inflated prices and private-label goods upping their appeal.

You tell us: Are you choosing an increasing number of private-label products over advertised brands these days? Cast your vote here.

Circling back: Last week, we told you about how the largest pub company in the UK, The Stonegate Group, has said it will introduce surge pricing in its pubs, meaning that during the busiest times, it will charge about 25 cents more a pint to cover the cost of extra staff. So we asked if you thought charging more for drinks during a bar’s busiest times is a good strategy.

Nearly three out of four (73.9%) of you are not drinking to that, telling us that no, you don’t think charging more for beer during a bar’s busiest times is a good strategy, while 23% thought it was a good strategy, and 3% didn’t know or weren’t sure.

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