Are Biden's Poll Numbers Getting Better?
Are Biden's Poll Numbers Getting Better?The State of the Union and start of the campaign are framing the choice for votersEarlier this week, I argued that Biden’s State of the Union address was a success despite the absence of a discernible bounce in the polls. Cynical press coverage like this story from Yahoo News and concerns about the speech expressed publicly and privately by Democrats pushed an unfair, inaccurate, and unhelpful narrative. Based on my experience with campaigns, the State of the Union, and a reading of the polls, I believe Biden’s address accomplished what one could realistically hope. The headline of my post was “Ignore the Polls, Biden's State of the Union was a Success.” Usually, when I write about polls, I get a handful of responses like:
This time, the response was quite different. “Why would we ignore the polls when Biden is surging?” This criticism hinges on the several positive polls that came out since the State of the Union. One of my rules is to focus on the polling averages and broader trends rather than obsess too much about an individual poll (I don’t always follow my own rules). And that’s the perspective I was writing from. At the time, Trump maintained an advantage of a couple of points in the major polling averages. That changed on Friday morning when Biden took the lead in the Economist’s polling average: So what’s going on? Is that hope I feel?... Continue reading this post for free, courtesy of Dan Pfeiffer.A subscription gets you:
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Ignore the Polls, Biden's State of the Union was a Success
Thursday, March 21, 2024
No single speech can change a race, but Biden's address helped his standing ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏
Is Trump Cracking Under the Pressure of the Election?
Wednesday, March 20, 2024
Trump has repeatedly stumbled during the first couple of weeks of the general election ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏
How to Make Trump Pay for Embracing Jan 6th
Monday, March 18, 2024
By celebrating and promising to pardon the January 6th rioters, Trump has given Dems yet another opening ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏
Why Pence's Refusal to Endorse Trump Matters (Seriously!)
Sunday, March 17, 2024
A Vice President not endorsing his former boss should be a bigger deal ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏
Why Trump Flip-flopped on Tik Tok
Friday, March 15, 2024
Trump is looking for money and a way to drive a wedge with younger voters ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏
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