Finimize - 🚗 Oil crushes Tesla

| Oil is cheaper than brunch | Fa so, so good |
👋 Pardon the interruption

We noticed you enjoy the two free daily news stories – there are more stories and analysis waiting just a few clicks away. Upgrade to Premium

Finimize

Hi Newsletterest, here's what you need to know for April 21st in 3:13 minutes.

🤜🤛 Finimized while texting friends an uplifting quote to raise spirits before another nursing shift in Valparaiso, Indiana (4°C/40°F ☀️)

Today's big stories

  1. The price of a barrel of oil fell to its lowest level in 34 years
  2. Our analysts explore why bets against the US stock market are at their biggest in years – Read Now
  3. Media conglomerate Vivendi’s quarterly results provided valuable insights into big tech’s upcoming earnings
1/3

All Scrude Up

All Scrude Up

What’s Going On Here?

The price of a barrel of oil crashed to its lowest price since 1986 on Monday – and the reason might well be found in the “futures” market.

What Does This Mean?

The 34-year low is partly down to the same falling oil demand that’s caused issues for weeks, but this time, it’s also down to futures contracts. Quick refresher: a futures contract is an agreement to buy or sell a certain amount of oil at a particular price on a future date, ahead of real-world delivery. And for oil that’s due to be delivered in May, that “future date” was Tuesday.

But that meant any producer that didn’t offload their physical oil this month would have to pay to store it until the next delivery date in June. That’s problematic: oil demand is so low, and storage facilities so full, that storage prices are sky-high. So rather than face the additional costs, some producers immediately sold their oil at an even lower price – and in turn brought oil futures’ prices down to historic lows.

Why Should I Care?

For markets: Speculate to accumulate.
Some investors use futures to bet on the direction of oil: if they think its price will rise, they’ll buy a futures contract – and if they’re right, they’ll be able to sell that future on for a profit. Those investors might’ve “rolled” their futures on Monday: in other words, they’d have sold their May contracts and bought ones for June or later, pushing down near-term oil prices even more thanks to our old friends supply and demand.

The bigger picture: The biggest loser.
Cheap oil is hard to ignore. For one thing, it could cause deflation if the prices of oil-based products tumble – and there are a lot of oil-based products. And for another, it’ll hurt the planet: after all, why would consumers buy new Teslas and businesses invest in renewable energy when the slippery pollutant is suddenly so much cheaper? (Tweet this)

Copy to share story: https://www.finimize.com/wp/news/all-scrude-up/

🙋 Ask a question

2/3 Premium

Don’t Rock The Boat



Recent data shows investors betting against the US stock market are at their most active in years, suggesting they think the recent market comeback may not all be smooth sailing.

Get the full story in the Finimize app

3/3

Do-Re-Me Me Me

Do-Re-Me Me Me

What’s Going On Here?

The hills were alive with the sound of Vivendi’s first-quarter update on Monday – as well as the unmistakable sound of the French media conglomerate’s stock ticking up 4%.

What Does This Mean?

Consider Vivendi a born-again Belieber, because the company reported last quarter’s sales were more than 4% higher than the same time last year – and it had Universal Music Group, home to hit-maker J-Biebs, to thank. Despite the industry-wide decline in music streaming, new releases drove sales in that part of the business up 13% from a year ago. But even Justin’s healing touch couldn’t innoculate Vivendi from the impact of coronavirus: its ad business earned 3% less revenue last quarter than a year ago, and the company said this quarter – if not the rest of the year – would be impacted too.

Why Should I Care?

For markets: Are you still watching?
Vivendi’s cable television business, Canal+, grew revenues as well. But investors might be more interested in how it does this quarter, when people could be stuck inside from start to finish – especially since it’s only just launched Disney+ in France. The government-delayed launch gave Netflix longer in the country with less competition, and the US streaming giant’s investors will now want to see if more time indoors benefits all the big streaming names – or if tightening consumer budgets forces the company to go head-to-head with the Mouse House.

The bigger picture: It all ads up.
Vivendi’s ad agency is likely to struggle as brands rein in their spending amid the ongoing health crisis. Some might even cut out the middleman altogether and manage their ad campaigns themselves on Facebook or Twitter – though probably not enough to offset the more than 40% declines in ad spending the industry’s seen so far. That means those ad platforms – and the likes of Google-parent Alphabet – might find their long-standing love affair with investors challenged as their earnings come under pressure this year.

Copy to share story: https://www.finimize.com/wp/news/do-re-me-me-me/

🙋 Ask a question

💬 Quote of the day

“Normal is getting dressed in clothes you buy for work and driving through traffic in a car you’re still paying for – in order to get to the job you need to pay for the clothes and the car, and the house you leave vacant all day so you can afford to live in it.”

– Ellen Goodman (an American journalist and syndicated columnist)
Tweet this
🤔 Q&A · RE: Nailed It

“Will all the monetary and fiscal stimulus announced in response to coronavirus push inflation higher?”

– Tim in Missouri, USA

“It’s certainly possible, Tim, and it’s certainly a risk to the economy since high inflation’s not something you’d want to see during the recession we’re headed for. But it’s too early to say for sure. More money in the economic system should push prices of assets, goods, and services higher, sure, but central banks (in Europe and Japan, for example) have been trying to increase inflation for the last decade without much success, so you could argue that’s unlikely to change now. One reason for stubbornly low inflation is the rise of ecommerce, which has pushed down the prices of some everyday products and in doing so offset price rises elsewhere. Some economists have questions about exactly how inflation’s measured too. All that is to say, Tim, that the answer’s both yes and no – and remains to be seen.”

Finimize

🙋 Ask a question

⚡️ Lightning insights

If you’re looking to pick a stock market winner, you could look for safer bets in the consumer staples industry, which offer steady growth and promising dividends. Or if you’re feeling bold, you might prefer looking for high-growth companies that’ll benefit from the effects of the pandemic.

Whichever you prefer, you need to make sure you know the pros and cons of both. You’ll find everything you need to know in our Stock Picking Pack.

📚 What we're reading

  • Social anonymity is so your color (Ars Technica)
  • The extraordinary story of a skincare revolution (Vox)
  • Fall down the marble-racing rabbithole (CNN)
❤️ Share with a friendYour Referrals: 0

Thanks for reading Newsletterest. If you liked today's brief, we'd love for you to share it with a friend. If they sign up on your unique link, you’ll earn some sweet swag.

Share your unique link:

https://finimize.com/invite/?kid=177ZWC

Like what you’re reading? Show your support:

You stay classy, Newsletterest 😉

We’d love to hear your thoughts. Give feedback

Image Credits:

Image credits: Finimize | Anton_Ivanov, Alexey Boldin - Shutterstock

Preferences:

View in browser

Unsubscribe from all Finimize Emails

😴

Crafted by Finimize Ltd. | Third Floor, 1 New Fetter Lane, London, EC4A 1AN, UK.

All content provided by Finimize Ltd. is for informational and educational purposes only and is not meant to represent trade or investment recommendations. You signed up to this mailing list at finimize.com or through one of our partners. © Finimize 2020

Older messages

💩 China breaks records

Sunday, April 19, 2020

| Xi won't be best pleased | You bought a lot of toilet paper | 👋 Pardon the interruption We noticed you enjoy the two free daily news stories – there are more stories and analysis waiting just a

👨‍⚕️ Stay home, save Apple

Thursday, April 16, 2020

| Chipmakers flatten the curve | BlackRock's great at steady-hand games | 👋 Pardon the interruption We noticed you enjoy the two free daily news stories – there are more stories and analysis

🏦 Earnings from Goldman, Citi, and Bank of America

Thursday, April 16, 2020

| More bank for your Finimize buck | Airlines are refueled | 👋 Pardon the interruption We noticed you enjoy the two free daily news stories – there are more stories and analysis waiting just a few

🤕 JPMorgan beat the virus

Tuesday, April 14, 2020

| And they're off... | Investment banks are first up | 👋 Pardon the interruption We noticed you enjoy the two free daily news stories – there are more stories and analysis waiting just a few clicks

🇺🇸 US jobs get worse and worse

Thursday, April 9, 2020

| This is going to hurt | OPEC steps up to the plate | 🎧 Short on time? Listen to this brief SPONSORED BY Hi Newsletterest, here's what you need to know for April 10th in 3:08 minutes. 🥚 We're

You Might Also Like

🦃 Chipmakers give thanks

Thursday, November 28, 2024

Potentially lighter tariffs was good news for chipmakers, France is down in the dumps, and an eternal flame | Finimize TOGETHER WITH Hi Reader, here's what you need to know for November 29th in 2:

John's Take 11-28-24 Puttin’ it on Plastic

Thursday, November 28, 2024

​ Puttin' it on Plastic by John Del Vecchio Thanksgiving is my favorite holiday each year, and fall is my favorite time of year. It's a good meal among loved ones and friends, and the Green Bay

Staying afloat: the impact of flooding on UK firms

Thursday, November 28, 2024

Benjamin Crampton, Rupert-Hu Gilman and Rebecca Mari. With climate change set to increase the frequency and intensity of flooding in the UK, it is important to deepen our understanding of the potential

🇺🇸 US inflation rose

Wednesday, November 27, 2024

US inflation sped up, German consumer confidence fell, and Champagne and turkey | Finimize Hi Reader, here's what you need to know for November 28th in 3:14 minutes. The US central bank's

Don’t think you can afford life insurance?

Wednesday, November 27, 2024

Term coverage is less expensive than you think ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌

What are you hiding Elon?? (Tesla’s secret 69% dividend)

Wednesday, November 27, 2024

It doesn't stop with Tesla... ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏

Giving thanks for inflation, Paul Mescal and more

Wednesday, November 27, 2024

plus un-useless inventions + a weasel ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌

💚 Holding space for career pivots

Wednesday, November 27, 2024

Including Ellevest financial planner Veronica Taylor's incredible story. ͏ ‌  ͏ ‌  ͏ ‌  ͏ ‌  ͏ ‌  ͏ ‌  ͏ ‌  ͏ ‌  ͏ ‌  ͏ ‌  ͏ ‌  ͏ ‌  ͏ ‌  ͏ ‌  ͏ ‌  ͏ ‌  ͏ ‌  ͏ ‌  ͏ ‌  ͏ ‌  ͏ ‌

Harry's Take 11-27-24 Michael Saylor Has Seen an Impressive Learning Curve Playing Bitcoin at MicroStrategy!

Wednesday, November 27, 2024

Harry's Take November 27, 2024 Michael Saylor Has Seen an Impressive Learning Curve Playing Bitcoin at MicroStrategy! My wife Jeanne and I have seen Michael Saylor speak a number of times at Tony

The heterogenous effects of carbon pricing: macro and micro evidence

Wednesday, November 27, 2024

Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi, Alex Haberis, Federico Di Pace and Brendan Berthold To achieve the Paris Agreement objectives, governments around the world are introducing a range of climate change mitigation