Do states with political power resemble the US overall?

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In the presidential election process, some states have more power than others. They have early primaries or caucuses, giving them outsized power in choosing the candidates for November, for instance. Or they are assigned more electoral votes because of the number of people who live there. Some are considered “swing” or “battleground” states and get lots of attention from candidates and their campaigns.

But there’s a key question to ask about states with political power, and states without it: How much are their populations like the U.S. population as a whole? It’s a question marketers, entertainers and politicians have been asking since the 1800s.

Demographers Rogelio Sáenz and Selene M. Gomez set out to learn which state is most like the U.S. overall. They looked at age, gender, occupation, household income, race and ethnicity, and level of education.

Which states are microcosms of the nation, and which are outliers, they asked?

What they found, I think, will definitely play in Peoria.

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Jeff Inglis

Politics + Society Editor

Which state best reflects the nation? Lisa-Blue/iStock / Getty Images Plus

Some states’ populations are very much like the US overall – including 5 key states in the 2024 presidential election

Rogelio Sáenz, The University of Texas at San Antonio; Selene M. Gomez, The University of Texas at San Antonio

Comparing states’ populations on a range of demographic and socioeconomic data reveals similarities and differences across the nation.

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