The New York Times - Friday Briefing: Narendra Modi’s India

We explain what to expect from his third term.
Morning Briefing: Asia Pacific Edition

June 7, 2024

Good morning. Today my colleague Alex Travelli answers four big questions facing India after its election.

Plus, sign up for our friendship challenge.

Narendra Modi walking and waving to throngs of supporters.
Narendra Modi at his party’s headquarters.  Atul Loke for The New York Times

Modi’s choices

Narendra Modi has just won re-election as India’s prime minister, though by a far narrower margin than expected. With his third consecutive term, the charismatic strongman has sealed his position as the country’s most significant leader in generations.

Despite having led India for a decade, Modi has in some ways kept his country guessing about his vision. On major issues — India’s relationships, its economy, its society and its government — it’s still unclear what sort of country Modi wants India to be.

In today’s newsletter, I’ll explain four of the big questions.

Where will India find friends?

India has spent recent years deepening its relationship with the U.S. It has gotten closer to American allies, including Japan and Australia, and ordered high-end American weapons systems — the kind that create dependence down the road. And it is unlikely to side with China. In 2020, Chinese troops crossed into territory controlled by India and killed 20 soldiers in a skirmish. Modi has kept Beijing at arm’s length since then.

But Modi, 73, has signaled that he doesn’t want to be a U.S. ally. Some officials in his inner circle still regard the U.S. warily. American diplomats complain about New Delhi’s apparent efforts to erode democratic norms and the rights of minority groups. So India keeps its options open. After Russia invaded Ukraine, the U.S. tried in vain to persuade India to take a stand against the war. India still processes Russian oil (picking up the slack created by international sanctions). It still buys weapons from Russia.

India spent the Cold War trying to position itself as a nonaligned power. Old habits die hard.

Workers in an industrial factory hold up machinery. One wears clear safety glasses and a handkerchief over his mouth and nose.
Workers in a factory in Coimbatore, India. Atul Loke for The New York Times

What type of economy?

India recently overtook China as the most populous country and the fastest-growing large economy. Still, most of the country remains poor. Some 800 million people need help filling their stomachs. Modi’s ideas about how to help them can be contradictory, at once globally minded and protectionist.

One path would be to follow East Asian countries, which escaped poverty by manufacturing goods for export. To that end, Modi began a “Make in India” initiative in 2014, an effort to replace China as the world’s factory. But exports have barely risen, even as Modi has thrown new subsidies at them. Some Indian economists say it’s better to focus on exporting services, like I.T. and remote professional work.

Another Modi vision is for a “self-reliant India,” which would reduce the country’s exposure to global supply chains. Shielding Indian companies from foreign competition is at odds with preparing them for it.

In the face of big economic decisions, Modi sometimes seems equivocal. Like Reagan and Thatcher, he came to power promising to pare down government. In practice, the state wields a heavy hand in most sectors — imposing radical, sometimes half-baked reforms by decree.

Protecting minority groups?

India’s founders crafted a constitution for a diverse and secular republic. Modi has been reshaping the country as an explicitly Hindu nation. He converted Jammu and Kashmir, the country’s only Muslim-majority state, into a heavily policed federal territory. He built a giant Hindu temple on a disputed site where mobs had torn down a mosque. During the campaign this year, he called Muslims, who make up 14 percent of the population, “infiltrators.” India’s Muslims say they have been turned into second-class citizens.

Modi’s third term will be a test: Has the Hindu nationalist project been fulfilled, or is there more he can do to assert one faith’s supremacy? The call to put Muslims in their place is the lifeblood of Modi’s party, creating winning majorities within a hugely diverse and caste-riven Hindu population. In a third term, Modi could choose new targets, perhaps by agitating for the replacement of historic mosques with more Hindu temples. He may be constrained, however, by his new political partners, who are not beholden to his party’s Hindu-first projects.

A man sits on a motorbike with a gingham cloth over his shoulder. A child, in the right corner, appears to speak to him as he looks at a woman dressed in colorful clothing, and partly off camera, who has her hand raised to her ear.
Indian Muslims in Jahangirpuri.  Anindito Mukherjee for The New York Times

How much authoritarianism?

One reason for Modi’s enduring popularity is that he’s effective. Modi often imposes reforms suddenly, relying on boldness and even the element of surprise to cut through red tape. He streamlined the tax system and even started a semiconductor industry from scratch. He has no patience for obstacles of any kind.

One result is that the world’s biggest democracy has set aside many democratic norms. The police have thrown leaders of the opposition in jail, swelling the number of political prisoners. The Election Commission has been stacked with pro-Modi appointees. The judiciary hardly ever stands in the way of government priorities.

Modi seems to have kept his job but lost his parliamentary majority. Now he’ll need to placate coalition partners and consult them on major changes. Maybe that will protect some of the institutions that were built to preserve fair play.

The other possibility is that Modi will crack down harder than ever, making full use of the agencies that answer directly to him, to ensure that his party stays ahead of the invigorated competition. Modi has made it this far despite all the complaints about repression. If anything is to hold him back now, it will have to come from within his new governing coalition.

For more:


Israel-Hamas War

People standing in the courtyard of a damaged building. A man stands on an upper floor looking at rubble.
The aftermath of the Israeli airstrike. Bashar Taleb/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

D-Day at 80

President Joe Biden speaks at a podium with several elderly veterans seated behind him on a clear sunny day.
President Biden in Normandy yesterday.  Kenny Holston/The New York Times
  • President Biden: In Normandy, he compared Ukraine’s efforts to stand up to Russia’s invasion to the battle for freedom that raged across Europe during World War II.
  • A different time: This 80th anniversary of the landings is a celebration, but a somber one. Europe is troubled and apprehensive, extremism eating at its liberal democracies.

Other News

A very distant view of the enormous Starship rocket and its plume of exhaust forming a straight line into the sky against a cloudy sky.
Starship survived re-entry on its fourth test flight. Brandon Bell/Getty Images


Iga Swiatek reacts with both fists in the air on a red clay tennis court.
Poland’s Iga Swiatek celebrates after her win. Lisi Niesner/Reuters
  • Women’s tennis: Iga Swiatek, the top seed, will play Jasmine Paolini in the French Open final. Here’s the latest.
  • Men’s tennis: Novak Djokovic confirmed that he had knee surgery for the injury that took him out of the French Open.
  • Olympics: Bill May could become the first man ever to compete in artistic swimming, formerly known as synchronized swimming, at the Games.


A window with a view of construction in the distance.
Beijing has lowered down-payment requirements and relaxed mortgage rules. Qilai Shen for The New York Times

China is easing restrictions on home buying, to try to get more people to purchase apartments. But a vocal group of existing homeowners is angry. They pinched and saved to buy their apartments, and now they’re worried that the effort could depress prices.


  • Mitsuko Uchida: The star pianist spoke to my colleague Javier Hernández. She was both confrontational and scholarly. Read their conversation here.
  • Subterranean refuges: Wombat burrows can serve as fireproof shelters for small mammals, birds and reptiles during and after extreme fires.
  • Eat up: How healthy are avocados?

We hope you’ve enjoyed this newsletter, which is made possible through subscriber support. Subscribe to The New York Times.


An illustration of two people sitting and facing one another on a grassy field. They are engaged in a conversation. The sky is pink and orange.
Anna Parini

Take our friendship challenge

Friendship is healing. It helps improve long-term physical and mental health, and can enhance daily well-being. But our social circles may be shrinking. People across the world are in the middle of a well-documented loneliness crisis.

So my colleagues on the Well desk worked with researchers and therapists to create a five-day challenge, which starts next week, to help readers revive wilted relationships, feel more connected to friends and have the tools to keep bonds strong. Sign up here.


Creamy risotto with a pesto drizzle is topped by wilted cherry tomatoes and fresh basil leaves in a white ceramic bowl.
Kerri Brewer for The New York Times

Cook: This “risotto” uses pearl couscous instead of rice, which cuts down the stirring time.

Read: Explore New Orleans with these books.

Listen: Give us five minutes, and we’ll make you love South African jazz.

Travel: Brooklyn blooms in the summertime.

Play: Spelling Bee, the Mini Crossword, Wordle and Sudoku. Find all our games here.

P.S. The Athletic is introducing “The Radar” to track breakout stars at the 2024 UEFA European Football Championship and Copa América.

That’s it for today. Enjoy the weekend. — Amelia

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