Morning Brew - ☕️ Dancing robots

Why Google is minting Nobel Prize winners...
October 12, 2024 View Online | Sign Up | Shop

Morning Brew

Incogni

Good morning. It’s the Saturday of a three-day weekend, a day of both shadow and substance, of things and ideas. A day as vast as space and as timeless as infinity. A wondrous day whose boundaries are that of imagination.

—Cassandra Cassidy, Molly Liebergall, Matty Merritt, Abby Rubenstein, Neal Freyman

P.S. If you get the reference, you win our enduring respect.

MARKETS

Nasdaq

18,342.94

S&P

5,815.03

Dow

42,863.86

10-Year

4.073%

Bitcoin

$63,000.12

Tesla

$217.80

Data is provided by

*Stock data as of market close, cryptocurrency data as of 5:00pm ET. Here's what these numbers mean.

  • Markets: After big banks—which are often viewed as a proxy for the economy’s health—kicked off earnings season strong, the S&P 500 and the Dow hit new records, capping off stocks’ fifth winning week in a row.
  • Stock spotlight: Elon Musk’s presentation of Tesla’s long-awaited Robocab didn’t go as badly as that time the Cybertruck’s “unbreakable” window got smashed on stage, but investors were unimpressed by its lack of key details. Hailing the news were Uber and Lyft, which rose after Tesla failed to present a looming threat.
 

TECH

What it means that Google racked up 3 Nobel Prizes

Nobel Prize logo and Google logo Emily Parsons

This week, Google is feeling like a person at a party trying to look like they're having fun after remembering they left their dog outside. Three researchers with links to Google won the Nobel Prize for their work on AI, cementing the company as an unequivocal leader in the technology at the same time that it’s under antitrust scrutiny from the DOJ.

Reasons to celebrate: Two of the three people who won the prize in chemistry—Demis Hassabis and John Jumper—are scientists of Google's AI lab, DeepMind. And Geoffrey Hinton, who was part of a duo that won the Nobel for physics, was a Google VP up until last year.

  • Hassabis and Jumper won for their work using AI to decode proteins, enabling scientists to rapidly develop medicines and vaccines.
  • Hinton won for his work on neural networks—the bedrock of AI systems like ChatGPT.

But…these big wins prompted big questions about Big Tech’s increasing and potentially untenable role in scientific development.

AI research Big Tech

That some of the world’s most prestigious scientific awards were given to private sector researchers reflects a paradigm shift—both in what the Nobel Prize committee deems important (clearly AI) and what the future of scientific research will look like.

  • The research accomplished at DeepMind required unbelievable amounts of computation power and data. Google is one of the only companies that could provide both of those things and bankroll the project.
  • In his acceptance speech, Hassabis said he wouldn’t have accomplished what he did without the “patience and a lot of support” that he got from Google.

But for how much longer? Google is only as big and powerful as its most important businesses, and the DOJ said this week that it is considering asking a judge (who agreed that Google was a monopoly in search) to break up the company. The Justice Department also said it would consider Google’s “leverage of its monopoly power to feed AI” in deciding what to request.—CC

   

Presented By Incogni

Not if, but when

Incogni

WORLD

Tour de headlines

A road under water sign after Hurricane Milton Miguel J. Rodriguez Carrillo/AFP via Getty Images

Florida is cleaning up from back-to-back hurricanes. With Milton and Helene both having hit Florida hard, its residents have begun to remove debris as rescue teams continue to search for people, millions remain without power, and flood waters are still flowing in some areas. Floridians were warned to steer clear of those waters to not only avoid bacteria, but also stingrays and alligators that might be lurking.

JPMorgan says the soft landing is here. Reporting its first quarterly earnings since the Fed’s big interest rate cut, America’s biggest bank earned more than expected from loans and boosted what it forecasts it’ll earn for the year. Meanwhile, its CFO affirmed that the economy is in good shape, noting, “These results are consistent with a soft landing.” But it wasn’t all puppy dogs and rainbows at JPMorgan: CEO Jamie Dimon cautioned that geopolitical risks remain a looming threat, saying “conditions are treacherous and getting worse.” In other banking news, Wells Fargo also beat earnings expectations.

AI is taking people’s jobs at TikTok. The video app that taught you how to eat a whole cucumber is laying off hundreds of employees around the world, including ~500 in Malaysia, as it folds AI into its content moderation process, Reuters reports. The turn to AI is part of TikTok’s efforts—which include a $2 billion investment in trust and safety initiatives this year—to improve its moderation and keep content that runs afoul of its rules out of your feed.—AR

BANKING

When your bank pleads guilty to helping drug cartels

Person walks past TD Bank Mandel Ngan/Getty Images

TD Bank is expensively apologizing for making itself “convenient” for criminals, federal prosecutors said this week, after the bank agreed to pay authorities $3 billion in a money-laundering-related guilty plea deal.

Unwanted records: TD Bank is the biggest financial institution to cop to conspiracy to commit money laundering in the US, and it got the largest penalty of any bank found to have broken a US anti-laundering law.

According to the Justice Department, TD Bank didn’t monitor at least 90% of transactions between January 2018 and April 2024, which helped criminal networks launder $670 million, mostly in drug money.

  • One person bribed TD Bank employees with $57,000 in gift cards so they’d let him deposit and transfer $470 million from fentanyl and other drug sales, sometimes withdrawing 40–50 times more money than daily limits allow.
  • The bank didn’t raise flags on multiple accounts opened with the same passports, nor on five shell companies that together moved $100 million through the bank.
  • In internal messages, TD employees acknowledged they were “100 percent” aiding money laundering, and one branch manager reportedly told a colleague, “You guys really need to shut this down LOL.”

In timeout: TD Bank was also slapped with the dreaded “asset cap,” which bars growth until the Fed sees TD’s problems fixed. Wells Fargo has been capped since 2018.—ML

   

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ROBOTICS

Would you let Optimus watch your kids?

Optimus humanoid robot dancing on stage. Youtube/Tesla

If investors had to describe Tesla’s robotaxi reveal this week in two words, they would probably be, “womp womp.” But, luckily for CEO Elon Musk, the company also revealed a shiny new toy that stole the show: Optimus.

Musk has teased the humanoid robots since 2021, but he finally provided some new details during Thursday’s demonstration. Optimus, he claims, will soon be able to do things like mow your lawn or watch your kids. He added that the bot will cost $20,000–$30,000 and will be available to purchase…someday.

The robotics market is hot. Goldman Sachs said in a report earlier this year that it expects the total addressable market, or the maximum potential opportunity of humanoid robotics, to hit $38 billion by 2035—a $32 billion increase over its previous projections. It credits much of that bump to rapid advancements in AI.

That might be lowballing the market if Musk’s prediction that Optimus will be “the biggest product ever of any kind” comes to fruition. But considering how crowded the market already is, and the bot’s current skills of 1) dancing 2) playing rock, paper, scissors and 3) wearing cowboy hats, it might be awhile before that happens. Still, the I, Robot-lookin’ automaton received a more enthusiastic reception from observers than did the product the event was actually supposed to be for.—MM

   

STAT

Prime number: Monthly issue

A magazine rack with The Atlantic at the front Robert Alexander/Getty Images

The Atlantic is embracing a strategy that isn’t new—it goes all the way back to Johannes Gutenberg—but is unusual in the current media landscape: The magazine is putting more resources into print. The 167-year-old periodical is upping its annual output from 10 issues to 12, making it a true monthly again for the first time since 2002, per CNN.

What’s driving the magazine to double down on a format that’s most commonly associated with airports and doctors’ waiting rooms after most media companies pivoted hard to the internet? The Atlantic recently passed 1 million subscribers—and most readers get both a hard copy and a digital version. Plus, the publication, owned by Laurene Powell Jobs, announced in March that it had returned to profitability, bouncing back from a $20 million loss three years before. And it’s not the only one with faith in the power of print: The Onion’s new leadership also recently hatched a plan to bring back its print edition for paying subscribers (that’s not a joke).—AR

SPACE

Space-to-Earth supply chains are becoming a reality

The ISS in space with a view of the Earth Nasa/Getty Images

Unless you have space tourism cash, you may not see how space exploration benefits Earthlings beyond satellite internet and neat Insta reels from the ISS.

But a novel push to build factories in orbit might change how you think about the billions of dollars being poured into rocket launches. Pioneering scientists, engineers, and entrepreneurs hope to harness the zero-gravity environment to produce items that are either extremely impractical or impossible to make on Earth, from cutting-edge cancer drugs to game-changing semiconductors.

Read more about the budding orbital industrial revolution here.

NEWS

What else is brewing

  • The Nobel Peace Prize was awarded to Nihon Hidankyo, a Japanese organization of survivors of the atomic bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki, that advocates against nuclear weapons.
  • Boeing plans to lay off 10% of its workforce, or ~17,000 people, to cut costs as its factory workers’ strike continues.
  • Stellantis’ CEO plans to step down as the head of the struggling automaker in 2026.
  • The Kremlin confirmed that Donald Trump had sent Covid tests to Vladimir Putin, as reported in Bob Woodward’s new book.
  • Oregon-based BrucePac recalled 10 million pounds of meat and poultry over listeria concerns.
  • It’s Yom Kippur. Wishing a meaningful and easy fast to our readers who observe.

RECS

Saturday To-Do List graphic

Watch: Why cheese is yellow but milk is white.

Preserve your jack-o’-lantern: How to keep a carved pumpkin fresh.

Take in the extended view: The winners of a panoramic photo contest.

See the future: This app predicts who you’ll vote for based on your lifestyle.

Reach new realms: Looking for the key to unlock your business’s retail potential? Get the scoop on how to increase engagement, boost efficiency, and accelerate growth. Start here.*

*A message from our sponsor.

GAMES

The puzzle section

Brew Crossword: If you know what Taylor Swift’s tour is called, you’re on your way to solving today’s crossword. Play it here.

Open House

Welcome to Open House, the only newsletter section that can almost hand runners a cup of Gatorade from its front door. We’ll give you a few facts about a listing and you try to guess the price.

Main house and guest house/yoga studio in Old Town neighborhood of Chicago.Zillow

Today’s home is in Chicago, IL in the Old Town neighborhood, and it’s right off the route for tomorrow’s marathon. The kitchen was featured in Food & Wine magazine, so visitors can constantly feel a sense of unsettling déjà vu when they walk into your home. Amenities include:

  • 5 beds, 6 baths
  • Heated walkway from garage to house
  • Minimal sharp edges

How much for the luxurious compound?

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ANSWER

Answer:

$5.9 million

Word of the Day

Today’s Word of the Day is: déjà vu, meaning “a feeling of having already experienced the present situation.” Thanks to Mary from North Carolina for the familiar suggestion. Submit another Word of the Day here.

✳︎ A Note From Miso Robotics

This is a paid advertisement for Miso Robotics’ Regulation A offering. Please read the offering circular at invest.misorobotics.com.

         
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