Finimize - 🛢️ Saudi's oil trouble

Saudi Aramco's earnings disappointed, India's foreign investors left, and the best weather photographs |
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Hi Reader, here's what you need to know for November 6th in 3:14 minutes.

  1. Saudi Aramco’s earnings were on the slide, but shareholders still got their money from a hefty dividend
  2. Costco’s big story: why members love its stores and investors adore its returns – Read Now
  3. Foreign investors said goodbye to India’s stocks, as the country’s economy cooled

⚖️ It's nice to be on the right side of the law. So join Trimaxian CEO Scott Hardy at our Modern Investor Summit and find out how to invest in lawsuits. Grab your free ticket

Slip Up
Slip Up

What’s going on here?

Saudi Aramco reported disappointing earnings on Tuesday, but managed to keep its government shareholders happy with a huge payout.

What does this mean?

As the biggest fish in the oil game, Aramco serves as a bellwether for the global energy industry. So the fact that its profit shrank by 15% last quarter from a year ago is a good indication of how the sector’s doing. Still, Aramco kept its quarterly dividend – the world’s biggest – unchanged at $31 billion, which is a lot more than the cold, hard money it made last quarter. That left its balance sheet with more debt than cash for the first time in two years. And that may be a problem, but it’s hardly negotiable: the Saudi government, which owns nearly all of Aramco, depends on the payout to fund its economic transformation plans. Almost ironically, a huge part of those projects is diversifying away from oil.

Why should I care?

Zooming in: Curb your enthusiasm.

Aramco’s been allowed to churn out “only” nine million barrels of the slippery stuff a day for over a year – thanks to OPEC+’s agreed-upon production curbs. And while the group of the world’s biggest oil-producing countries had been planning to open the taps a tad in December, it just announced it would delay the move by a month. That was the second postponement in a row, driven partly by weak demand in China and flowing oil supply from the US, both of which are creating a glut in the crude market.

The bigger picture: Plugging the gap.

Fresh data last week showed oil production in the US jumped to a monthly record of 13.4 million barrels a day in August. So it’s hardly surprising that OPEC+’s massive output curbs haven’t exactly had the impact you might expect, with countries outside of the group – especially the US – more than happy to make up the difference.

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TODAY'S INSIGHT

Costco Has A Cult-Like Following And A Stock You Might Want To Own In Bulk

Theodora Lee Joseph, CFA

Costco Has A Cult-Like Following And A Stock You Might Want To Own In Bulk

Imagine snagging Costco’s stock back in 2000 and watching your investment grow 30 times over in less than 25 years.

When we think of “multi-baggers”, grocery stores aren’t the first thing to spring to mind – it’s usually trailblazing tech firms like Apple, Microsoft, and Nvidia.

But great investments don’t always hinge on innovations or complex business models. Sometimes the best companies thrive by keeping things simple – and Costco is a perfect example.

In this analysis, I’ll explain the firm’s no-fuss, clever business model and show why high-quality firms like this tend to grow in value over time.

I’ll also walk through how to assess a resilient compounding stock like Costco, checking out what’s already priced in and what it means for today’s investors.

That’s today’s Insight: why Costco and its stock have drawn cult followings.

Read or listen to the Insight here

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Some actually soothing results

These days, it’s refreshing to find some truly healing news.

Lucky there’s Biostem (BSEM). The company, which aims to improve lives by tackling wounds head-on, had a record first half of the year, with a whopping $116.4 million in sales.

In the second quarter alone, it raked in revenue of $74.5 million – nearly 74 times higher than the same period last year.

And, perhaps just to show off a bit, it also scored a second consecutive quarter of positive net income of $6.3 million.

In all, it’s shaping up to be a big, healthy year for BSEM which delivers products that help people suffering from diabetic wounds and recovering from surgery.

But if those numbers weren’t balm enough for you, you may be even more soothed to know that BSEM is releasing its third quarter financials on November 12th.

Find Out More

This content is for US investors only. If you are not a US investor, please ignore this content. This content is a paid advertisement for BioStem Technologies Inc from Sideways Frequency and Finimize. This is not Finimize editorial content. Finimize received a fixed fee from Sideways Frequency for producing, hosting, and promoting this content via three email sends on behalf of BioStem Technologies Inc, totaling $13,000. Other than the compensation received for this service, Finimize and its principals are not affiliated with either Sideways Frequency or BioStem Technologies Inc. Finimize and its principals have no ownership in BioStem Technologies Inc.

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Out Of India
Out Of India

What’s going on here?

Foreign investors have been hitting India’s stock market exits, with the country’s bustling economy showing fresh signs of a slowdown.

What does this mean?

Global funds yanked over $10 billion from India in October alone, pushing the stock index dangerously close to a “technical correction” – that is, a dreaded drop of 10% from a previous high. India had been the darling of investors, with its rapid economic growth and booming corporate profits, and a global push to move supply chains out of China. But that glow has started to dim, with valuations looking excessively high, growth appearing weaker, and Chinese stocks lately making a stimulus-fueled comeback.

Why should I care?

For markets: Crunch time for Indian authorities.

Consumer confidence in India has been slipping, as folks cope with higher prices and weaker job prospects. And that's caused companies across sectors – from soap to cars – to warn of a demand slump among the middle class. No surprise then that last quarter’s earnings missed more than they hit, or that economic growth has been dragging its heels at 6.7% – its slowest pace in over a year. Economists now think it’ll stay under 7% for 2024, a dip from 2023’s 8.2%. That’s put Indian policymakers in a bind: they’ll either have to cut interest rates and risk stoking already hot inflation, or hold the line and risk hobbling an already sluggish economy.

For you personally: Weathering the storm.

Investors with an eye on India might want to keep one foot on the gas and one on the brake. The economy may be sputtering, but the government’s revving up a plan to woo back foreign investors by letting them invest in its market’s flexible stock and debt “mezzanine” investments. And that could mean some serious money being pumped back into Indian businesses. So while the ride might be bumpy now, the road ahead could well be headed higher.

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QUOTE OF THE DAY

"I have learned that to be with those I like is enough."

– Walt Whitman (an American poet and essayist)
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🎯 On Our Radar

1. Capturing the storm. Some of the best entries from the world weather photography awards.

2. Don’t leave your options to chance. Master two powerful strategies that can give your portfolio a serious edge.*

3. Still awake. How bluelight from phones might not be the cause of our sleep struggles.

4. Bitcoin’s big news. You can trade the most popular cryptocurrencies without fronting big prices with these micro-sized tools.*

5. A huge undertaking. Saudi Arabia’s constructing the biggest building ever made.

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