Morning Brew - ☕️ Plot twist

A day of reckoning for the movie industry...
Advertisement
September 03, 2020 View Online | Sign Up

Daily Brew

DiversyFund

Good morning. Yesterday, we said that September 2 was a highly unremarkable day on which nothing important ever happened. Of course, many of our readers disagreed and shared some important 9/2 events from history.

  • In 1752, Britain adopted the Gregorian calendar, which means people went to sleep on September 2 and woke up on September 14.
  • In 1945, Japan signed its unconditional surrender on a U.S. battleship, formally ending WWII. 
  • In 1969, the first ATM in the U.S. debuted in Long Island, NY. 
  • In 1989, Nathaniel was born. Happy belated, Nathaniel. 

Till next year.

MARKETS

NASDAQ

12,056.44

+ 0.98%

S&P

3,580.64

+ 1.53%

DJIA

29,099.05

+ 1.58%

GOLD

1,949.20

- 1.50%

10-YR

0.649%

- 2.90 bps

OIL

41.53

- 2.88%

*As of market close

  • Markets: The S&P has now climbed nine out of the last 10 trading days. And the new-look Dow closed above 29,000 for the first time since February.
  • COVID-19 updates: Hotspots in the South are declining while outbreaks in the Midwest are up. The CDC has told all U.S. states to make preparations to distribute a vaccine to healthcare workers by early November.

ENTERTAINMENT

'Tenet' Will Give Us What no Nolan Film Ever Has

Movie popcorn and a face mask

Francis Scialabba

Clarity—about the state of the movie industry, that is. Tenet itself, which debuts in U.S. theaters tonight, has been called Christopher Nolan’s “most confusing movie ever,” and this is the same guy that already turned our brains into oatmeal with Inception.

But will blowing up the basic laws of physics be enough for Warner Bros. to revive a pandemic-stunted box office?

The stakes are higher than a Cats audience

Tenet is the first ultra-hyped, made-for-the-big-screen movie to debut in cinemas since theaters started lifting the curtains last month. By tonight, 70%+ of AMC and Cinemark locations will be open and following strict cleaning protocols.

  • The going theory: If this movie can’t get people off their couches, nothing but a coronavirus vaccine will. 

In the spirit of Christopher Nolan, this analysis now diverges into two possible timelines...

1. It’s a blockbuster: Strong Tenet ticket sales could help theater owners pay backlogged bills and bring chains like AMC back from the brink of bankruptcy. A successful run is a sign that straight-to-streaming can complement, but not entirely replace, in-person theater viewing.

2. It’s a bust: Skipping theaters for home-viewing could become the industry norm. Trolls World Tour already proved the strategy has legs when it grossed about $95 million in digital downloads in three weeks in April. Mulan is launching for $30/pop on Disney+ tomorrow. 

Tenet’s outlook is promising

The film had a strong international showing last weekend, bringing in about $53 million across 41 markets—$13 million above expectations. And Tenet’s advance ticket sales are higher than they were for Interstellar and Dunkirk, per film analytics firm Movio.

Zoom out: The pandemic has put theater chains on the ropes and forced studios to experiment with new formats, like Universal’s deal with AMC to shorten the theatrical window to just 17 days. Could Tenet be the plot twist the industry’s been waiting for?

        

DEBT

The U.S. Looking at Its Credit Card Bill

Jordan Peele Gif

Giphy

The Congressional Budget Office just dropped a historic projection for the U.S. economy. It said government debt will reach 98% of GDP in fiscal 2020 (which ends this month), and surpass 100% of GDP the next fiscal year. 

  • The debt-to-GDP ratio is used as a way to contextualize countries’ debt loads, and 98% is the highest it’s been for the U.S. in generations. The last time U.S. debt exceeded GDP (aka economic output) was in 1946, after the government financed World War II. 

How we got here

As a result of increased government spending and 2017's tax cuts, U.S. debt was on the rise before the pandemic. But the country's finances took two major thwacks early this year: Congress passed trillions in relief spending just as pandemic restrictions dried up government tax revenues. 

Looking ahead...most economists and lawmakers agree that another round of relief measures are necessary. But negotiations have been stalled for about a month now, as Democrats push for a $3 trillion plan and Republicans counter with $1 trillion.

        

GENERAL BIZ

Some Surprising Faces in What’s Up, What’s Down

What's up

Epic rallies: Peloton shares gained 9% yesterday after JPMorgan raised its price target for the red-hot fitness brand. Peloton’s stock has more than tripled this year as the workout-from-home movement continues to soak carpets with sweat. 

Adding the GOAT to the team: Michael Jordan joined the sports betting company DraftKings in an advisory role after buying an equity stake. DraftKings will get a boost from Jordan’s star power and business acumen, but the White Sox and Wizards preach caution. 

Not down as much as we thought: Macy’s reported a (much smaller than expected) net loss of $431 million in Q2...and online sales rose 53% from last year. CEO Jeff Gennette also announced plans to experiment with smaller stores outside of malls.  

What’s down

Epic rallies: It feels weird to type, but Tesla’s stock actually fell. Shares were down as much as 15% yesterday after a top shareholder, investment management firm Baillie Gifford, reduced its position due to portfolio restrictions.  

Extra peanuts: Facing major turbulence, United announced plans to furlough more than 16,300 workers when October rolls around. It’s far less than the 36,000 cuts it warned of in July, but the outlook for airlines remains bleak with demand simmering at 30% of typical levels.

        

SPONSORED BY DIVERSYFUND

Put That Gold Pan Away

DiversyFund

For centuries, the uber-wealthy have kept their wealth-growing ways a secret, leaving us normal folk to come up with our own ideas—like sifting through rivers with gold pans or betting the farm on our reality TV show concept, Extreme PB&Jing.

But DiversyFund is blowing the lid off the longest-kept wealth-growing secret: real estate.

A private real estate investment trust (REIT) is considered by many experts to be a smart way to diversify your portfolio and grow your wealth. For a long time, rich big shots were the only ones with the resources to access this—leaving the unstable, unreliable stock market to the rest of us.

Now—with just a $500 minimum investment—DiversyFund is helping all investors create long-term wealth like the 1%.

Put those gold pans in the closet and forget ’em, friends.

Invest with DiversyFund here.

HOUSING

How We Gonna Pay This Year's Rent?

Cancel rent sign

Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images

You may not have to. Tuesday night, President Trump enacted an emergency order to prevent evictions through Dec. 31. 

Why? More than 20 million renters live in households that have experienced coronavirus-related job losses, the Aspen Institute estimates. Congress’s March relief package gave renters some insulation from evictions, but those protections have expired. The CDC is worried about a crush of renters losing their shelter and spreading COVID-19. 

  • The protection is only available to certain renters— those with an expected income of <$99,000 and who can show they’ve suffered financial losses because of the pandemic, among other qualifications. 

The reaction: Tenant and landlord organizations are...actually on the same page. Tenant advocates cheered the move, but said what’s really needed is financial assistance so renters don’t get stuck with a giant bill on January 1, 2021. Landlord groups want the same thing, so they can get some help covering insurance, taxes, and payroll.

        

TOYS

Lego Isn’t Playing Around

Lego movie gif

Giphy

The largest toymaker in the world built some serious quarantine momentum, reporting a 14% rise in sales in the first half of the year. It also read the pandemic instructions on ecommerce—website visits doubled to 100 million. 

The growth was fueled by...

  • The usual suspects: Products from its Harry Potter, Disney Princess, and Star Wars lines were among the best performers.
  • Some new faces: Sales of the most expensive and intricate sets grew 2.5x in the first half of the year. 

That’s because it’s not just kids getting in on the action. "We have more than a million adult fans signed up to our website," Lego CEO Niels Christiansen told the BBC. 

Bottom line: Despite the huge increase in online traffic, Lego still appreciates bricks...and mortar. The company said it was on track to open 120 new store locations around the world this year.

        

HOLY MOLY

How Was Your Wednesday?

David Blaine screenshot

YouTube screenshot

David Blaine’s was dizzying. Yesterday, the stuntman ascended 24,900 ft. in the air via balloons in Arizona...or rather, over Arizona. He parachuted down to safety after about 30 minutes. 

Any final thoughts, Mr. Blaine? “Wow, that was awesome,” the daredevil said after landing.

        

WHAT ELSE IS BREWING

  • Airbnb was reportedly approached by hedge fund manager Bill Ackman about a merger with his special purpose acquisition company (SPAC), but is for now opting for a traditional IPO.
  • Robinhood, the popular trading app, is facing a fraud investigation from the SEC for failing to fully disclose its practice of selling orders to high-speed trading firms, the WSJ reports. 
  • Steroids that are cheap and readily available reduced the risk of death in hospitalized COVID-19 patients by one-third, the WHO concluded in a new study.
  • Joe Biden’s campaign and fundraising committees raised $364.5 million in August, a monthly record for a presidential campaign.
  • Prince Harry and Meghan signed a multiyear production deal with Netflix.

SPONSORED BY DIVERSYFUND

DiversyFund

When the stock hits the fan, there’s real estate. DiversyFund makes it easy to invest in multifamily real estate, like apartment buildings, a typically stabilized asset class once reserved for the uber-rich. Instead of risking that hard-earned cheddar on a topsy-turvy market, diversify your holdings and build for the future by investing with DiversyFund.

BREW'S BETS

Dumbbell shortage: Can’t find exercise equipment? Here are some bodyweight workouts, fitness tips, and 23 other at-home exercises.

All hail: This man proposes renaming "boneless chicken wings" at a Lincoln, NE, city council meeting. Laugh out loud stuff. 

Take a deep breath: Do a quick meditation exercise on this website, and watch your biggest worries fade away. 

SKYSCRAPER TRIVIA

Today is Skyscraper Day. Is that a real thing? Probably not, but we never turn down trivia material. Here’s today’s question: We’ll give you a year, and you have to name the world’s tallest building in that year. Here we go…

  1. 2000 B.C.E
  2. 1 C.E.
  3. 1885
  4. 1905
  5. 1950
  6. 2010

SHARE THE BREW

Chances are you have a friend who'd enjoy the Brew as much as you do.

When you share your referral link and new readers sign up, you earn rewards like our classic coffee mug.

Click here to get free swag.

Hit the button below to learn more and access your rewards hub.

Click to Share

Or copy & paste your referral link to others:
morningbrew.com/daily/r/?kid=303a04a9

SKYSCRAPER TRIVIA ANSWER

2000 B.C.E.: Great Pyramid of Giza
1 C.E.: Also the Great Pyramid of Giza. Gotcha.
1885: Washington Monument 
1905: Eiffel Tower 
1950: 
Empire State Building 
2010: Burj Khalifa (in Dubai)

For more...here's a cool infographic on the tallest structures throughout history.

              

Written by Eliza Carter, Jamie Wilde, and Toby Howell

Was this email forwarded to you? Sign up here.

WANT MORE BREW?

  Business podcast → Business Casual

ADVERTISE // CAREERS // SHOP

Update your email preferences or unsubscribe here.
View our privacy policy here.

Copyright ©2020 Morning Brew. All rights reserved.
40 Exchange Pl., Suite #300, New York, NY 10005

Older messages

☕️ '90s Kid

Friday, September 4, 2020

The top free courses on LinkedIn... Morning Brew View Online | Sign Up TOGETHER WITH Hero Cosmetics Happy Thursday! Hayden Field here, Morning Brew's newest reporter as of last week. Most days you

☕️ Dumbbell shortage

Monday, August 31, 2020

Remembering the King... Morning Brew View Online | Sign Up TOGETHER WITH Hero Cosmetics Good evening. Your pilot for tonight's Essentials is Ryan Duffy, who normally flies the Emerging Tech Brew

☕️ United drops fees

Monday, August 31, 2020

Apple's and Tesla's stock splits are here... August 31, 2020 View Online | Sign Up Daily Brew TOGETHER WITH BlockFi Good morning. This is your reminder to start thinking of fantasy football

☕️ Elon's new chip

Saturday, August 29, 2020

Stocks had their best August since 1986... August 29, 2020 View Online | Sign Up Daily Brew TOGETHER WITH Paycom Good morning. Horrible news late last night: Chadwick Boseman, the beloved actor who

☕️ Halo effect

Friday, August 28, 2020

Jerome Powell makes a historic announcement... August 28, 2020 View Online | Sign Up Daily Brew TOGETHER WITH Graze Good morning. Want more Brew in your inbox? We know a way, and no, you don't need

You Might Also Like

AI chatbots keep failing every accuracy test thrown at them

Wednesday, March 12, 2025

PLUS: Why Substack's new subscriber milestone is so significant ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏

Everything We’ve Written About That’s on Sale at Nordstrom

Wednesday, March 12, 2025

Plus: Actually cute plus-size maternity clothes. The Strategist Every product is independently selected by editors. If you buy something through our links, New York may earn an affiliate commission.

What A Day: Bad Car-ma

Tuesday, March 11, 2025

Elon Musk's politics are sparking a major Tesla backlash, ironically thanks to Trump. ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏

Rohingya refugees just lost half of their food aid. Now what?

Tuesday, March 11, 2025

An interview with Free Rohingya Coalition what happened last week in Asia, Africa and the Americas Hey, this is Sham Jaff, a freelance journalist focused on Asia, Africa and the Americas and your very

Shayne Coplan’s Big Bet Is Paying Off

Tuesday, March 11, 2025

March 11, 2025 THE MONEY GAME Shayne Coplan's Big Bet Is Paying Off By Jen Wieczner Photo: Dina Litovsky At 6 am on Wednesday, November 13, eight FBI agents in black windbreakers burst through the

We need your input.

Tuesday, March 11, 2025

Share your insights & receive a 70% off forever. ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌

We Talkin’ About Practice?

Tuesday, March 11, 2025

Nobody Told Me There'd Be Days Like These ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏

Seattle startup takes eco-friendly aim at recycling clothing 

Tuesday, March 11, 2025

Read AI rolls out enterprise search tool | Hard time for hardware ADVERTISEMENT GeekWire SPONSOR MESSAGE: A limited number of table sponsorships are available at the 2025 GeekWire Awards: Secure your

☕ The beauty of it all

Tuesday, March 11, 2025

A conversation with Ulta Beauty's CMO. March 11, 2025 View Online | Sign Up Marketing Brew Presented By Iterable It's Tuesday. Count Kathy Hochul as an ad buyer. The governor of New York is

🤔 What’s in your wallet? A scam.

Tuesday, March 11, 2025

Plus, a new streaming deal is the latest gift to Trump from the billionaire CEO and his company — which profits off government contracts. Forward this email to others so they can sign up 🔥 Today on