Morning Brew - ☕️ Outrage in CA

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December 07, 2020 View Online | Sign Up

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Good morning. There are just over 2 million seconds left in the year. But who's counting? 

Hope everyone has a great start to the week.

MARKETS YTD PERFORMANCE

NASDAQ

12,464.23

+ 38.91%

S&P

3,699.12

+ 14.50%

DOW

30,218.26

+ 5.89%

GOLD

1,840.10

+ 21.06%

10-YR

0.970%

- 95.00 bps

OIL

46.22

- 24.49%

*As of market close

  • Markets: As you can see from all the neon green above, the U.S.’ major stock indexes have posted solid gains in 2020 (the tech-heavy Nasdaq more so than the other two, of course). And they’re kicking off this week at record highs.
  • Brexit: The UK and the EU are racing to strike an agreement this week to avoid a “no deal” Brexit that could cause chaos for the British economy and the markets. If you can remember, the actual Brexit referendum took place in June 2016.

PHARMA

Shots Shots Shots Shots Shots Shots

Russian vaccine

KIRILL KUDRYAVTSEV/AFP via Getty Images

This week, Western nations are set to administer their first doses of the coronavirus vaccine, capping a remarkable scientific achievement that will save an untold number of lives and help the global economy recover from a historic recession.

  • Some countries have already started their vaccine programs. Russia began inoculating its citizens on Saturday with its Sputnik V vaccine, and about 1 million Chinese people have already been vaccinated. 

The arrival of vaccines marks the beginning of the end of this dark chapter in human history, but also the beginning of the beginning. In the U.S., priority will be given to healthcare workers and residents of long-term-care facilities, and healthy folks might not receive a vaccine until April. 

The debate over timing

On Thursday, the FDA is expected to vote on approving the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine for emergency use, and it could be administered to Americans the next day.  

The timing of that vote has been controversial. The UK approved the same vaccine last Wednesday, and is set to start inoculating people tomorrow, a few days ahead of the U.S. Some experts questioned why the FDA would wait weeks after Pfizer asked for approval (Nov. 20) to hold a vote as thousands of Americans die from Covid every day. 

  • FDA insiders told Stat News this interim time period was necessary to analyze the raw data and give the vaccine the thorough check it needs, considering it’ll be administered to hundreds of millions of people.  
  • In further defense of the FDA’s process, last week the U.S.’ top infectious disease official, Dr. Anthony Fauci, called the UK ruling “rushed,” which ticked off some British health officials. Fauci later apologized and said UK regulators had his full confidence. 

Bottom line: Investors have been zeroed in on the promising news of the Covid-19 vaccines while mostly ignoring the U.S.’ spiraling outbreak and bleak jobs report from Friday. 

        

SMALL BIZ

Lots of Coronavirus and Outrage in California

Closed playground

Los Angeles Times via Getty Images

As of 11:59pm last night, 33 million Californians, about 84% of the state’s population, were subject to new stay-at-home restrictions aimed at preventing a Covid-19 catastrophe at hospitals.

  • Those restrictions, which are triggered when a region’s ICU capacity falls below 15%, require a halt to in-person dining and the closure of businesses such as wineries, nail salons, and zoos. 

Many business owners are outraged with what they say are exceedingly strict and randomly applied rules. In a video that went viral Saturday, a Sherman Oaks restaurant owner showed a catering tent set up for a film crew (allowed, since entertainment workers are considered essential in California) right next door to her own outdoor dining patio, which sits empty because of the ban.

  • The county health department responded that, unlike diners, film crews are regularly tested for Covid and must follow other strict health practices.

Bottom line: California leaders are struggling to address the growing public health crisis (LA County hit a record number of cases four times last week) and simmering anger from devastated small businesses.  

        

COMMODITIES

Metals Show Their Mettle

While the bitcoin vs. gold debate has grabbed the attention of metalheads recently, less precious metals like copper, iron ore, and nickel have quietly been some of the best-performing assets of the year, the WSJ reports. 

Prices of raw materials tend to rise when the U.S. and China are playing nice in the trade sandbox, but most importantly, when they’re making a lot of stuff

  • Demand for electric cars and new homes, in particular, has turned manufacturing into the LeBron of the global economy, carrying the J.R. Smiths—travel, leisure, and services. 

Plus, the U.S. and China’s geopolitical game of chicken led to uncertainty for mining companies, which slowed investment in new mines from 2016 on. Now, prices are skyrocketing because demand is far outstripping supply.

Looking ahead...appetite for metals is growing as more countries invest in renewable energy systems like wind turbines which are “at least five times more copper-intensive than conventional power,” according to a report from Jefferies. 

        

SPONSORED BY BOMBAS

The Holidays Are Afoot

Bombas

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Everyone has a thing. And Bombas are the perfect gift to say, “Hey, I remember that thing.” Whether it's gripper socks for the yoga addict, hiking socks for the nature lover, or Merino Wool socks and tees for those who love to be cozy from head to toe. 

Plus, when you give the gift of Bombas, they donate a pair to someone in need—so every pair you give doubles as a gift for someone else's feet too. They’ve donated over 40 million pairs of socks so far.

From festive snowflake patterns to perfectly-picked gift boxes, stock your stockings with the gift of Bombas

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SPORTS

A Feel-Good Football Story

Road trip

Google Maps

This global pandemic has given us a few magical moments you have to savor. The most recent happened Saturday night, when Brigham Young University played Coastal Carolina in a college football game dubbed “Mormons vs. Mullets.” 

These two teams were not supposed to play one another. Earlier in the week, Liberty University had to cancel on Coastal because of a Covid-19 outbreak, and Coastal needed to find an opponent—ideally a good one, considering the team was undefeated and wanted to beef up its résumé.  

Enter BYU, whose program also needed another marquee win. The two schools got to talking and on Thursday agreed that BYU would make the cross-country trip to play Coastal in Conway, South Carolina, not far from Myrtle Beach.

  • The matchup was helped along by ESPN execs, who know a thing or two about programming flexibility during the pandemic. 
  • And the game itself was thrilling—Coastal Carolina eked out a win that came down to the last play. 

Zoom out: Sports leagues and TV networks have learned that, without a bubble, you should prepare for logistical headaches. A few days ago, the NBA released only half of its regular-season schedule to give itself the wiggle room the NFL wishes it had.  

        

CALENDAR

Week Ahead: Airbnb's IPO and Congressional Compromises

IPOs: The IPO bonanza we’ve been talking about for months is finally here. Airbnb, one of the U.S.’ most valuable private startups, is expected to start trading on Thursday at a market cap of more than $31 billion. Food delivery giant DoorDash could be worth even more than that when it goes public on Wednesday. 

Stimulus: Talks picked up momentum last week after top Democrats supported a compromise bill with a much lighter price tag. At the same time, lawmakers must pass a spending measure to avert a government shutdown on Friday. 

Earnings: There aren’t any blockbusters this week, but some interesting companies reporting quarterly financials include Stitch Fix (Monday); Chewy (Tuesday); and Lululemon, Costco, and Oracle (Thursday).

Economic data: We’ll learn more about inflation with the Consumer Price Index reading on Thursday. 

Everything else: 

  • Today is the anniversary of the attack on Pearl Harbor in 1941. 
  • Hanukkah starts at sundown on Thursday.
  • The videogame Cyberpunk 2077 will be released on Thursday after several delays and an astronomical budget.
        

WHAT ELSE IS BREWING

  • Goldman Sachs is considering moving its asset management arm from New York to South Florida, Bloomberg reports.
  • Paysafe, the private equity-backed online payments company, is reportedly close to a $9 billion deal to go public via SPAC.
  • Tesla released its first diversity report. Black employees account for 4% of leadership positions, and women make up 17% of those leadership roles. 
  • Mastercard is reviewing its relationship with the parent company of Pornhub after NYT columnist Nicholas Kristof wrote that the site fails to adequately block violent content and child videos. 
  • The Hartford Courant, the U.S.’ oldest continuously published newspaper, will close its physical offices.
  • YouTuber Logan Paul will face Floyd Mayweather Jr. in an exhibition boxing match that will make both men gobs of money. Feb. 20 is the date.

BREW'S BETS

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The bone bot will see you make you happy now. The future of orthopedic medicine is personalized, and Monogram is leading the revolution. For a limited time, get a 10% bonus just for indicating interest in an investment. Learn more here.*

Gifting ideas: Check out our very own Sidekick Gift Guide or this gallery of great finds on Amazon.

Dive back into the week: 

*This is sponsored advertising content

GAMES

Multiple Choice

For the first time this weekend, many Americans were introduced to Coastal Carolina’s odd nickname—the Chanticleers (pronounced SHON-ti-cleer). So, what is a Chanticleer? 

  1. A fierce rooster originally from The Canterbury Tales 
  2. A spear-like weapon typically used in jousting tournaments
  3. A species of aggressive fish found in the waters off the coast of South Carolina 
  4. An insect-eating plant and cousin of the Venus flytrap

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ANSWER

It's actually the rooster. If you're curious, here's the whole story.

              

Written by Neal Freyman and Toby Howell

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