Finimize - 😨 The first big tax hike arrives

Buy now, Paidy later | Here come the tax hikes |
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Hi Reader, here's what you need to know for September 9th in 3:07 minutes.

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Today's big stories

  1. Payment platform PayPal announced it's buying Japanese buy-now-pay-later startup Paidy
  2. One valuation guru has laid out the three things you need to do to value any company – Read Now
  3. The UK government is planning to raise taxes to claw back some of the cash it spent during the pandemic

Debt Collector

Debt Collector

What’s Going On Here?

PayPal announced this week that it would buy Japanese buy-now-pay-later startup Paidy for $2.7 billion, and the US payment platform is good for it. Honest.

What Does This Mean?

PayPal started offering its own buy-now-pay-later service last year, and customers have since used it to make $3.5 billion worth of purchases. This deal, then, comes as part of the company’s longer-term plan to push further into the industry. And where better to take the next step than Japan: the Holy Grail of aspirational payment services is both home to the world’s third-biggest online shopping market, and a place where nearly 75% of all in-person purchases are made in cash. That makes it one of the few developed countries where notes still have the edge on digital payments, and means Paidy – which already has 6 million users – has plenty of room left to grow.

Why Should I Care?

For markets: Competition is kicking off.
Buy-now-pay-later companies can’t seem to put a foot wrong these days, with the market more than tripling in size in 2020 amid the pandemic-fueled ecommerce boom. And things aren’t showing signs of slowing down: Square agreed to buy Aussie buy-now-pay-later firm Afterpay for $29 billion just last month, while Sweden’s Klarna – now Europe’s most valuable startup – saw its valuation quadruple between September and June to hit $46 billion. But that kind of money draws a crowd, and this once-exclusive club is only going to get a whole lot busier…

For you personally:
Buy now, pay… now?
Not everyone is delighted with the craze, mind you: regulators are worried that customers are forgetting the “pay later” part of the deal and racking up a pile of debt. And if the companies themselves don’t start doing more to prevent that from happening, those regulators might be more than happy to step in and roll out some profit-damaging measures of their own.

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Analyst Take

Aswath Damodaran's Three Need-To-Know Valuation Lessons

Aswath Damodaran's Three Need-To-Know Valuation Lessons

What’s Going On Here?

The idea of valuing a company comes up a lot in investing discussions.

But it’s also one of those theories that no one ever stops to actually, y’know… explain.

That’s why it’s nice to know that Aswath Damodaran – one of the world’s foremost experts on valuation – has boiled the concept down to three simple-but-essential lessons.

Lesson one: valuing a stock isn’t the same thing as pricing a stock, and the gap between the two is where investment opportunities emerge.

Lesson two: a stock’s value is determined by four key drivers, which you can then put into practice to build a discounted cash flow model – the most theoretically sound of valuation models.

And lesson three: a good valuation isn’t just based on numbers. It has to have a good story.

Not sure what that means? Good thing it’s all in today’s Insight.

Read or listen to the Insight here

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Rough Night

Rough Night

What’s Going On Here?

The UK announced plans this week to raise the country’s taxes, as its government tries to survive the morning after the pandemic-fueled night before.

What Does This Mean?

Governments around the world had to dig deep when the coronavirus outbreak brought their economies to a halt last year, and the UK’s was no exception. Now, though, those chickens have come home to roost, and the country has announced plans to raise taxes on its workers. The plan is yet to be approved, but if it is, it’ll add up to one of the biggest influxes of tax revenue as a percentage of the country’s economic output in its history. It’d still leave the UK with a lower tax rate than most other advanced economies, mind you…

Why Should I Care?

For markets: The UK tests the water.
It’s true that tax hikes will bring in some much-needed revenue, but they’re risky too. The move will leave Brits with less disposable income to spend when they’re out and about, which could slow down the all-important economic recovery. Other governments’ eyes, then, will be on how it plays out for the country, especially in Europe – which has said it’ll keep pumping money into its own economy until 2022 – and in the US. Investors are particularly worried about how any tax hikes could affect the latter, and – spoilers – Morgan Stanley and Citibank aren’t optimistic: they just downgraded their outlook for the country’s stocks for the rest of the year (tweet this).

Zooming out: Diamonds aren’t forever.
Less disposable income means less money to spend on life’s little luxuries, which could spell trouble for De Beers. And the diamond mining and retail company was on such a roll too: it reported on Wednesday that it’s on track for its best year since 2016, as stuck-at-home shoppers with money to burn opted to spend it all on a bit of bling.

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💬 Quote of the day

“There is no sunrise so beautiful that it is worth waking me up to see it.”

– Mindy Kaling (an American actress, comedian, and screenwriter)
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🐘 The bigger you are…

… the harder you fall. And certain “ethereum killers” want the second-biggest blockchain to fall real hard so they can take the top spot. Will they manage it? You’ll have to tune in to Ethereum Vs. The Ethereum Killers to find out.

🤔 The Pros And Cons Of Alternative Investments: 5pm UK time, September 6th
📚 How To Navigate Investing In A Meme Stonk World: 2pm UK time, September 8th
💥 How To Master The Crypto Ecosystem: 5pm UK time, September 14th
🥊 Ethereum vs The Ethereum Killers: 1pm UK time, September 15th
🎨 WTF Is Next For NFTs?: 1pm UK time, September 16th
How To Be Greener About Bitcoin: 6pm UK time, September 16th
🔌 When Will Microchips Bounce Back?: 1pm UK time, September 17th
💰 A Guide To Valuing Crypto Assets: 5pm UK time, September 17th
🚗 How To Profit From The EV Boom: 5pm UK time, September 20th
🔒 Navigating The World Of Bitcoin Security: 6pm UK time, September 21st
🚀 Should You Jump On The NFT Bandwagon?: 1pm UK time, September 22nd
📱 How To Be A Diligent Tech Investor: 4pm UK time, September 22nd
♻️ How To Turn Your Portfolio Green : 6pm UK time, September 23rd
🛢 How To Build A Commodities Portfolio: 6pm UK Time, September 27th
🤠 How To Win Big With Fractional Shares: 5pm UK time, September 28th
💰 Does It Make Sense To Own Bonds In 2021?: 3pm UK time, September 29th
🤖 The Pros And Cons Of Algorithmic Trading: 6pm UK time, September 29th

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