Finimize - 😎 The OECD says relax

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Today's big stories

A global economic organization warned inflation could be worse than it thought, but the biggest countries should be fine
Indexes are constantly rebalancing their stocks, and there’s a simple and profitable strategy you could use whenever they do – Read Now
The US announced it’ll be allowing vaccinated visitors into the country, sending airlines stocks higher

Cool, Calm, Collected

What’s Going On Here?

A major economic organization said on Tuesday that inflation is here to stay for the next two years, but it’s actually remarkably relaxed about the whole affair.

What Does This Mean?

Let us count the ways prices are being pushed higher and higher these days: massive pent-up demand, ongoing supply chain bottlenecks, sweeping government economic support, surging energy costs for manufacturers and homeowners alike – the list goes on. The US and the UK have already read the writing on the wall and bumped up their inflation forecasts, but now it’s the OECD’s turn: the organization is predicting that the inflation rate across 20 of the biggest economies will hit 3.7% in 2021 and 3.9% in 2022 – up from its earlier forecasts of 3.5% and 3.4% respectively.

Why Should I Care?

The bigger picture: There’s hope yet.
The OECD isn’t particularly het up about the situation, saying there probably won’t be much long-term damage to these countries’ economies if they can successfully navigate the inflation challenges. It wasn’t quite so confident about emerging economies’ chances, mind you: their high debt, high rates of infection, and low rates of vaccination mean they’re likely to have much weaker recoveries ahead of them.

Zooming out: China’s no biggy either.
China’s latest crackdown has plenty of investors on edge: the country’s been coming down hard on the property sector, which represents an estimated 29% of the country’s economy. So it follows that investors aren’t just worried about what effect the collapse of giants like Evergrande might have on the country’s economy, but on the world at large. But even that doesn’t seem to worry the OECD too much: it reckons China’s financial system isn’t interconnected enough with the rest of the world’s to cause wholesale problems.

You might also like: How to protect your portfolio from sky-high inflation.

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Analyst Take

Here’s A Simple Trade That Could Earn You A 20% Return On Average

What’s Going On Here?

You all know the cardinal rule of investing: buy low, sell high.

But stock market indexes actually tend to do the complete reverse of that.

Remember, indexes are regularly rebalanced to include stocks that have gone up in value and remove stocks that have done the opposite.

And since those that have gone up in value are popular with investors and those that have fallen aren’t, that means indexes often have to go against the grain: they buy high, sell low.

That has a surprising effect on those companies’ share prices, and there’s a simple trade you could use to take advantage – one that would’ve made you 20% on average over the last two decades.

So that’s today’s Insight: the simple strategy you could use to bank yourself 20% returns, and why it’s proven itself so effective.

Read or listen to the Insight here

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