Forbes - Rent the Runway's up-and-down debut

Kevin Dowd
Staff Writer
October 27, 2021
Big Things
Rent the Runway's active subscriber base has grown 104% since the start of 2021 as customers return in the wake of pandemic lockdowns. Getty Images
1. IPOs are still in fashion
Rent the Runway was founded 13 years ago. It has raised more than $690 million in venture capital. Its valuation has been declining, slipping from $1 billion in 2019 to $870 million earlier this year. Despite all those years to mature and all that private funding, the company is still losing gobs of money: It had a net loss of $171 million last year on just $158 million in revenue.

To be fair, the pandemic hammered Rent the Runway's business of renting out designer fashions, driving away tens of thousands of subscribers. Looking good, after all, became less of a priority in the Year of Zoom. But 2019 was only marginally better, with a loss of $154 million against $257 million in revenue. And the deleterious effects of the pandemic are lingering. While many of those absent customers have resumed their subscriptions, the company still lost $84.7 million on $80 million in revenue during the first six months of its fiscal 2021.

There are so many numbers in an IPO filing that you can twist them to tell any story you like. I'm sure the one Rent the Runway told investors in the run-up to its public debut was very different from the above tale. And for a while today, it seemed like public investors were picking up what the company was putting down: Rent the Runway raised $357 million by pricing its IPO at $21 per share, the top end of its expected range, and those shares shot up 10% once they began trading, taking the company's market cap to $1.4 billion—up 61% from its last round of private funding in April.

But as the afternoon progressed, the tide began to turn. After topping $24 at one point, Rent the Runway stock slipped to about $20, marking a 4% dip from its IPO price. As I'm writing this, though, it's begun to tick up again, topping $20.50. We'll see what happens the rest of the day.

Ultimately, the company's debut was a mixed bag. Considering those recent losses, though, I'd hazard a guess that executives were more concerned with maximizing the IPO proceeds than any initial volatility.

Seen from that angle, it's the latest success story from the IPO market in 2021, the friendliest year for public debuts we've seen since the dot-com boom. Coming into the year, the biggest IPO year of the past decade was 2014, when 275 listings combined to raise $85.3 billion, according to data from Renaissance Capital. This year, we've already seen 344 IPOs and $160.4 billion in combined proceeds—increases of 25% and 88%, respectively. And despite
some recent signs of market chilliness, the hits are going to keep on coming. There have been so many significant IPO developments lately that today's Big Things section is devoted entirely to news about debuts. Yep, this is a themed edition—buckle up.

As is pretty much always the case these days, most of this year's buzziest IPOs have come from tech companies. And while Rent the Runway may describe itself as a "closet in the cloud," it is not a tech company, at least not in the sense that most people would use the phrase "tech company."

Instead, it falls in the apparel space—which is on something of a run high-profile debuts. Eyewear retailer
Warby Parker conducted a direct listing late last month, with its shares soaring more than 30% above their reference point during the first day of trading. Its stock has remained at that lofty level in the weeks since, giving the company a $5.6 billion market cap, compared to $3 billion with its final round of private funding. And Allbirds, a maker and retailer of eco-conscious sneakers, revealed the initial range for its coming IPO this week, indicating ambitions of reaching a $2.2 valuation.

Founded in 2008 by former Harvard Business School classmates
Jennifer Hyman and Jennifer Fleiss, Rent the Runway emerged during the 2010s as a prominent e-commerce brand, a prolific raiser of venture capital, and an all-too-infrequent example of a well-known, well-funded startup led by women. Hyman, the CEO, holds a 5.1% stake in Rent the Runway that's now worth $48.9 million, as my colleague Eliza Haverstock writes. Fleiss left the company in 2017, but she maintains a $12 million stake.

Rent the Runway was already showing signs of strain before anyone had ever heard of COVID-19, and the pandemic only increased the pain. Hyman is hoping that a move to the public markets will help right the ship. Today was a bit of an uncertain start.
Paytm is preparing for a potential $20 billion IPO. Lightrocket via Getty Images
2. The wide world of fintech
For the next stop on our IPO tour, we'll turn to two upcoming offerings from regional fintech powerhouses that are set to dwarf Rent the Runway's debut.

In India,
Paytm set the initial price range for its looming listing, revealing plans to raise as much as $2.4 billion and land a $20 billion valuation. The provider of online payments tools and an array of other digital services is one of several Indian unicorns that have already conducted or are planning IPOs—but it could be the biggest of the bunch. Paytm has raised more than $5 billion in venture funding over the past six years alone, according to PitchBook, with its valuation climbing to $16 billion in 2019.

In Brazil, digital banking startup
Nubank filed for an IPO in the U.S., a listing that previous reports have indicated could result in a whopping $55 billion valuation. That would continue a rapid rise for the company: It was valued at just $2 billion in March 2018, but that figure climbed to $10 billion in 2019 and reached $30 billion earlier this year when Berkshire Hathaway made a $500 million investment.

Like Paytm with payments, Nubank has broadened beyond its core banking services, helping drive that recent growth and creating the potential for even more. From
my colleague Maria Abreu:

"The lender makes money mainly through interchange fees—the 5% of credit card sales merchants kick back to issuers and the banks—but in the past year, it has diversified its product offerings, which now also include investments, personal loans, instant payments, life insurance and international transfers."

It was already enough to win over
Warren Buffett. Soon, it will be time to see what the public thinks.
Permira portfolio companies have been busy hitting the exits in 2021. Getty Images
3. Permira gets real
The exits and potential exits keep piling up for Permira, as the U.K.-based firm pushes to realize some recent big-ticket investments while the market remains red-hot.

Permira is the largest investor in
Informatica, a provider of data management software that debuted today on the NYSE. The California-based company raised $841 million in the IPO, pricing a complement of 29 million shares at $29 apiece—at the low end of its expected range. Shares of Informatica ticked down 1% during its first hour of trading, giving it a market cap of about $7.8 billion.

Permira will control 45.6% of Informatica's voting rights moving forward, while
Canada Pension Plan Investment Board will retain another 26.8%. This IPO marks a return to the public markets for Informatica after a hiatus of a half-dozen years, coming after Permira and CPPIB conducted a take-private buyout worth $5.3 billion in 2015.

This is Permira's third billion-dollar IPO of the year, and more could be on the way in the months to come. Permira-backed boot brand
Dr. Martens was valued at some $5 billion when it went public in January. Cybersecurity technology specialist Exclusive Networks was valued at nearly $2.1 billion when it went public in Paris last month. And along with Hellman & Friedman, Permira is a backer of Genesys, a provider of call-center software that could conduct a $20 billion IPO next year.

Other exit pathways are also possibilities for Permira, which is reportedly seeking to raise more than $15 billion
for its next flagship fund. Bloomberg reported this week that the firm is trying to sell DiversiTech, with hopes of valuing the maker of HVAC products at $1.5 billion. Permira is also reportedly discussing a multibillion-dollar sale of Tricor with multiple other private equity heavyweights. And two weeks ago, it announced the sale of contract development organization Lyophilization Services of New England to PCI Pharma Services.
Moscow in winter. Getty Images
4. From Russia with stock
We conclude today's survey of the global IPO landscape in Russia—not traditionally a hotbed of public market activity, but a place where business has been booming the past two weeks.

Softline, an IT provider that operated from Moscow for 27 years before moving its headquarters to the U.K. in 2020, began trading in London today after an IPO that raised $400 million and valued the company at $1.5 billion. Softline had originally hoped for a higher offering price, and its shared closed down about 2% for the day, making the debut a minor disappointment. But it will have a chance to bounce back: Softline is expected to conduct a secondary listing on the Moscow Exchange later this year.

Mercury Retail, an operator of low-cost alcohol and convenience stores in Russia, said this week that it's planning a listing in Moscow, one the company hopes will raise $1 billion in proceeds, according to Reuters. Bloomberg, meanwhile, reported earlier this year that Mercury could seek a $20 billion valuation in the listing. The company generated some $4.7 billion in sales during the first half of 2021 alone.

Last week, meanwhile, Russia's
Renaissance Insurance Group went public in Moscow, raising $250 million in proceeds and valuing the online insurance provider at nearly $950 million. And Delimobil, the operator of a car-sharing platform in Russia, filed earlier this month for an IPO in the U.S. The company will aim to raise $240 million and reach a $900 million valuation, according to an updated filing from earlier this week.
Other Things
• We have a rare billion-dollar exit from the Big Easy: Swedish market research specialist Cint Group signed a pact to pay nearly $1.1 billion in cash and debt for Lucid, a startup from New Orleans that creates software for first-person surveys and other market research. Lucid hasn't raised venture funding since 2017, per PitchBook, when it brought in $60 million from investors including Guidepost Growth Equity, Autodesk Ventures and GE Ventures. This is Cint's second acquisition since going public in Stockholm in February. Before that, the company was owned by Nordic Capital for five years.

• Shares in
Temenos closed up more than 8% today after a Bloomberg report that EQT is considering a bid to buy the Swiss company, taking the maker of banking software's market cap to nearly 10 billion Swiss francs (about $10.9 billion). If a deal does materialize, it could be the largest take-private buyout in Europe in more than a decade. And it would be the latest example of EQT splashing cash around the continent. The firm was involved in deals earlier deals this year to invest €3.5 billion (about $4.1 billion) in veterinary group IVC Evidensia, to buy clinical research organization Parexel for $8.5 billion and to acquire waste disposal specialist Covanta for $5.3 billion.

Phillips 66 revealed plans to pay $3.4 billion in stock to acquire the rest of its main pipeline affiliate that it doesn't already own, with plans to absorb the unit as a full subsidiary upon the expected close of the deal early next year. The Houston-based oil giant will exchange one-half of a Phillips 66 share for each share of the publicly traded affiliate, called Phillips 66 Partners, which has a current market cap of $9 billion. The move is the latest sign of a reversal from the mid-2010s trend of energy companies spinning out their pipeline operations as independent businesses. Shares of Phillips 66 were down 5% today after the restructuring was announced, dropping its market cap to nearly $34 billion.

• Barely two weeks after merging two of its software subsidiaries with
Aspen Technologies in an $11 billion deal, Emerson Electric is now mulling some more restructuring. The industrial group has launched a sale process for Therm-O-Disc, a maker of thermostats and related technology, with hopes of attaining a $1 billion valuation, according to Bloomberg. It seems like new chief executive Lal Karsanbhai is eager to make his mark on Emerson after taking over in January from David Farr, who retired following 21 years in the top job at the St. Louis-based conglomerate.

• German real estate owner
Adler Group said on Tuesday that it had signed a letter of intent to sell a portfolio of 14,368 units located mainly in East Germany to a "leading investment fund" for €1 billion (nearly $1.2 billion). Shortly thereafter, Bloomberg reported that said investment fund is KKR, which will take on the assets through a deal designed to help Adler reduce a significant debt load. German residential real estate has been an unlikely dealmaking hotspot this week: Vonovia previously completed its $22 billion takeover of rival Deutsche Wohnen, creating a landlord with 568,000 apartments, including a large presence in the East German city of Berlin.

• Longtime life sciences investor
Bain Capital is once again dipping into the space, announcing a deal today to inject as much as $300 million into Cardurion Pharmaceuticals, a clinical-stage company focused on treatments for heart failure and other cardiovascular conditions. In backing the Boston-based company, Bain will join existing investors Takeda Pharmaceuticals and Polaris Partners, which have owned stakes in Cardurion since 2017 and 2019, respectively. Capital for Bain's investment will come from both its life sciences unit and its private equity arm. The firm closed a new life sciences fund in August with $1.9 billion in commitments.

• Data and risk assessment specialist
Verisk reached an agreement to buy Actineo, a provider of insurance services and software for managing bodily injury claims, from The Riverside Company, which has owned the German company for about two-and-a-half years. This is Verisk's second acquisition of the past two months, following the September takeover of Contact State, a creator of lead-generation technology.

• We have a pair of deals today involving private equity firms buying controlling stakes in companies with "control" in their name, which is the sort of serendipity I always support. In one move,
Sentinel Capital Partners acquired Controlled Products, a manufacturer of synthetic turf, from Clearview Capital, which had backed the Georgia-based company since 2016. And in the other, Sverica Capital Management bought a majority stake in Automated Control Concepts, a New Jersey-based developer of software aimed at making manufacturing operations more efficient.
Things To Read
Veterans of the New York City haunted house circuit weigh in on the secret—and the thrill—of a truly good scare. [The New York Times]

In recent months, private equity firms have been racing to buy up song rights as their latest diversification play. Not everyone in the music industry is happy about it. [
Financial Times]

After a huge spike in the vehicle's stock price last week, the little-known investors behind the SPAC that struck a deal with Donald Trump could be in line for an incredible windfall. [
The Wall Street Journal]

Global energy prices are skyrocketing. And Stephen Schwarzman is sounding a warning. [
CNN]

A longtime partner at Sequoia explains why the firm thinks the time is right to blow up the traditional venture capital model. [
Medium]
Kevin Dowd
Staff Writer
I am a staff writer at Forbes. I previously wrote for PitchBook, where I created The Weekend Pitch, a weekly newsletter about the private markets. Before that, I covered high school sports in the Pacific Northwest, and I graduated from the University of Washington with a degree in journalism and creative writing. I live in Seattle, where I read a lot of books and play a lot of golf.
Follow me on Twitter.
Forbes

You’ve received this email because you’ve opted in to receive Forbes newsletters.

Unsubscribe from Deal Flow.

Or, manage your paid subscriptions on your Forbes profile here.

Manage Email Preferences | Privacy

Forbes Media | 499 Washington Blvd.

Jersey City, NJ 07130

Key phrases

Older messages

Your Free Trial Is Expiring

Wednesday, October 27, 2021

Kevin Dowd Staff Writer Your free trial to Deal Flow by Kevin Dowd is expiring soon. A Daily Deep Dive Into The World of Big Buyouts, Big Acquisitions, Big IPOs and Big Finance Three times a week,

Risky business ⚠️

Wednesday, October 27, 2021

CryptoCodex Forbes Billy Bambrough Forbes Senior Contributor Forbes Good Wednesday morning. This is Billy Bambrough, here with your latest batch of bitcoin and crypto news. Was this newsletter

Ends Soon: Here's a Special Gift

Tuesday, October 26, 2021

Get Unlimited Digital Articles + a Free Issue of the Forbes 400 Magazine Forbes ENDS SOON Your Secret Gift Awaits... When it comes to keeping up with the trends in crypto, advancing your career, or

The Best Deals From Everlane, West Elm And More

Tuesday, October 26, 2021

Plus: Samsung's Galaxy Watch3 Is 55% Off At Best Buy Right Now All products and services featured are independently selected by Forbes Vetted contributors and editors. When you make a purchase

Behind closed doors 🚪

Tuesday, October 26, 2021

CryptoCodex Forbes Billy Bambrough Forbes Senior Contributor Forbes Good Tuesday morning. Billy Bambrough here with what's driving the day in the world of bitcoin and crypto. Was this newsletter

You Might Also Like

Do We Still Elect Nice Guys Like John Avlon to Congress?

Tuesday, April 30, 2024

Columns and commentary on news, politics, business, and technology from the Intelligencer team. Intelligencer stop the presses The Nice Guy Can former CNN pundit John Avlon flip a Long Island

Weed, the people

Tuesday, April 30, 2024

Biden is gearing up to declare marijuana a much less dangerous drug. ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏

An urgent appeal

Tuesday, April 30, 2024

We have just 6 hours left before a critically important fundraising deadline. It might not seem that way right now, but The Intercept really tries to send as few fundraising emails as possible. But the

Let's go to the grocery store

Tuesday, April 30, 2024

Coffee pods we love ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏

Wednesday Briefing: Clashes escalate on U.S. campuses

Tuesday, April 30, 2024

Also, the Tony Award nominees. View in browser|nytimes.com Ad Morning Briefing: Asia Pacific Edition May 1, 2024 Author Headshot By Amelia Nierenberg Good morning. We're covering pro-Palestinian

Amazon stock rises as Q1 earnings top estimates with $143.3B in revenue; AWS sales up 17%

Tuesday, April 30, 2024

Breaking News from GeekWire GeekWire.com | View in browser BREAKING NEWS Amazon stock was up in after-hours trading as the company topped revenue and profit estimates for its first quarter earnings.

The Crossing

Tuesday, April 30, 2024

Crossing Guardian Angel, Throwing Shade at Tourists ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏

How The Ankler converts its free audience into paid subscribers

Tuesday, April 30, 2024

When Richard Rushfield launched his Hollywood industry newsletter The Ankler in 2017, he ran every aspect of the business, from the content creation to the customer service. Today, The Ankler resembles

Capital spending soars in the cloud | Amazon makes AI assistant generally available

Tuesday, April 30, 2024

AI tool creates music for video footage without text prompts ADVERTISEMENT GeekWire SPONSOR MESSAGE: Washington state's second-largest city is the hub of an ambitious regional tech community

☕ Toy story

Tuesday, April 30, 2024

Hasbro and Mattel's earnings. April 30, 2024 Retail Brew It's Tuesday, and Amazon is reporting Q1 earnings today. That might not seem like the biggest deal, but it's worth remembering that