🍾 Is the supply bottleneck finally freeing up?

The BoE gets anticlimactic | Qualcomm plays the room |

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Today's big stories

  1. The Bank of England surprised investors by holding off on raising interest rates
  2. Stocks might be stuck in a rut, but one strategy will allow you to profit regardless – Read Now
  3. Qualcomm reported better-than-expected results, and it’s expecting even more good news to come

Shock Market

Shock Market

What’s Going On Here?

The Bank of England (BoE) said on Thursday that it wouldn’t be raising UK interest rates this month, and grumpy investors can’t stand surprises.

What Does This Mean?

Investors went into this update expecting the BoE to announce that it would be raising interest rates, largely because that’s exactly what it hinted at last month. So it was a real rug-pull when the central bank announced that it’d be keeping rates at their historic lows – especially given its admission that it’s expecting inflation to hit 5% by April next year. Still, the BoE had a solid justification: there are signs that consumer spending might be slowing down due to product shortages and the removal of government support. A rate hike, then, might only risk denting economic growth even more.

Why Should I Care?

For markets: Ditch the pound?
The BoE did say a hike’s likely to arrive in the next few months, but its decision means it’s still cheaper to borrow money in the meantime. That should encourage people and businesses to take out loans and spend their cash, which could be why a major UK stock market index rose following the news. The British pound wasn’t quite so lucky: lower rates for longer make the currency less appealing to international savers and investors, which might be why it fell against the US dollar.

The bigger picture: The Fed stays predictable.
The US Federal Reserve (the Fed) announced on Wednesday that it isn’t hiking interest rates either – not until the country’s unemployment rate improves. But at least investors got something they were expecting: the Fed said it’d start tapering its $120 billion-a-month bond-buying program by $15 billion every month, which could mean the support is gone completely by the middle of next year.

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Analyst Take

Who Needs A Bull Market When You Have A Strategy Like This?

Who Needs A Bull Market When You Have A Strategy Like This?
Photo of Stéphane Renevier

Stéphane Renevier, Analyst

What’s Going On Here?

US stocks have risen 24% this year, and company valuations are sitting at record levels.

So you’d arguably be hard-pressed to squeeze much more gains out of them, which is obviously not an ideal position to be in as an investor.

Thing is, there may be a workaround.

Because if you agree that there’s not a lot of potential upside left, this easy-to-implement strategy might be right up your street.

So that’s today’s Insight: how this strategy works, and why now might be the perfect moment for it.

Read or listen to the Insight here

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Schmooze Operator

Schmooze Operator

What’s Going On Here?

Qualcomm reported better-than-expected quarterly results late on Wednesday, as the US chipmaker rubs elbows with any supplier that can help take it to the top.

What Does This Mean?

There are two key parts to chip production: designing them and manufacturing them. And while Qualcomm takes care of the first step itself, it tends to leave the latter to bigger outfits like TSMC and Samsung. Trouble is, those companies have been struggling to keep up with demand in this shortage-riddled world. So Qualcomm’s pivoted: it’s been turning to multiple manufacturers to make sure it has a stronger supply pipeline than its competitors do. The tactic seems to be working: Qualcomm’s chip revenue climbed by 56% last quarter versus the same time a year ago, which in turn helped boost overall revenue by a better-than-expected 43%.

Why Should I Care?

For markets: Qualcomm seizes the day.
The good news is that the supply chain bottleneck is getting ever-so-slightly better: recent data showed that chip delivery times did get longer last month, but it was the smallest increase in nine months. That might be why investors sent Qualcomm’s stock 8% higher after the announcement – a welcome jump given that, prior to this update, Qualcomm had underperformed an index tracking chipmakers’ stocks by nearly 40% this year.

Zooming in: Variety is the spice of life.
Qualcomm is the biggest maker of smartphone chips in the world, and it said on Wednesday that it’s expecting sales in the segment to hit record levels this quarter (tweet this). But it also seems to be aware that demand won’t hang around forever, and it’s increasingly been branching out into chips for vehicles and the Internet Of Things. The move already seems to be paying off: the company made more than $10 billion from non-smartphone chips between October 2020 and September 2021 – almost a third of its overall chipmaking revenue in the same period.

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đŸ€‘ How To Profit From The Next Crypto Challenger: 5pm UK time, November 8th
👀 The Search For Super Growth Stocks: 3pm UK Time, November 9th
đŸ‘” How To Retire Early With Crypto: 5pm UK Time, November 11th
🇼🇳 How To Tap Into India’s Raw Potential: 9am UK time, November 15th
💡 Will Crypto Regulation Dent Your Portfolio?: 12pm UK time, November 16th
đŸ”„ How The New “Commodity Supercycle” Impacts You: 5pm UK time, November 17th
🚗 How To Buy Into The EV Boom: 1pm UK time, November 18th
💰 Your First Step Into The Cryptoverse: 5pm UK time, November 19th
🚀 Finimize x Ledger Crypto Summit 2021: December 2nd-3rd

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