Finimize - 💨 Hydrogen’s about to have a moment

Walmart knows you’ll be back | Thyssenkrupp gives a krupp about the planet |

Hi Reader, here's what you need to know for November 17th in 3:06 minutes.

🤓 Commodities can help you hedge against inflation, but only if you use them the right way. Join Roqqett’s Glenn Smith for Commodities In Times Of Inflation on Wednesday, and find out how to do exactly that. Get your free ticket

Today's big stories

  1. Walmart reported better-than-expected earnings on Tuesday
  2. Our analyst has settled on the best way to protect your portfolio from inflation once and for all – Read Now
  3. Thyssenkrupp is looking to list its hydrogen business on the stock market

Frequent Shopper Club

Frequent Shopper Club

What’s Going On Here?

Walmart reported better-than-expected quarterly earnings on Tuesday, after the US retailer’s loyal customers kept coming back – whether they wanted to or not.

What Does This Mean?

Shortages of supplies and workers have been pushing up costs around the world, and retailers like Walmart have duly been upping their prices to offset them. And since the company sells products customers need no matter what, it’s in a great position to do just that. That might be why revenue from its existing US stores climbed 9.2% last quarter compared to the same time a year ago – the fastest growth since the second quarter of 2020. Walmart said the current quarter is off to a good start too: shoppers have already started buying holiday gifts in a race to beat shipping delays, which might be why the firm increased its sales outlook for the rest of the year.

Why Should I Care?

The bigger picture: America’s still spending.
Another major US retailer posted impressive quarterly results of its own on Tuesday: Home Depot’s revenue from existing stores rose by a better-than-expected 6.1% versus the same time last year. Such a strong showing from two of America’s biggest retailers is a good sign, suggesting the country’s still willing to spend even with prices on the up and up. And given that consumer spending is the biggest driver of US economic growth, Tuesday’s results could bode well for the country as a whole.

Zooming out: Santa’s come early.
That’s not the only sign that consumer spending is moving in the right direction: data out on Tuesday showed that US retail sales climbed by a higher-than-expected 1.7% in October versus the month before (tweet this). That’s the third consecutive month of increases, and the biggest jump since March. But economists are reserving judgment: they, like Walmart, think the momentum’s just a result of early holiday shopping.

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Analyst Take

And The Award For “Best Inflation Hedge” Goes To…

And The Award For “Best Inflation Hedge” Goes To…
Photo of Stéphane Renevier

Stéphane Renevier, Analyst

What’s Going On Here?

Everyone has an opinion on where best to invest your money to protect it from inflation.

But the decision is far from clear-cut. In fact, all the investor favorites have their drawbacks.

Treasury inflation-protected securities (TIPs), for one, are often touted as the perfect inflation hedge, but you don’t actually get a lot of bang for your buck with them.

And while you do with bitcoin – which benefits from wider trends even when prices are rising – the cryptocurrency could also lose half its value at the drop of a hat.

So that’s today’s Insight: the various best ways to inflation-proof your portfolio, and the single-best way to inflation-proof your portfolio.

Read or listen to the Insight here

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Now we know what you’re thinking: the founder of a climate-focused investing app thinks ESG is a load of old hooey. What gives?

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*The Economist, 22 May 2021

No Pressure

No Pressure

What’s Going On Here?

Germany’s Thyssenkrupp is thinking about listing its hydrogen business Uhde on the stock market, as if to prove that the gas really is greener on the Uhde side.

What Does This Mean?

Uhde – which is 66% owned by conglomerate Thyssenkrupp – builds plants that use renewable energy to produce hydrogen, which can then be fed into fuel cells to generate emission-free electricity. The gas can likewise be used to replace fossil fuels in industrial applications, like the manufacturing of steel and cement.

All that fits snugly into an increasingly eco-conscious landscape, and explains why there’s growing investor interest in Uhde’s hydrogen-based technologies. So Thyssenkrupp is looking to capitalize: the initial public offering – which could come as soon as the first quarter of next year – stands to value Uhde at as much as $5.7 billion.

Why Should I Care?

For markets: The “conglomerate discount” in action.
If Uhde lists at $5.7 billion, that would make Thyssenkrupp’s 66% stake in the company worth $3.8 billion. But Thyssenkrupp itself was worth $6.5 billion before the news broke, which implies investors were valuing the rest of its business at just $2.7 billion. Consider, then, that the rest of the business generated 99% of Thyssenkrupp’s revenue last year, and you realize investors have been valuing the conglomerate at far less than the sum of its parts. No wonder they sent Thyssenkrupp’s up 12% after the news…

The bigger picture: More clean energy, please.
Interest in hydrogen is about more than just sustainability: this year’s surge in natural gas and oil prices has brought the need for diversified energy sources into even sharper focus. Especially given that the surge doesn’t look like it’s going to drop off any time soon, with Trafigura – one of the world’s biggest oil trading firms – saying on Tuesday that it’s expecting the price of oil to climb from around $80 a barrel nowadays to $100 in the long term.

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💬 Quote of the day

“Life is like riding a bicycle. To keep your balance, you must keep moving.”

– Albert Einstein (a German-born theoretical physicist)
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🌎 Finimize Live

🦸‍♂️ My hero

There’s a savior ready to protect you from the villainous inflation. Nope, it’s not a bird, it’s not a plane: it’s your favorite asset class, commodities. They’re heading into a whole new supercycle, and you can get acquainted with your new hero at How The New “Commodity Supercycle” Impacts You.

🔥 How The New “Commodity Supercycle” Impacts You: 5pm UK time, November 17th
🚗 How To Buy Into The EV Boom: 1pm UK time, November 18th
💰 Your First Step Into The Cryptoverse: 5pm UK time, November 19th

Finimize x Ledger Crypto Summit line-up:
🚀 How Crypto Went Mainstream: 3.30pm UK time, December 2nd
🚀 Why Crypto Can’t Stop Rising: 4.05pm UK time, December 2nd
🚀 The Future Of DeFi: 5.05pm UK time, December 2nd
🚀 Could Bitcoin Replace The Dollar?: 6.05pm UK time, December 2nd
🚀 The Path To Mass Adoption: 7.05pm UK time, December 2nd
🚀 How To Value The Next Big Crypto Play: 8.05pm UK time, December 2nd
🚀 The Tokenization Of Everything: 3pm UK time, December 3rd
🚀 The Countdown To Crypto ETFs: 4.05pm UK time, December 3rd
🚀 How Crypto’s Supercharging The Creator Economy: 4.50pm UK time, December 3rd
🚀 Sports, Gaming, And The Blockchain’s Full Potential: 5.50pm UK time, December 3rd
🚀 How To Curate Your NFT Portfolio & Outro: 6.50pm UK time, December 3rd

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