Tomasz Tunguz - 2022 Predictions
Tomasz TunguzVenture Capitalist at Redpoint If you were forwarded this newsletter, and you'd like to receive it in the future, subscribe here. 2022 Predictions
Every year I make a list of predictions and score last year’s predictions. 2021 marked the second year of COVID and like other crises, the pandemic accelerated change, especially in technology pushing many technologies like SaaS, video conferencing, crypto/web3 deeper into the Perez deployment cycle . Here are my predictions for 2022:
Scoring last year’s predictions:
3.5; same as last year. I’ll take a 70% accuracy on a one year prediction as success. Regardless of these predictions, the pace of innovation and the breadth of advancement spellbinds me. Ten years ago, we carried the iPhone 4 and the Motorola Droid in our pockets. Cryptocurrencies hadn’t been invented. VCs invested $10b per year. Most of us commuted every day and conference call bridges were state of the art. Electric cars remained curiosities and NASA sent the Space Shuttle to refuel the International Space Station. Today, the iPhone has the leading chip architecture, the Google Pixels use ML to edit images and translate instantly. SpaceX will launch one rocket into space every other week. Electric car sales are doubling year over year and virtual backgrounds make every room our home office. |
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