Finimize - 😳 China’s 46 billion dollar whoopsy

China's not helping itself | HP is getting with the times |

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Today's big stories

  1. Economists think China’s lockdowns are having a major impact on its economic growth
  2. Even in the face of spiking inflation and a geopolitical crisis, the Finimize Community is making some smart investments – Read Now
  3. HP is buying video conferencing hardware maker Poly

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What’s Going On Here?

Data out on Tuesday showed China’s lockdowns are costing the country $46 billion every month.

What Does This Mean?

China was one of the biggest success stories of 2020, locking down fast to nip Covid in the bud and get businesses back up and running pronto. But while the rest of the world is now learning to live with the virus, China’s sticking to those no-Covid guns: the government’s been closing down cities from Shanghai to Shenzhen at the first sign of an outbreak. Thing is, economists are estimating that the country’s zero-tolerance policy will cut around 3% off its economic growth every month for as long as it lasts. And if stricter stay-at-home policies spread into towns across the country, that impact could double.

Why Should I Care?

For you personally: What happens in China doesn’t stay in China.
The policy looks like it might already be taking its toll: data out this week showed that China’s manufacturing sector – a key driver of China’s economic growth – has grown more slowly this quarter than it did the same time last year. And if even more factories end up shutting down at the first whisper of the illness, manufacturing could end up stalling altogether. That would hit you too: China is the world’s biggest manufacturer, and any slowdown could push up the prices of your go-to products even more.

Zooming out: TikTok’s got competition.
China might be looking to less traditional sectors to prop its growth up going forward – namely its tech companies. And there are encouraging signs there, with video-sharing app Kuaishou reporting better-than-expected results on Tuesday. It boasted 22% more monthly users last quarter than the same time the year before, and will be hoping that its expansion into music and sports content will take that one step further.

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Analyst Take

These Are A Few Of Your Favorite Trades

These Are A Few Of Your Favorite Trades

What’s Going On Here?

Another quarter is almost in the bag, and you have been busy.

We know this because we’ve rolled out our quarterly Community Pulse survey, which asks you how the Finimize Community is feeling about the markets and the global economy at large.

And it’s fair to say you’re… not in good spirits: just a net 6% of you think the economy will be stronger a year from now – well below the 66% of this time last year.

But you’re not throwing in the towel just yet: even confronted by spiking inflation and a full-scale invasion, you’re spotting some reliable ways to bolster your portfolio.

So that’s today’s Insight: how you’re feeling about the market at large, and the shrewd ways you’re protecting your portfolios.

Read or listen to the Insight here


RIP Cable TV

According to research firm PwC, revenue from media and entertainment will hit $2.6 trillion by 2023.

And with Netflix reaching $20 billion in revenue in 2019, that leaves around $2.58 trillion of this market left to be claimed.

But if you suspect Disney or one of the many other streaming-parents will scoop it all up, The Motley Fool thinks you’d be off the mark.

It doesn’t reckon the real winner will be Netflix, Hulu, or Amazon Prime Video, but a player in the advertising market, which is 10 times the size of the online streaming industry.

In fact, The Motley Fool believes this company’s crucial technology could represent the final nail in the coffin for traditional cable.

It’s The Motley Fool’s latest stock pick: head over to The Motley Fool to find out what it is.

Learn More

Back To The Future

Back To The Future

What’s Going On Here?

HP announced this week that it had agreed to buy video conferencing hardware specialist Poly, as the IT giant does its level best to keep rebooting with the times.

What Does This Mean?

Now that employers have firmly embraced hybrid working, HP’s customers are kitting out their offices with a host of new equipment to keep their teams connected. So the PC powerhouse is kitting itself out too, announcing that it’s buying Poly – seller of headsets, accessories, and more – in a deal worth $3.3 billion. That should help HP capitalize more fully on the remote working market, as well as help the company expand beyond PCs and printers to drive its long-term growth. It should work out well for Poly too: HP’s sheer size gives it a lot of sway with suppliers, which should help Poly clear a backlog of sales that’s apparently worth “hundreds of millions of dollars”.

Why Should I Care?

The bigger picture: Workforce solutions are the solution.
Before the deal, analysts were expecting Poly to grow its revenue by just 5% each year for the next few years. But HP believes it can turn that into 15% a year just by fixing Poly’s supply issues and improving sales, and ultimately make a tidy $500 million in revenue from the company by 2025. And why not: the “workforce solutions” market is worth $120 billion, and it’s ripe for the picking.

For markets: HP backs itself.
HP also reiterated its commitment to buying back at least $4 billion worth of its shares this year, which will reduce their supply and push up the price of those left over. And while some investors question whether it’s the best use of cash, others would beg to differ: plenty have already bought HP’s stock with the expectation that it’ll jump when the buyback happens. That might be why HP’s shares have outperformed both close rival Lenovo and the overall US stock market this year.

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💬 Quote of the day

“Be who you are and say what you feel, because those who mind don’t matter and those who matter don’t mind.”

– Bernard M. Baruch (an American financier and statesman)
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