An IPO guru on slumps, SPACs and what’s next

Kevin Dowd and Becca Szkutak
Staff Writers
In 2016, the IPO was on life support. A new trend had emerged in Silicon Valley: Suddenly, many of the tech industry’s biggest startups were staying private for much longer than anyone expected.

Gone were the days when an
Amazon could go public three years after its launch. Instead, the likes of Uber, Airbnb, SpaceX, WeWork and Palantir were taking advantage of a massive influx of capital into the private markets. Hedge funds and sovereign wealth funds saw the enormous returns that top venture capitalists were generating and decided they wanted in. And so many top startups opted to raise billions of dollars from smaller groups of private backers rather than submit to the whims of the masses. There were just 105 IPOs in the U.S. in 2016, according to Renaissance Capital, down 62% from just two years prior.
After some high-profile starts and stops, WeWork finally debuted on the NYSE in October 2021. Bloomberg Finance LP
But there’s an inescapable truth in startup investing: Eventually, everyone starts looking for an exit. When those late-stage investors who had flooded the venture market earlier in the decade decided it was time to generate some returns, a whole generation of well-funded unicorns began trotting toward Wall Street. The number of listings taking place in the U.S. rose for four of the next five years, and last year, it exploded. There were nearly 400 IPOs in 2021, a flood of debuts that combined to raise a record-breaking sum of $142.4 billion in proceeds. 

In 2022, though, the teeter-totter has once again tipped. So far, it’s been the most arid year for IPOs since that previous nadir of 2016, with just 18 listings in the U.S. to date. Now that last year’s stock-market bull run has come to a screeching halt, advisors are suggesting companies delay their listings until friendlier conditions prevail. 

One of those advisors is Byron Lichtenstein, a managing director at Insight Partners and the firm’s guru of going public. He’s a co-author of Insight’s handbook for IPO readiness, and last year he helped oversee the public debuts of 11 Insight portfolio companies. 

This year has been a little different. But when the IPO market does eventually bounce back, he expects it to do so in a very big way. 

“There are more companies today that I think have more potential to be giant than ever before,” he says. “Insight’s been doing software investing, in particular B2B software investing, for more than two decades at this point. And over that whole period, we’ve seen the market just become larger and larger and larger. And what we’ve seen time and again is, these businesses get bigger than we ever thought they would get."

I spoke some more with Lichtenstein about the current state of the market, his role at Insight and how he assesses whether a company is ready to go public.
Check out the full story. —K.D.

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A billion for Base10
Base10 Partners reached a historic milestone this week when it became the first Black-led venture capital firm to pass $1 billion in assets under management. The San Francisco-based firm did so by raising $460 million for its third and latest early-stage fund, our colleague Kenrick Cai reports.

For founder Adeyemi Ajao, the moment is a bit bittersweet. “It’s crazy that in a world where venture capital raises $150 billion a quarter, we are the first one. There should be multiple by now,” he tells Kenrick.

While they will always be the first, Base10 may not be the only for long. Since its 2018 founding, numerous Black-founded firms have started to gain traction, as Cai points out. Harlem Capital, founded in 2019, has already raised its second fund, which collected significantly more than its first. Last month, SteelSky Ventures raised $72 million for its debut fund.

And Ajao’s LPs have been asking him to introduce them to more Black-led funds, signaling a change in narrative for the industry. “I was not hearing those questions four years ago,” he says.
—B.S.

PE shares the wealth
Employees are going to start getting a piece of the equity pie at dozens of companies owned by some of the world’s largest private equity firms.

Apollo Global Management
, KKR, TPG and 16 other PE firms were part of a long list of major financial players that backed a new nonprofit this week called Ownership Works, pledging to create shared stock-ownership plans at a small sampling of their portfolio companies. The goal of Ownership Works is to combat income inequality by creating as much as $20 billion in wealth for working families over the next decade. And buyout firms are a key part of that plan, says Anna-Lisa Miller, the executive director of Ownership Works.
Eat up. Getty Images
“Private equity is a really powerful starting point for this work,” Miller says, “because of the consolidated nature of ownership, and the fact that one private equity firm can impact dozens of companies, potentially thousands of employees.” 

Ownership Works was founded by Pete Stavros, co-head of private equity for the Americas at KKR, where he’s helped pioneer the idea of stock-ownership programs within the industry. Miller cited Harvest Partners, Leonard Green & Partners, Ares Management and Apollo as other firms with existing plans that served as useful models. 

The participating firms have committed to implementing stock-ownership programs at a minimum of three portfolio companies by the end of next year. If and when a company is sold, workers would receive an equity package worth no less than either 20% of the management equity plan or the equivalent of six months’ salary. 

“It’s really about creating access to wealth-building opportunities for lower- and moderate-income families,” Miller says. —K.D.

They Said It
“The choice to join a union belongs to workers alone. By the way, Amazon, here we come. Watch.”
—President Joe Biden, speaking on Wednesday at the national conference of North America’s Building Trades Unions, in an apparent warning to Amazon about its longtime opposition to unions.
Just The Facts
— A major merger between discount airlines is now in doubt thanks to JetBlue Airways, which offered this week to buy Spirit Airlines for $3.6 billion. Frontier Airlines had agreed in February to buy Spirit for $2.9 billion in cash and stock, with an implied value of $25.83 per Spirit share. JetBlue’s bid is a much more attractive $33 per share.

Voyager Ventures raised $100 million for its debut fund focused on North America-based climate tech companies. The fund is led by Sierra Peterson, who has backed 25 early-stage climate tech companies since 2015, and Sarah Sclarsic, a former cofounder of car-rental startup Getaround.  

— Miami-based I Squared Capital closed its third global infrastructure fund with $15 billion in commitments, a huge step up from a $7 billion predecessor that closed in 2018. It’s the second largest infrastructure vehicle to close so far this year, trailing a $17 billion effort from KKR last month.

Ghost Financial raised $2.5 million for its platform that provides payroll, insurance and other financial services to so-called ghost kitchens—a growing trend gobbling up venture capital dollars. The Austin-based startup received funding from Hustle Fund, HOF Capital and 305 Ventures, among others. 

Carlyle Group closed its second credit-opportunities fund with $4.6 billion in commitments, topping a $3.1 billion predecessor. Another private equity power wrapped up a debt vehicle of its own: Thoma Bravo closed its second credit fund on $3.3 billion.

— NFTs as a service? Novel, which helps companies and brands create and sell NFTs, raised a $6 million seed round that values the startup at $21 million. The round was led by Lerer Hippeau with participation from VaynerFund, Costanoa Ventures and Sugar Capital, among others. 

Euronav and Frontline, two major owners and operators of crude oil tankers, agreed to merge on Thursday in an all-stock deal that would create a combined company with a current market cap of $4.2 billion. Euronav shareholders will own 59% of the merged business and Frontline backers the remainder. Euronav is based in Belgium and Frontline in Norway.

Flexia secured a $4 million seed round for its AI-enabled at-home pilates reformer machines, in another sign that Peloton hasn’t fully scared investors off from the home fitness market. The round was led by ADvantage with participation from Phoenix Capital Partners, Techstars Sports Accelerator and Calm Ventures

Berkshire Hathaway has built up a roughly 11% stake in HP worth some $4.2 billion, continuing a busy stretch of dealmaking for Warren Buffett. Last month, Berkshire agreed to buy insurance conglomerate Alleghany for $11.6 billion; it also recently built out its stake in Occidental Petroleum to nearly 15%.

Blackstone is working with Italy’s Benetton family on a potential joint bid to buy Atlantia, a major operator of toll roads, airports and other infrastructure assets in Europe, per multiple media reports. The Benettons, who already own about a third of Atlantia through their Edizione holding company, rejected a competing bid from Global Infrastructure Partners and Brookfield Asset Management on Thursday. Shares in Atlantia gained some 7%, taking its market cap to €16.6 billion (about $18.1 billion).

Charted
Just how hard is the late-stage funding pullback hitting the industry’s megarounds?  In the first quarter, $73.6 billion was invested through global megarounds, or VC financings larger than $100 million, new data from CB Insights show. This total is down 29% from the fourth quarter of last year and down 8% from the first, and it is the lowest figure since 2020.

The number of megarounds took a smaller hit. There were 364 such financings in Q1, down 14% from Q4 2021 (when there were 419) but still higher than Q1 2021 (365). Many companies were still able to ink massive fundraises in the first three months of this year:
Getir raised $768 million, Yuga Labs collected $450 million and FTX secured $400 million.
What We're Reading
Celebrities including Mila Kunis and Gwyneth Paltrow are encouraging women to invest in crypto and NFTs. But many say the messaging behind this push is just trying to initiate a new type of girlboss. (Washington Post)

Morgan Stanley cut off funding to Volkswagen during the height of the car company’s emissions scandal. When it came time to pick banks for a mega-IPO, VW hadn’t forgotten. (Bloomberg)

The shutdown this week of one-click checkout startup Fast may have seemed sudden, coming just days after a
report that it was trying to raise money. But for those who worked with founder Domm Holland at his last startup in Australia, it probably wasn’t surprising. (NPR)

A wonderful story about
the remarkable brain of Vaughn Smith, a 46-year-old carpet cleaner with a secret—or, rather, a couple dozen of them. (Washington Post)

An inside look at Elizabeth Warren’s plans to break up not just big tech, but big everything. (Recode)

Things keep getting worse for Better.com. Just a month after the startup laid off 3,000 people, it’s now asking certain employees to accept a severance package and voluntarily resign. Yikes. (TechCrunch) 

A celebrity Botox doctor built a Bel Air mansion unlike any other. The only problem? He “dreamed too big,” and now he can’t afford to live there. (Wall Street Journal)

In humans, common sense is just that—common. But for the experts trying to build
the next generation of AI systems, it is still anything but. (New Yorker)

What To Watch For
Fast announced its aforementioned shutdown in a simple Tuesday tweet. Startup closures, private equity-backed bankruptcies and other signs of corporate distress became rare during the go-go times of the pandemic. But markets of all kinds have cooled off in 2022. Could Fast’s demise be a harbinger of more troubles to come?
Kevin Dowd
Staff Writer
I am a staff writer at Forbes. I previously wrote for PitchBook, where I created The Weekend Pitch, a weekly newsletter about the private markets. Before that, I covered high school sports in the Pacific Northwest, and I graduated from the University of Washington with a degree in journalism and creative writing. I live in Seattle, where I read a lot of books and play a lot of golf.
Follow me on Twitter.
Becca Szkutak
Staff Writer
I'm a New York-based reporter covering venture capital, startups and investors. I was previously a reporter at the Venture Capital Journal and Private Debt Investor. I graduated from Emerson College in 2017 with a degree in journalism.
Follow me on Twitter at @rebecca_szkutak or send me an email at rszkutak@forbes.com.
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