Finimize - 🤔 Is Netflix… a good buy?

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Today's big stories

US telecoms giant Verizon reported mixed results
Our analyst has laid out why Netflix’s calamitous results might’ve made the beleaguered streamer a good buy – Read Now
UK retail sales fell again

Cult Following

What’s Going On Here?

Verizon posted a mixed set of results on Friday, so if the US telecoms giant can’t beat the major streaming platforms, it might as well join them.

What Does This Mean?

Ever since the pandemic introduced people to the notion that they can still do their jobs effectively without sitting next to Keith from accounts, everyone's wanted high-speed internet in their homes. And that was just as true last quarter: Verizon said it added a net 229,000 broadband customers in the segment’s biggest jump in over a decade. Problem is, it can’t stop losing cell phone and cable TV customers. That dragged on its total revenue, which came in just 2% higher than the same time last year. Investors booted up their computers, dialed up, and made their thoughts known half an hour later: they sent Verizon’s stock down.

Why Should I Care?

The bigger picture: Verizon bundles up.
The loss of cable TV customers reflects a longer-term shift away from traditional scheduled television toward on-demand streamers. So Verizon’s changing tack: it’s planning to partner up with streaming companies and offer their products as part of bigger phone, broadband, and TV bundles. It’s already struck a deal with Disney, and it announced last month that it’s launching a new service that’ll provide a range of subscriptions in one place. And since products like that should offer customers more reasons to stay, it could make it easier for Verizon to hike prices further down the line too.

Zooming out: The good old days.
If all else fails, Verizon could always just ditch its media business. That’s what rival AT&T did: it completed the sale of WarnerMedia this month, meaning it’s now returned to its roots as a true-blue telecom company. It’s just like old times: the newly focused business reported last week that it added far more phone customers than expected last quarter, and investors sent its stock up 4%.

You might also like: The tricks and techniques you need to value Verizon’s stock.

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Analyst Take

Have Netflix’s Calamitous Results Made It A Good Buy?

Reda, Analyst

What’s Going On Here?

Let’s face it, investors knew Netflix’s subscriber growth was going to slow down after 2020.

Trouble is, the streaming giant actually lost viewers for the first time in a decade last quarter, leading the percentage of buy ratings on the firm’s stock to plummet to an eight-year low.

But here’s the thing: some of the reasons for that are just short-term hiccups. Some might even reflect the opportunities for growth it has at its fingertips.

And with Netflix’s share price now down over 60% this year, investors’ skepticism might be your window of opportunity.

So that’s today’s Insight: a closer look at why Netflix is losing subscribers, and why now could be a good time to buy the beleaguered streamer.

Read or listen to the Insight here

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Engbland

What’s Going On Here?

Data out on Friday showed that UK retail sales collapsed in March, with even Brits’ little luxuries starting to lose their flavor.

What Does This Mean?

Brits are known for their stiff upper lip, but even that’s beginning to tremble as they look at painful fuel receipts through misty eyes. That’s put them off making anything but necessary car trips, with sales of gas down 3.8% in March from the month before. Online sales were languishing as shoppers bought fewer nice-to-haves too, falling 7.9% in the biggest monthly drop-off since 2001. And even a 2.6% uptick in household goods sales – itself a sign homeowners are turning to DIY for short-term domestic fixes – wasn’t enough to undo the damage. Overall, retail sales fell 1.4% in March compared to the month before, when optimistic economists were hoping for a drop of just 0.3% (tweet this).

Why Should I Care?

For markets: The pound falls out of favor.
Things are only going to get worse when energy bills and taxes rise this month, and don’t shoppers know it: data out Friday showed consumer confidence plunged to its lowest since the 2008 financial crisis this month. That has economists forecasting that the Bank of England will be less aggressive with interest rate hikes than previously thought – not good news for the British pound, which gets less appealing to international savers and investors when rates stay low. The data, then, was promptly followed by sterling hitting its lowest point against the US dollar since late 2020.

The bigger picture: The UK economy isn’t spit spot.
You can’t really understate the importance of consumer spending on the UK economy, so this slowdown is bound to take its toll on growth. In fact, economists predicted this week that the country’s economy will shrink by as much as 0.2% this quarter.

You might also like: The long-term opportunity emerging from Britain’s rising interest rates.

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💬 Quote of the day

“I find that the harder I work, the more luck I seem to have.”

– Thomas Jefferson (an American statesman, diplomat, and lawyer)

Tweet this

🤔 Q&A · RE: Morning People

“Why would an airline not hedge its fuel costs?”

– From John

“Let’s start with why an airline would want to hedge – that is, lock in fuel costs ahead of time via futures contracts – in the first place: it protects them from any spikes in the oil price, and gives them more certainty around their outgoings moving forward. But you can also look at it another way: as a bet that fuel prices will rise, which isn’t necessarily a bet every airline wants to make. They mightn’t think the oil price is going to rise, in which case they’d only be taking on the risk of paying even more for fuel than they have to. The start of the pandemic is a good example: the cost of fuel plunged when demand tanked, and carriers that were hedged ended up paying a lot more than the market price. So hedging can work out well, sure, but it can also backfire spectacularly.”

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🎉 Coming Up This Week

💸 How To Create A Winning Crypto Strategy: 5pm, April 25th
💪 How To Invest In Profitable NFT Drops: 6pm, April 27th
🪐 Impact Investor’s Guide to Web3: 6pm, April 28th
🎙 Live Crypto Community Q&A: 5pm, April 29th

💪 And then after that…

💥 What Is ReFi Anyway?: 5pm, May 5th
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🏡 How To Buy A Digital Condo: 12pm, May 18th
🚘 The Leaders Of The EV Revolution: 5pm, May 19th

🎯 On Our Radar

Festival season has arrived. France is celebrating with everything from wooden spoons to turkeys.
Got the Monday blues? Here’s how to love your job again.
Instagram is totally over TikTok. Combine the two platforms at your own risk.
Talk about Spidey sense. This man’s watched the latest Spider-Man 292 times already.
Entertainment’s leveled up. You can call the shots at Netflix now.

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Key phrases

Read NowUK retail sales The Future Applications traditional scheduled television trueblue telecom company other commercial deals stiff upper lip painful fuel receipts necessary car trips household goods sales biggest monthly dropoff major streaming platforms cable TV customers good old days Brits little luxuries decade last quarter

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