Finimize - 🥶 Elon's got cold feet

Elon isn't sold on Twitter | Walmart hated spring break |

Hi Reader, here's what you need to know for May 18th in 3:08 minutes.

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Today's big stories

  1. Elon Musk’s deal to buy Twitter has hit a road bump
  2. We’ve looked into whether you should buy the bitcoin dip like the whales are doing – Read Now
  3. Walmart reported worse-than-expected quarterly earnings

Teasey Does It

Teasey Does It

What’s Going On Here?

Elon Musk threatened to pull out of his $44 billion takeover of Twitter on Tuesday, as the little minx decides to play a cheeky game of hard to get.

What Does This Mean?

Elon and Twitter have gone from the “Will they?” stage of their courtship to the “Won’t they?”: the Tesla CEO said on Friday that he was putting the deal “temporarily on hold” until Twitter clarified the number of fake accounts on its platform. Twitter claims bots make up fewer than 5% of its users, but Elon’s skeptical: he suspects it’s at least 20%. And if there really are fewer eyeballs on Twitter’s all-important ads, that could mean the company is worth a lot less than he offered. All this came to a head when the world’s richest man put his foot down on Tuesday, saying he wouldn’t go forward with his $44 billion takeover bid unless Twitter backs up its claims (tweet this).

Why Should I Care?

For markets: Is Elon having second thoughts?
Analysts reckon there’s one of two reasons for Elon’s power play: either he wants to find a way to pay less for the platform, or an excuse to walk away from the deal altogether. Investors seem to agree: Twitter’s stock is sitting 30% lower than the price Elon offered to pay for the company, which just goes to show they don’t have high hopes for the deal as it stands either.

The bigger picture: Elon reads the China playbook.
If the acquisition does go through, there could be big changes to come: Elon said this week that he’s open to the idea of turning Twitter into a “superapp” where users can shop, text, and post to social media all in one place – much like China’s WeChat. As plans go, there are worse ones: analysts reckon it would allow him to achieve his goal of quadrupling Twitter’s revenue by 2028.

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Analyst Take

Should You Be Following The Whales?

Should You Be Following The Whales?

By Jonathan Hobbs, Analyst

The crypto market has had a heck of a year so far.

And even the big guns haven’t been safe: bitcoin’s seen a record seven-straight weeks of losses at this point, meaning it’s now 55% below its November peak.

But while a lot of investors have swum for shore, the big-money “whales” are still out there filling themselves up on the OG crypto.

As for whether they’re right to be – well, there are three interesting charts that can help us answer that question.

So that’s today’s Insight: whether you should follow in the whales’ slipstream.

Read or listen to the Insight here

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S&P 500 stocks are reacting to the current financial climate very differently.

Analysis from TradeStation shows that “safe haven” stocks – utilities, healthcare, consumer staples – have climbed lately, while cyclicals like transport, banks, and energy have slipped.

Some investors may consider choices such as either investing more defensively to ride out the storm, or else buy the dip on cyclicals and wait till they bounce back.

Whichever route you go down, you can do it on TradeStation.

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This content is for educational and informational purposes only. Any symbols, financial instruments, or trading strategies discussed are for demonstration purposes only and are not research or recommendations. TradeStation companies do not provide legal, tax, or investment advice.

Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options, futures, or cryptocurrencies); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Before trading any asset class, first read the relevant risk disclosure statements on our Important Documents & Information page.

Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (“CFTC”). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association (“NFA”), and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Crypto, Inc. offers to self-directed investors and traders cryptocurrency brokerage services under federal and state money services business/money-transmitter and similar registrations and licenses.

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Rain Check

Rain Check

What’s Going On Here?

Walmart reported much weaker-than-expected earnings on Tuesday, as the big-box retailer’s aspirations for a hedonistic Spring Break were well and truly washed out.

What Does This Mean?

Walmart was waxed, vaxxed, and ready to go last quarter: the retailer had stocked up on everything from barbecues to pool chemicals, only for unseasonably wet weather to derail everyone’s outdoor plans. The company found itself overstaffed too, after workers reduced their Covid leave to get back to their bread-winning ways. That left Walmart with higher labor costs, which was partly to blame for a 25% drop in profit from the same time last year. And since it doesn’t think higher costs are going away anytime soon, the company cut its profit outlook for the year. It’s not exactly the debaucherous trip to Cancun it was hoping for: investors sent Walmart’s stock down 9% after the announcement.

Why Should I Care?

The bigger picture: Inflation has bitten.
As the world’s biggest retailer, Walmart is a go-to for economists trying to understand how Americans are handling record inflation. Its results probably confirmed what they already knew: Walmart said customers bought more of its own-brand products and fewer discretionaries like electronics and clothing. Those are telltale signs of high inflation, when consumers tend to plump for discount goods and scale back on nice-to-haves.

Zooming out: Credit where credit’s due.
You wouldn’t notice this shifting behavior if you just looked at US retail data, which showed on Tuesday that the value of retail sales in the US grew 0.9% in April from the month before. But that measure isn’t adjusted for inflation, so it’s likely that shoppers were spending more to buy less. There’s also the possibility that Americans are loading up on credit card debt to buy what they need, with data out last week showing that they opened a record 537 million accounts last quarter.

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💬 Quote of the day

“There are no good girls gone wrong, just bad girls found out.”

– Mae West (an American stage and film actress)
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🎯 On Our Radar

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  3. We’re not happy with our sex lives. Time to talk about it.
  4. Make your muscles feel good. All it’ll take is a car buffer.
  5. This might be the worst lockdown ever. Imagine being confined to this tiny space…

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🎉 Coming Up This Week

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🏡 How To Buy A Digital Condo: 12pm, May 18th
🚗 The Leaders Of The EV Revolution: 5pm, May 19th
♻️ How To Pick Winning ESG Stocks: 5pm, May 20th
🧐 A Guide To Investing In Derivatives: 6pm, May 23rd
📈 How To Invest Thematically: 12pm, May 24th
🎨 How To Build And Manage A Balanced NFT Portfolio: 5pm, May 24th
⚡️ How To Invest In The EV Revolution: 1pm, May 25th
😎 The Blockchain And Real Estate Revolution: 6pm, May 25th

💪 And Then After That…

📈 The Future Of The M&A Market: 5pm, May 26th
📱 How To Hedge Against The Chip Shortage: 1pm, May 30th
📉 A Guide to Automated Crypto Trading: 6pm, May 30th
♻️ How Green Bonds Can Fuel A Sustainable Future: 1pm, May 31st
🏆 Peer-To-Peer Vs. Crypto Exchanges: 5pm, May 31st
🎉 De-Mystifying Refi: 5pm, June 1st
🌿 How To Get The Green With Cannabis ETFs: 12pm, June 9th
🎮 How To Invest In Video Games: 5pm, June 9th
🌍 How And Where To Invest In Africa: 5pm, June 14th
🚀 Finimize NFT Fest: 12pm, 15th June
🤗 Investing In Metaverse Opportunities: 5pm, 23rd June
🏘 How To Diversify Your Crypto Investments Through Commercial Real Estate: 6pm, August 3rd
🏡 Tokenizing Real Estate: 6pm, September 13th

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