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Berkshire Hathaway's cash is going to good use | Apple gave its excuses |

Hi Reader, here's what you need to know for November 8th in 3:13 minutes.

šŸ§¦ Thereā€™s only one thing better than grabbing a free ticket to our Modern Investor Summit, complete with expert speakers like Bill Ford, Cathie Wood, and Wei Li: getting a free swag pack. Well, be one of the first to grab a free virtual summit ticket between now and midnight this Tuesday, and youā€™ll get both ā€“ easy as that. Grab your free ticket

Today's big stories

  1. Berkshire Hathaway's massive cash pile started to pay off last quarter
  2. Here's why your portfolio could see a post-election rally this year ā€“ Read Now
  3. Apple blames supply problems as it cuts its Chinese production targets

Buffeted But Still Standing

Buffeted But Still Standing

Whatā€™s Going On Here?

Warren Buffettā€™s Berkshire Hathaway reported quarterly results over the weekend, which showed that healthy income from high interest rates made up for some of last quarterā€™s stock losses.

What Does This Mean?

Warren Buffett and his right-hand man Charlie Munger have beefed up Berkshire Hathawayā€™s cash reserves over the last ten years, and with good reason: when you own a goliath insurance business, you need to be ready to make big payouts when catastrophe strikes. Good thing they prepared: Hurricane Ian hit Florida last quarter, and the firm was smacked with a $3.4bn pre-tax loss as a direct result of the disaster. And holding cash is paying off in other ways now that interest rates are marching upward: the sprawling conglomerate made a mouthwatering $397 million in interest last quarter ā€“ nearly triple the amount it made at the same time last year.

Why Should I Care?

Zooming in: Hamstrung by stocks.
Berkshireā€™s insurance business may have taken a hit last quarter, but its other companies ā€“ which straddle industries from railways to utilities and energy ā€“ managed to turn a profit while the broader economy circled the drain. The good news is that helped tick its operating profit up a better-than-expected 20% last quarter. The bad news is the firm's stock portfolio ā€“ which includes big stakes in the likes of Apple, American Express, and Chevron ā€“ wasnā€™t looking quite as hale and hearty: its $20-billion drop in value last quarter meant the conglomerate made an overall loss of nearly $3 billion.

The bigger picture: Eye on the prize.
Buffett often calls these quarterly stock swings ā€œmeaninglessā€, which makes sense given that Berkshireā€™s aiming at stable, long-term success, not get-rich-or-die-trying moonshots. Case in point: while others shied away from see-sawing markets, Berkshire still swept in, buying almost $4 billion more in shares than it sold last quarter. And with the firmā€™s stock outperforming the S&P 500 by a healthy 17% this year alone, investors clearly arenā€™t knocking Buffettā€™s slow-and-steady philosophy. Retail investors, take note.

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Analyst Take

Will The US Midterm Elections Be Good For Stocks?

Will The US Midterm Elections Be Good For Stocks?

By Luke Suddards, Analyst

We donā€™t often write about politics, but sometimes itā€™s worth making an exception.

See, the US midterm elections are upon us, and the months that follow this every-four-year voting ritual have historically tended to be good ones for stocks.

So before the ballots are counted, letā€™s look at how things are expected to play out, which sectors might be expected to rally, and what might temper any gains this year.

Thatā€™s todayā€™s Insight: how the US midterm elections might affect stocks.

Read or listen to the Insight here

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Plus, youā€™ll hear tips to help you invest during volatility, find out how to prepare your portfolio for the next five years, and discover which stocks, funds, and cryptocurrencies will shape 2023.

Youā€™ll need something snazzy to wear in that case ā€“Ā yup, even if youā€™re tuning in from your living room.

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Far From The Tree

Far From The Tree

Whatā€™s Going On Here?

According to news out on Monday, Apple will produce three million fewer iPhones than expected ahead of the crucial holiday season.

What Does This Mean?

Thereā€™s an old economistsā€™ saying that runs, ā€œWhen America sneezes, the world catches a cold.ā€ But that old chestnut seems to describe China pretty well these days. The countryā€™s battling an economic slowdown, a teetering property market, and a whole host of issues triggered by its on-again-off-again lockdowns right now. No surprise, then, that Zhengzhouā€™s Foxconn-operated iPhone hub is planning to make around 3% ā€“ thatā€™s around three million ā€“ fewer iPhones than anticipated this year (tweet this). And whatever the reason for that production cut, it won't calm the already jangling nerves of Big Tech investors who just struggled through a treacherous earnings season.

Why Should I Care?

Zooming in: Supply or demand?
Appleā€™s insisting that its lowered iPhone targets are all down to supply snarls and not demand, but not that long ago the firm was planning an increase in production. So sure, a 3% cut in one quarter is no big deal in isolation, but such a rapid change in tone from Apple will have investors wondering if weaker demand is, in fact, at play here.

The bigger picture: Supercycles.
The iPhoneā€™s getting on these days, and its years of rampant, reliable annual growth are in the past. Instead, demand for the product tends to jump every few years as major technology changes: the iPhone 6ā€™s bigger screen led to a pop in sales, as did the first 5G-enabled device, the iPhone 12. That's natural enough for older products, but it does make predicting iPhone sales pretty hard: new features tend to be closely guarded secrets, after all. On top of that, Apple may well find it harder to create bigger and better product improvements within the already mature smartphone market. And if that does happen, those step-ups in sales might be less impressive too.

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šŸ’¬ Quote of the day

ā€œI like long walks, especially when they are taken by people who annoy me.ā€

ā€“ Noel Coward (an English playwright, actor, and composer)
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šŸŒ Finimize Live

šŸ„³ Coming Up This Weekā€¦

All events in UK time.

šŸ’° Strategies For Market Volatility: 1pm, November 8th
āœØ How To Profit From Special Situations As A Value Investor: 5pm, November 9th
šŸ”§ Tools Value Investors Use For Turbulent Times: 6pm, November 10th
šŸ”„ How To Build Better Financial Habits In Your 20s & 30s: 3pm, November 11th

šŸ‘€ And After Thatā€¦

ā™»ļø How To Build An Eco-Friendly Crypto Portfolio: 1pm, November 14th
šŸ’„ How To Diversify During High Inflation: 6pm, November 14th
šŸ» How To Survive A Crypto Bear Market: 7pm, November 15th
āœ… How To Successfully Invest In Dividend Stocks: 6pm, November 22nd
šŸš€ 2023 Outlook: Whatā€™s Next For Crypto?: 6.30pm, November 23rd (in person, London)
šŸŒ Finding Opportunities In A Challenging Market With BlackRock: 1pm, December 2nd
šŸ‡¦šŸ‡Ŗ The Modern Investor Opening Party In Dubai: 6pm, December 6th
šŸŽ‰ Modern Investor Summit: 12pm, December 6th ā€“ 7th

šŸŽÆ On Our Radar

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  2. Itā€™s hard work being woke. The tough life of an AI ethicist.
  3. Eco-horror. A whole new genreā€™s just been born.
  4. Basquiatā€™s blues. Hereā€™s how music influenced the famed New York artist.
  5. The real social dilemma. Online political ads are affecting the US midterms.
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