The Space Investor - 🚀 Q3'22 NewSpace Earnings

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The Space Scoop
Week Ended 11.11.2022
Happy Friday! And a big Thank You to all our Veterans today. This week was all about earnings. Lets dive in.

📈 Market Max-Q

S&P 500: 3,992.92 +5.9%
NASDAQ: 11,323.34 +8.1%


UFO: 21.10 +5.5%
ROKT: 39.31 +2.8%
ARKX: 13.68 +5.7%
SSIT: 50.55 +9.4%


ASTS: 8.83 +31.6%
SPCE: 5.50 +11.8%
ASTR: 0.64 +10.7%
MYNA: 4.89 -16.1%


1W return as of 4:00pm EDT.

🚀 Top Stories

1) Q3 NewSpace earnings week arrived with 11 names reporting. Highlights include: 
  • $VORB
    • Cash & Equivalents: $71M
    • Revenue: $31M, up from $0 YoY
    • Net Loss: $(44)M vs. $(39)M YoY
    • Adj. EBITDA: $(43)M vs. $(33)M YoY
    • Binding Backlog: $143M
    • Shares: +13.0%
  • $BKSY
    • Cash & Equivalents: $91M
    • Revenue: $17M, +113% YoY
    • Imagery & Software: 89% of Revenue
    • Net Loss: $(13)M vs. $(47)M YoY
    • Adj. EBITDA: $(7)M vs. $(16)M YoY
    • Shares: -7.2%
  • $TSAT
    • Cash & Equivalents: $1.6B
    • Revenue: $180M, -6% YoY
    • Net Income: $(229)M vs. $(52)M YoY
    • Adj. EBITDA: $137M vs. $156M YoY
    • Adj. EBITDA Margin: 76.0%
    • Shares: +9.7%
  • $ASTR
    • Cash & Equivalents: $151M
    • Revenue: $3M vs. $0 YoY
    • Net Loss: $(199)M vs. $(16)M YoY
    • Adj. EBITDA: $(41)M vs. $(33)M YoY
    • Laying Off 16% of Workforce
    • Shares: 
  • $MNTS
    • Cash & Equivalents: $82M
    • Revenue: $129K, -36% YoY
    • Net Income: $(21)M vs. $(6)M YoY
    • Adj. EBITDA: $(16)M vs. $(14)M YoY
    • Shares: -4.6%
  • $RDW
    • Total Available Liquidity: $40-42M
    • Revenue: $37M, +14% YoY
    • Net Loss: $(10)M vs. $(24)M YoY
    • Adj. EBITDA: $(2)M vs. $(813)K YoY
    • Contracted Backlog: $33M
    • Shares: -13.0%
  • $VSAT
    • Cash & Equivalents: $149M
    • Revenue: $745M, +6% YoY
    • Net Income: $(48)M vs. $3M YoY
    • Adj. EBITDA: $188M, +21% YoY
    • Awards: $1,115M, +34% YoY
    • Shares: -19.3%
  • $LLAP
    • Cash & Equivalents: $36M
    • Revenue: $28M, +171% YoY
    • Net Loss: $(27)M vs. $(12)M YoY
    • Adj. EBITDA: $(14)M vs. $(9)M YoY
    • Backlog: $198M, +168%
    • Shares: Flat
  • $RKLB
    • Cash & Equivalents: $503M
    • Revenue: $63M, +1,093% YoY
    • Net Loss: $(35)M vs. $(88)M YoY
    • Adj. EBITDA: $(7)M vs. $(18)M YoY
    • Shares: +12.0%
  • $SPIR
    • Cash & Equivalents: $82M
    • Revenue: $20M, +114% YoY
    • ARR: $98M, +117% YoY
    • Net Loss: $(22)M vs. $(56)M YoY
    • Adj. EBITDA: $(8)M vs. $(12)M YoY
    • Shares: +18.6%
  • $MDA
    • Revenue: $172M, +55% YoY
    • Net Income: $18M, +348% YoY
    • Adj. EBITDA: $39M. +22% YoY
    • Adj. EBITDA Margin: 22.6%
    • Shares: +4.4%
2) Analysts on Wall Street turned bullish on a handful of Space SPACs this week.
  • Bank of America named Rocket Lab ($RKLB) and Terran Orbital ($LLAP) as top picks, stating the two companies are “attractive opportunities available for those investors seeking to invest in high-growth space end markets."
     
  • Canaccord kept their 'Buy' rating on $RKLB's but lowered the firm's price target from $16 to $15.
     
    • Analyst Austin Moeller noted the company "will continue to expand its market share in both space infrastructure production and launch services, with the company achieving margin improvement on cost-reduction projects for Electron, in addition to the phase-in of helicopter recovery and reuse."
       
  • Deutsche Bank issued 'Buy' ratings on earth imaging companies Planet ($PL) and BlackSky ($BKSY) with price targets of $7 and $3, respectively.
     
    • The firm noted that both are "generating substantial revenue and have visibility toward future growth similar to software companies."
3) Satellogic ($SATL) completed its investment in Officina Stellare ($OS).
  • The completion marks a ~5% investment in the Italian optomechanical instrumentation producer. Satellogic has an option to expand its ownership to up to 12% in the next 36 months.
     
  • The transaction "represents a strategic investment in a key industry supplier, and is a large step towards furthering our own vertical integration and greater supply chain resiliency,” said $SATLCEO Emiliano Kargieman, who will also join the Board of Directors.

📊 Chart of the Week

Prospects for Space Exploration - Euroconsult (Source)
Looking for more space? The Orbital Index is another favorite weekly newsletter of ours. The founders, Ben and Andrew, cover space science and technology news in a concise and technical manner. We highly recommend you check it out!

🔗 Links

• Spire ($SPIR) Unveils Solution for Dark Shipping Detection

• Momentus ($MNTS) To Deploy Satellites in Custom Orbit for NASA LLITED Mission

• Rocket Lab ($RKLB) Selected by MDA ($MDA) To Deliver Satellite Operations Control Center for Globalstar ($GSAT) Constellation

• Rocket Lab ($RKLB) Awarded $14M in Contracts To Supply Satellite Separation Systems for Companies Supporting for SDA’s Tranche 1 Transport Layer

• Rocket Lab ($RKLB) Announces Inaugural Electron Mission Launch Window Opening Dec 7 From Launch Complex 2 in Virginia

• Viasat ($VSAT) and Cobham Satcom Announce Strategic Collaboration on Maritime Connectivity System Ahead of ViaSat-3

🗣️ Opinion

• EchoStar ($SATS) Is Not an Opportunity Yet, Too Much Risk Ahead

• Terran Orbital ($LLAP): Market Not Pricing in Positive Catalysts

• Why Virgin Galactic ($SPCE) Fell Out of Orbit Today

• Redwire ($RDW): Beaten-Down, Potential Space Infrastructure Leader

• Astra ($ASTR): Going Long for a Trade Looks Good on the Charts

📅 Earnings Calendar

$SIDU: Nov 14 - Before Market Open
$ASTS: Nov 14 - After Market Close


*Company confirmed dates only.
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