PitchBook News - What to expect in 2023

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The Daily Pitch: VC

January 2, 2023

The Daily Pitch is powered by PitchBook’s industry-defining research and best-in-class data

Hello, our news and research teams are taking a break over the holidays and will be back later this week.

Today, we'd like to highlight our 2023 outlooks, featuring analyst forecasts and projections for the coming year across:

What's in store for emerging tech?

VC investment in emerging technologies last year didn't match the frenzy of 2021, but key sectors saw strong interest and could reach new heights next year. Amid the combination of a deeply uncertain market and tech's incredible capacity for innovation, the future looks interesting indeed.

Our 2023 Industry and Technology Outlook outlines analyst forecasts across 12 sectors in emerging tech, including climate tech, crypto, foodtech, and more:

US VC investment in climate tech will reach a new peak, driven by federal support in the Inflation Reduction Act.

Crypto VC funding will bottom out in H1 but move higher later in the year.

Cultivated proteins will draw record funding next year as the US nears regulatory approval.

Information security leaders will make multiple data security acquisitions as they seek to consolidate their positions in the market.

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VC's rollercoaster ride isn't over yet

2022 has come to an end and many VC investors will be happy to move on from a tumultuous year.

The drama, though, may not be over.

This year is shaping to be an even more stress-inducing ride for investors, according to our 2023 US Venture Capital Outlook.

But while our analysts expect some downward movement, there is always an upside—if you know where to look:

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PE returns, fundraising could falter

There's little doubt that the private equity universe will have to grapple with drooping company valuations and expensive debt in 2023.

But what are the implications?

PE returns will likely underperform public markets. Take-private deals will probably shift to much smaller targets. Exits could hit a 15-year low, relative to new investments. And buyers in need of leverage are likely to tap nonbank lenders almost exclusively in the coming months.

These analyst projections and others—such as which types of healthcare deals are poised to bounce back—are laid out in our 2023 US Private Equity Outlook:

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Optimism for European private capital despite a challenging year ahead

European private capital faced myriad challenges in 2022, with a mix of economic factors impacting the market coupled with a European war.

Our 2023 European Private Capital Outlook examines how a harsher economic environment can aid parts of the market while remaining a detriment to others.

For instance, listed companies become cheaper acquisition targets as their valuations drop, but interest rate hikes make financing leveraged PE deals more expensive:

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PitchBook News - What to expect in 2023

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