We’ve been arguing about deposit insurance for 200 years
We’ve been arguing about deposit insurance for 200 yearsDebating the tradeoff between moral hazard and financial stability is nothing newAfter SVB suffered a bank run, depositors worried about the safety of their money at other banks. This led to some odd things, like small companies thinking they need to do bank analysis. From the WSJ:
Some feel that depositors shouldn’t have to worry about this, and that they should be protected to a greater degree than they are today:
But others, like North Carolina Republican and House Financial Services Committee chair Patrick McHenry, were scandalized by this suggestion:
This is surprising. Americans have been debating just about every aspect of deposit insurance, including the cap, for centuries. Here is a brief history of that debate, told primarily through the press at the time, categorized by concern. Moral hazard SVB’s failure brought out vocal opponents of deposit insurance. Here for example is Citadel’s Ken Griffin arguing that depositors should have been allowed to sustain losses, in the FT:
(Citadel suspended redemptions from its hedge fund in 2008; as they say, there are no atheists in the foxholes). Griffin echoes Adam Pozen, writing for Brookings in the aftermath of the 2008 meltdown:
Similar opposition was raised during the establishment of the FDIC during the Great Depression. From an editorial in the New York Times in 1941:
But worries about moral hazard predate the FDIC. In a 1913 debate about establishing a “fund to be drawn on for the satisfaction of the claims of depositors in failed regional banks”, Senator Weeks of Massachusetts objected:
Going even further back, concerns about moral hazard can be found in the earliest discussions of deposit insurance in the United States almost 200 years ago. The New York Safety Fund, established in 1829, compelled banks to hold 3% of their capital in reserve to cover non-shareholder liabilities for failed banks. From a 1910 account of the debate in Congress surrounding the creation of the fund:
Financial stability Many have argued that moral hazard is the price for financial stability. Here is Joseph Stiglitz writing in project syndicate:
People have made this argument over the years, too, especially following banking crises. The SVB of 1975 was Franklin National Bank, which collapsed when it was unable to rollover certificates of deposit funding. It was the largest failure of an FDIC-insured bank until then. From the New York Times that year:
The FDIC was established during the Great Depression, after “recent events had shown that a system of federal deposit insurance was necessary to achieve and maintain financial stability”, but the argument that the benefit of stability outweighs the cost of moral hazard far predates it. Following the bank panic of 1907, an editorial in the Los Angeles Herald arguing for the establishment of deposit insurance:
And from the debate surrounding the establishment of the New York Safety Fund, in 1829:
Can depositors detect excessive risk-taking? SVB was sitting on a powder keg of long-dated, volatile government debt. Regulators didn’t flag this risk. Neither did rating agencies. Moody’s assigned SVB an A1 rating until the moment it collapsed. If regulators, supervisors, and rating agencies struggle to identify unsound banks before they fail, can we really expect depositors to make that distinction? At the height of the Savings & Loan (S&L) crisis, in 1990, in a New York Times editorial:
This logic was also used to question the value of regulation itself. In 1829, opponents of the New York State Fund—and of regulation—argued:
What’s the right level of deposit insurance? Senator Warren argues for raising the current $250,000 insurance deposit cap, but has not specified how high, saying “this is a question we’ve got to work through. Is it $2 million, is it $5 million, is it $10 million?” This too has been debated before. From the New York Times in 1985: Arguing for an increase, the FDIC chairman addressed the moral hazard argument in 1963, proposing setting the cap high enough to leave some deposits uninsured:
Today’s proponents of higher deposit insurance argue that it is the riskiness of banks that necessitates deposit insurance. But in 1950, Treasury secretary Snyder reversed this logic, suggesting that it was the soundness of the banking system which allowed a higher deposit insurance cap:
In the debate preceding the establishment of the FDIC, Roosevelt had suggested graded levels of insurance:
Using the private sector for deposit insurance SVB’s failure raised another time-honored question—should government administered insurance be provided by the private sector instead, as it is in Massachusetts? From Vox:
From The New York Times in 1988, as the S&L insurer FSLIC was falling into deficit:
In 1913, more than twenty years before the FDIC was established, Senator Weeks of Massachusetts argued:
In 1908, in the context of bank deposit insurance in Nebraska, a fire insurance executive argued that the moral hazard of weak bank deposit protection—then, against bank robberies—could be quantified, and banks charged for this risk:
*** Congress is now debating all of this: how much deposit insurance, at what cost, and for whom. But this has been an ongoing debate for almost 200 years. If and when changes are made, they will surely happen over the objections of a vocal opposition. Like gun control and abortion, deposit insurance seems to be one thing we just can't agree on. |
Older messages
Deposits should be safe. Insure them without limit.
Friday, March 24, 2023
Depositors have better things to do than monitor bank risk
How did SVB slip through regulators' fingers?
Monday, March 20, 2023
Bank stocks continue to fall, signaling problems with the financial system that may run deeper than deposit flight at SVB and other regional banks.
What happened to SVB, in pictures
Tuesday, March 14, 2023
Stability is expensive. SVB preferred taxpayers pay for it.
Are higher wages driving inflation, or only reacting to it?
Wednesday, March 8, 2023
Workers' wages are rising. Home Depot, Delta Airlines, and Walmart are some of the latest companies to announce substantial pay hikes. Yet, most economists have reservations about these gains.
Britain faces a deep freeze in living standards
Monday, March 6, 2023
The UK economy was in a fragile state. Then came a global pandemic.
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