Bloomberg - Evening Briefing - Market ties unravel

Bloomberg Evening Briefing

Treasury yields tumble the most in a decade as gold soars, stocks sit at two-month highs and credit spreads tighten. It’s a mess out there, and divining a unified signal from markets has rarely been harder. The ties that normally bind asset classes have come loose. Treasuries and equities both gained last month. Treasury turbulence remains well above stock volatility after March saw the widest gap between the two since 2008. Gold neared an all-time high on rate-cut bets even as credit traders showed confidence in company balanced sheets. And investors keep pouring cash into money market funds. Indeed, about $350 billion flowed into them in the four weeks ending April 5—pushing assets to a record $5.25 trillion.

Meanwhile, stocks on Thursday eked out small gains as traders await Friday’s key US jobs report. Big tech led a rebound in equities, which garnered a respite after Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President James Bullard said he didn’t think tight credit conditions stemming from recent banking turmoil will cause a recession. Tomorrow though will bring fresh ammunition on rate-hike bets, in the form of payroll data. “There are two-sided risks to this jobs report for the first time in a long time, and to hold the recent rally, we will need a ‘just right’ number,” said Tom Essaye, a former Merrill Lynch trader who founded The Sevens Report newsletter. “Otherwise, we should prepare for more volatility.” Here’s your markets wrap

Here are today’s top stories

Goldman Sachs says the approaching US earnings season is expected to be the gloomiest since the first year of the pandemic. Analyst consensus expectations are for S&P 500 earnings-per-share to fall 7% in the first quarter from a year earlier, marking the sharpest decline since the third quarter of 2020 and a low point in the profit cycle, the bank’s strategists wrote in an investor note.

US banks are pitted against each other as regulators move to strengthen oversight. In particular, regional banks, which are more likely to face new rules, are trying to convince regulators to increase oversight of larger ones—which may have to cover a larger portion of the costs of recent bailouts. Meanwhile, Congress—which loosened regulations in 2018—is less amenable than ever to lobbying pitches for weaker regulation.

Apple’s slowing growth and cash-rich balance sheet are again fueling speculation that, at $165 billion, the world’s most valuable company should make a big acquisition. Entertainment giant Walt Disney recently joined a long list of potential acquisition targets that over the years has grown to include Netflix, Tesla, Peloton and Sonos. But up until now, anyone betting Apple would buy them has usually been disappointed.

The greenback has replaced the Zimbabwean dollar as the most-used currency in the southern African nation for a second time. A government decision in June to officially reintroduce the greenback as legal tender to rein in surging inflation and stabilize the nation’s tumbling exchange rate has hastened the move away from local currency. 

As the self-proclaimed Warren Buffett of the SPAC generation, Chamath Palihapitiya had been all in, Ed Hammond writes in Bloomberg Opinion. He was able to launch more blank-check companies than anyone else and talked of building 26, one for every letter of the alphabet. The 10 he managed, however, are now either liquidated, delayed or trading in the basement.

Chamath Palihapitiya Photographer: Michael Nagle/Bloomberg

The Biden administration is on track to propose the toughest-ever US curbs on car pollution, while stopping short of an electric-vehicle mandate or ban on gas-powered models. The proposed standards on cars and light trucks are to govern tailpipe emissions of carbon dioxide, smog-forming nitrogen oxide and other pollution from vehicles manufactured for model years 2027 through 2032. 

Just days after a mass shooting at a Nashville elementary school claimed six lives, including three children, three Democrats took to the state legislature’s floor to protest the state’s loose gun laws. In retaliation, Republicans who control the chamber began the process of expelling them Thursday.  

Children from the Covenant School in Nashville are evacuated after a mass shooting on March 27. Photographer: Jonathan Mattise/AP

Bloomberg continues to track the global coronavirus pandemic. Click here for daily updates.

What you’ll need to know tomorrow

Palm Oil Is Killing Forests. The Fix Isn’t Easy

There’s a lot of damage being done to the planet in the name of food, but humans have long resisted the strategies that may help turn the tide. In this episode of the Bloomberg Originals series Getting Warmer With Kal Penn, Kal Penn heads to Indonesia to investigate solutions to the problem of palm oil. It’s used in everything from cookies and ice cream to shampoo and even fuel, but its cultivation is a major driver of deforestation. What’s standing in the way of scaling sustainable farming practices?

Palm oil Photograph: Bloomberg

The Evening Briefing will return on Monday, April 10.

Key phrases

Older messages

What banking crisis?

Wednesday, April 5, 2023

Bloomberg Evening Briefing View in browser Bloomberg Retail investors have joined the growing chorus saying that the banking crisis may be over. Individual investors have been pouncing on battered bank

Trump as criminal defendant

Tuesday, April 4, 2023

Bloomberg Evening Briefing View in browser Bloomberg Donald Trump is the only president in America's 247-year history to have been impeached twice. On Tuesday, he came the only former president to

OPEC hits the gas

Monday, April 3, 2023

Bloomberg Evening Briefing View in browser Bloomberg Monday was all about oil following the surprise decision by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies to slash output. The

Uncharted waters

Saturday, April 1, 2023

Bloomberg Weekend Reading View in browser Bloomberg What now? Procedurally, the first former US president to face indictment is set to fly with his Secret Service detail to New York City early next

Inflation slows again

Friday, March 31, 2023

Bloomberg Evening Briefing View in browser Bloomberg Technology shares extended the week's US stocks rally after a key measure of inflation cooled last month, good news for the Federal Reserve as

🫂 Tesla's sharing

Sunday, May 28, 2023

Tesla's letting Ford drivers use its charging stations | UK retail sales ticked up | TOGETHER WITH Hi Reader, here's what you need to know for May 29th in 3:13 minutes. 🍦 It's time for the

🚀 It's NVIDIA's world....

Sunday, May 28, 2023

Plus, TikTok launches Shopping! ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌

Homebuyers are screwed

Sunday, May 28, 2023

Plus: Bill Gates' AI bet, and the best early-stage investors. View in browser Subscribe May 28, 2023 Hi, I'm Matt Turner, the editor in chief of business at Insider. Welcome back to Insider

Welcome to the ‘Airbnbust’

Saturday, May 27, 2023

Plus: $2.5 million cruise cabin, and airline catering truck tiny home. View in browser Subscribe May 27, 2023 Hello, Insiders. Ever find yourself sitting on your couch, mindlessly scrolling through

‘We made progress’

Saturday, May 27, 2023

Bloomberg Weekend Reading View in browser Bloomberg A debt limit deal seems near, and just days before the full faith and credit of the US would be placed in question for the first time in the

Sticking point

Friday, May 26, 2023

Bloomberg Evening Briefing View in browser Bloomberg Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen announced the department expects to be able to make payments on US debt up until June 5, four days longer than her

The Most Important Bank in the World

Friday, May 26, 2023

Plus: Starling Bank, Norinchukin, Citigroup ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌

Musk’s coming for your brain

Friday, May 26, 2023

Plus: ChatGPT's making people money, and the hack airlines hate. View in browser Subscribe May 26, 2023 Hello, Insiders. Jack Sommers, senior editor in the UK, here. You may love Elon Musk, or you

Wall Street: So about that US default

Friday, May 26, 2023

The latest in finance. View in browser INSIDER INSIDER Subscribe 10 THINGS ON WALL STREET Finally Friday! Dan DeFrancesco checking in from an undisclosed location (most likely with a drink in my hand).

💵 Nvidia aced it

Thursday, May 25, 2023

Nvidia's update had investors falling in love | A recession hit Germany| TOGETHER WITH Hi Reader, here's what you need to know for May 26th in 3:10 minutes. It's 2023: these days, crypto