Bloomberg - Evening Briefing - Bulls run wild

Bloomberg Evening Briefing

Wall Street has officially erased more than a year of Fed-inflicted pain. Seemingly ignoring the central bank’s caution that—June pause or not—more rate hikes are likely, the bulls are running wild as investors claw back all of the ground lost during the Fed’s tightening campaign. The artificial intelligence-fueled rally also ran right over continuing calls from some corners that a recession may soon appear, perhaps a reflection on a year of perpetually unrealized downturn predictions. After the Federal Reserve paused hikes Wednesday, the S&P 500 closed at 4,372.59, a level seen back in March 2022 when Powell kicked off the hiking cycle and sparked a bear market across stocks and bonds. On Thursday, the S&P 500 closed even higher. Still, as Powell and others warned, the US economy doesn’t stop on a dime, and the central bank’s tightening measures may have yet to be fully felt. “Those who’ve successfully played the current rally, in part because of excessive investor pessimism, should recognize the crowd is now mostly aboard,” said Doug Ramsey, chief investment officer of Leuthold. “My biggest concern by far is the lagged impact of the last 15 months’ tightening.” 

Here are today’s top stories

Earlier this year, the Republican Party sought to bury proposals by some of its members to target Medicare and Social Security for cuts. Democratic President Joe Biden managed to maneuver House Republicans into a promise of sorts during the State of the Union not to touch those third rails of American politics, and the GOP has repeatedly denied it intends to cut the benefits. Now, a 176-member group that makes up the majority of Republican House members is proposing to do just that, seeking to raise the retirement age for Americans by 3 years, to 69. 

Since the Kakhovka dam was destroyed on June 6, floods have cut off the ability of Ukraine’s troops to cross the Dnipro River in support of their counteroffensive. Yet that benefit to the Kremlin, which Kyiv said blew up the dam, may not last. As Ukraine deploys billions of dollars of western weaponry along a front stretching for 1,000 miles, the Dnipro is a crucial feature of the battlefield, offering protection to troops facing each other across much of its southern portion. Now, the Washington-based Institute for the Study of War is redrawing its battlefield maps to reflect the sudden shrinkage of the water course that separates Ukrainian forces from the occupied land on the eastern banks of the reservoir

The Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant, occupied by Russian troops, on the opposite bank of the Dnipro River in Ukraine as the level of water in the Kakhovka Reservoir continues to decrease Photographer: NurPhoto

A Goldman Sachs partner agreed to pay several million dollars to a woman to resolve a complaint so sensitive it was handled at the highest levels of the firm. The executive was said to have accidentally included a sexually explicit recording of himself as part of a work-related video sent to a junior staffer. The incident, which happened in 2020, quickly spiraled into an internal review overseen by senior leaders, including Chief Executive Officer David Solomon.

The biggest US supplier of semiconductor chipmaking equipment sued a Chinese-owned rival over what it says was a 14-month effort to steal some of its most valuable secrets. Applied Materials accused California-based Mattson, which is owned by a Beijing-backed concern, of hiring away 17 of its most senior engineers over just more than a year. 

Three years after the pandemic closed down offices around the world, the remote-work revolution has morphed into a tug-of-war between frustrated bosses and fed-up staff. While workers don’t want to give up flexibility, leaders want teams back in the office with claims of increased collaboration and productivity. The impasse is the latest phase in a high-stakes battle that’s putting careers, profits and mental health on the line. 

Few companies are insisting on a full-time return to the office, with most preferring hybrid models that allow some flexibility. Photographer: Chris Ratcliffe/Bloomberg

A reckoning is coming for lower-quality office buildings over the next few years, and it will be made worse by tightening credit at US regional banks, says the head of one of Canada’s largest institutional investors: “There’s going to be a bloodbath in some areas, for sure.”

India’s Supreme Court is hearing arguments in a case to legalize same-sex marriage, and a decision is likely this year. But since the court effectively decriminalized homosexuality in 2018, a growing group of gay and lesbian Indian couples have embraced—and reinvented—the country’s elaborate wedding ceremonies and traditions. As a result, India’s massive, $210 billion wedding industry is embracing LGBTQ ceremonies.

Source: Sougata Basu and Mayank Kalra

What you’ll need to know tomorrow

The Arts Arrive at What Was Once Ground Zero  

The Perelman Performing Arts Center, or PAC NYC for short, will formally open in September. The $500 million building sits in the shadow of One World Trade Center and alongside the 9/11 Memorial & Museum, all on the site of the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks 22 years ago. The project will debut as New York City continues to recover from the Covid-19 pandemic, which claimed the lives of tens of thousands of New Yorkers, and in an era of lagging audiences and patronage of the arts. These are some of the reasons the center is being watched closely by urban planners, arts professionals, philanthropists—and of course curious New Yorkers.

The new PAC NYC Photographer: Amanda Gordon/Bloomberg

Key phrases

Older messages

Flash in the pan?

Tuesday, June 20, 2023

Bloomberg Evening Briefing View in browser Bloomberg Just as believers in a soft landing for the US economy are duking it out with Team Recessionary, Wall Street has a new snit brewing, albeit of the

Uncertainty reigns

Tuesday, June 20, 2023

Bloomberg Weekend Reading View in browser Bloomberg The global fight against pandemic-era inflation has prompted seesawing projections ranging from recessions to soft landings. Now, with the rate-hike

State secrets

Tuesday, June 13, 2023

Bloomberg Evening Briefing. View in browser Bloomberg For the second time in just over two months, Donald Trump pleaded not guilty to criminal charges. In April, it was in New York and tied to an

Is the bull market real?

Monday, June 12, 2023

Bloomberg Evening Briefing View in browser Bloomberg The S&P 500 entered bull market territory last week after gaining 20% from an October low, driven by investors betting on America's

The ‘non-recession recession’

Monday, June 12, 2023

Bloomberg Evening Briefing View in browser Bloomberg After a year in which Wall Street and its professional observers have said a US recession was coming, looming, pending, priced in and guaranteed, it

You Might Also Like

😬 Tense time for Brits

Sunday, May 5, 2024

Plus, everything you need to know for the week ahead | Finimize Hi Reader. Here's a look at what you need to know for the week ahead and the things you might have missed last week. Britain's

Cash out your home equity with less hassle

Sunday, May 5, 2024

Here are some lenders that offer no-appraisal home equity loans ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌

Longreads + Open Thread

Saturday, May 4, 2024

Shorting, Archegos, Journalism, Mercenaries, Rust, Moonshots, AI, Reformation Longreads + Open Thread By Byrne Hobart • 4 May 2024 View in browser View in browser Longreads In The New Yorker, Clare

‘Forever war’

Saturday, May 4, 2024

Bloomberg Weekend Reading View in browser Bloomberg College and university administrators around the US called the police on protestors this week, looking to tear down encampments and, in the case of

🇺🇸 Europe vs. the US

Friday, May 3, 2024

OECD predicted that the global economy will pick up | US job numbers weren't as high as expected, but they're not to be scoffed at | Finimize TOGETHER WITH Hi Reader, here's what you need

Too much data

Friday, May 3, 2024

Bloomberg Evening Briefing View in browser Bloomberg Wall Street traders trying to front run the Federal Reserve should be happy this week is finally over. Having pulled money out of credit and crypto

Will your debt burden your loved ones when you die?

Friday, May 3, 2024

Here's how you could secure your family's future. ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌

Harry's Rant 5-3-24 Millennials Go Boom?

Friday, May 3, 2024

image Harry's Rant May 3, 2024 We've had the greatest, longest market bubble ever... But what goes up must come down. What will the recovery look like? In this Rant, Harry Dent explores this

The Private Equity Machine

Friday, May 3, 2024

From Formula One to Six Nations: How CVC Does Private Equity ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏

Panic Patterns - 1987, 2020 and 2024? {VIDEO}

Friday, May 3, 2024

The following is a third-party sponsored message. It should not be considered a recommendation or endorsement by HS Dent Publishing. May 2024 Edition of The Market Timing Report Watch this special