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Morning Brew

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Good morning. Ready to put your feet up this weekend? So are the participants in the Sri Chinmoy 3,100 Mile Self-Transcendence Race in Queens, NY—the longest certified road race in the world. Since August 30, these super-athletes have been running an average of 59.6 miles per day (more than two marathons) from 6am to midnight to log 3,100 miles over 52 days.

If that doesn’t sound sufficiently bananas, the route is just one city block in Queens that the runners must circle thousands of times, so it’s considered more of a mental test than a physical one.

The race ends tonight at midnight if you are in the area and have a spare ice pack.

Neal Freyman, Matty Merritt, Molly Liebergall, Dave Lozo, Adam Epstein

MARKETS

Nasdaq

13,186.18

S&P

4,278.00

Dow

33,414.17

10-Year

4.990%

Bitcoin

$28,726.88

Tesla

$220.11

*Stock data as of market close, cryptocurrency data as of 11:00pm ET. Here's what these numbers mean.

  • Markets: Stocks took a dive yesterday as investors searched Jerome Powell’s latest public comments for clues about if and when the Fed will adjust rates. After Powell spoke, the 10-year Treasury yield approached the psychologically significant benchmark of 5%, which hasn’t been reached since 2007.
  • Stock spotlight: Tesla plummeted more than 9% after the company missed on earnings and CEO Elon Musk told analysts to “temper expectations” for its much-awaited Cybertruck.
 

ECONOMY

Uh-oh: The economy is doing really well

Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell China News Service/Getty Images

In a closely watched speech at the Economic Club of New York, Fed Chair Jerome Powell conveyed a similar message to the climate protesters who briefly interrupted him: It’s too hot.

Powell was speaking about the US economy, which has barely let out a yawn despite the heavy doses of melatonin the Fed has thrown its way via interest rate hikes.

In his remarks, Powell declared that “inflation is still too high” and left the door open for another interest rate increase in December—though he essentially ruled one for November.

In the last 20 months, the Fed has jacked up interest rates to a 22-year high to tame soaring inflation. And inflation has come down to about half of its June 2022 peak.

But the economy is still ripping

The Fed’s rate-hiking jamboree was expected to slow hiring, spending, and broader economic growth as unfortunate side effects of popping the inflation balloon. However, a series of recent reports shows that the US economy is still roaring in the ’20s:

  • Jobs: Employers smashed expectations by adding 336,000 jobs in September, and the unemployment rate remains at a low level of 3.8%.
  • Spending: Retail sales also blew past estimates in September, a sign that American consumers remain the undisputed shopping world champs. This probably helped: Americans’ household wealth surged 37% from 2019 to 2022, according to Fed data released on Wednesday. That’s more than double the second-highest increase on record.
  • Economy: After the strong retail sales numbers came out this week, Morgan Stanley raised its Q3 economic growth outlook to 4.9% from 4.5%. Context: One year ago this week, Bloomberg economists predicted a 100% chance of a recession…within a year.

Big picture: Powell emphasized that none of his plans have been written in Sharpie “given the uncertainties and risks” of the current situation. One of those question marks: the potential escalation of the Israel-Hamas war. Powell warned that “highly elevated” geopolitical tensions “pose important risks” for the global economy.—NF

     

TOGETHER WITH APPLE TV+

Serving up your new fave show

Apple TV+

Craving a new fave show? Apple TV+’s adaptation of acclaimed global book phenomenon Lessons in Chemistry is fresh out of the oven, streaming now.

Dig into Elizabeth Zott’s story about the recipe to success—and how it can unexpectedly change. Aspiring scientist Elizabeth finds herself fired from her job in a lab in the 1950s. Scientific dreams momentarily dashed, she accepts a new challenge: hosting a TV cooking show.

With a brand-new audience at her fingertips, she starts teaching a nation of overlooked housewives ( + the men who are suddenly listening) a lot more than recipes.

Grab your favorite TV-time snacks and catch stars Brie Larson and Lewis Pullman in Lessons in Chemistry, now streaming on Apple TV+.

WORLD

Tour de headlines

Aid trucks wait at the Rafah Crossing on the border of Gaza and Egypt Mahmoud Khaled/Getty Images

⚕️ Gaza–Egypt border set to open for aid today. Trucks full of medicine, food, and other humanitarian supplies will reportedly be allowed into Gaza at the Rafah border crossing today after President Biden secured a deal with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu during his visit to the country earlier this week. But actually getting the aid to the people who need it faces a number of challenges, including the possibility that Hamas militants steal it. Humanitarian officials also say Israel has not yet guaranteed that aid workers will be safe from airstrikes. Biden gave a prime-time address from the Oval Office last night to make the case that Israel and Ukraine need aid ahead of asking Congress to approve $100 billion to help fund the countries’ war efforts, as well as Taiwan and the US border with Mexico. Meanwhile, a US warship in the Red Sea shot down missiles launched by Iran-backed Houthi militants in Yemen, who may have been aiming at Israel.

New York AG sued Winklevii crypto firm for fraud. New York Attorney General Letitia James filed a lawsuit against cryptocurrency companies Gemini Trust, Genesis Global, and Digital Currency Group (DCG), alleging that they defrauded 230,000 investors of more than $1 billion. The lawsuit contends that Gemini—founded by Tyler and Cameron Winklevoss—lied to investors about the dangers of a program that promised them a high rate of return. James’s office also claims that Gemini knew of the risks from the time the program launched in Feb. 2021 until it was dissolved in Nov. 2022 after the collapse of Sam Bankman-Fried’s FTX crypto exchange. Genesis and Gemini released statements denying the allegations.

The speaker situation still isn’t any clearer. After two failed votes to be elected speaker of the House, Republican Rep. Jim Jordan of Ohio was expected to call for a third vote today, but he reportedly ditched those plans to support a bipartisan arrangement to temporarily empower Speaker Pro Tempore Patrick McHenry. After that plan fell apart during a closed-door meeting of GOP representatives, Jordan pulled out his Uno reverse card, saying he was back to pursuing another vote to become speaker himself. Problem is, several of his Republican colleagues still refuse to support his bid. It’s unclear when this will be resolved so the House can function.

TECH

FCC to net neutrality regulation

Scene from “Brokeback Mountain” Jack Twist saying “I wish I knew how to quit you.” Brokeback Mountain/Focus Features via Giphy

Net neutrality discourse is back! Yesterday, the Democratic-led Federal Communications Commission (FCC) voted to begin the process of restoring federal net neutrality rules that were repealed during the Trump administration.

The no-background: In 2015, during the Obama administration, the FCC began regulating broadband internet access like other utilities, promising to prevent providers from price gouging or slowing down internet service for some customers.

But it quickly became a partisan issue as Republicans took the position that the government was overstepping. Telecommunication companies like AT&T (very much against net neutrality) and tech giants like Google (for net neutrality) went head-to-head, pouring lots of money into the fight. In 2018, after Trump took office, the Republican-led FCC did away with the regulations.

New takes on an old debate: FCC Chairwoman Jessica Rosenworcel said she’s revisiting the issue because pandemic lockdowns showed just how vital internet access is, and that the smattering of state laws passed since it became apparent that federal broadband protections were going away aren’t enough. Predictably, both GOP commissioners are against it. Commissioner Brendan Carr said consumers and their internet connections have been doing just fine for the last few years and that renewed restrictions would burden the telecom industry.

Looking ahead…public comment on the potential revival is now open. The FCC will vote next year at the earliest on whether or not to adopt net neutrality again. If passed, the regulator would have the power to track outages and step in if it believes providers charge too much for broadband.—MM

     

TOGETHER WITH WORKDAY

Workday

Let’s talk talent. More applications for fewer open roles, reduced turnover…it’s a whole new world for the talent market. Learn what it takes to attract (+ retain) the best talent in Workday’s The First Half of 2023 report. Dig into first-party data insights, market trends, and more in the full report.

GAMING

Gamers are trying to become the next GeoGuessr king

Trevor Rainbolt plays GeoGuessr Rainbolt via YouTube

In a matter of seconds, that guy in the top left corner can identify the location of this freeway by its trees and get the GPS coordinates of your mom’s house using a picture of her porch.

You’ve probably seen Trevor Rainbolt (pictured above) on your feeds playing the geography game GeoGuessr, casually remarking “nice” or “we’ll take that” as he rapidly geolocates random Google Maps Street View locations using only buildings, foliage, or even dirt.

His viral videos have helped popularize the browser-based game, which now has…

  • Sixty-five million users, according to The Information. Twenty-four of them competed in the first GeoGuessr World Cup tournament last weekend, where Rainbolt was a commentator.
  • Over $18 million in revenue as of last year—a big spike from just $500,000 in 2019. About 80% of the money comes from monthly subscriptions to the game’s ad-free premium versions, according to The Information.

Sponsors are taking notice: The global esports audience is projected to surpass 640 million people by 2025, according to Newzoo, and brands are very aware. Rainbolt recently got some wings in a Red Bull stunt where he played GeoGuessr while skydiving.—ML

     

GRAB BAG

Key performance indicators

A rack of Canada Goose parkas Richard Lautens/Getty Images

Stat: Global warming is forcing the migratory patterns of geese northward, and winter clothing brand Canada Goose’s stock price extremely southward. Shares of the expensive retailer plunged 9.8% to an all-time low yesterday following multiple analyst downgrades. While a shaky economic outlook for China, which makes up a quarter of Canada Goose’s sales, was a big reason for the downgrades, analysts also cited warmer-than-usual expected weather for the holiday season as a potential drag on sales. In addition to its parkas, the company does sell lightweight jackets and raincoats if you simply must show off that iconic red patch in non-frigid temps.

Quote: “It was a gorgeous day, I just wasn’t in the mood to work.”

Imagine that: American employees—especially younger ones—are actually using their sick days. The number of US workers taking sick days has skyrocketed since the Covid-19 pandemic due to both heightened awareness of viruses and also because, well, they just feel like it. One project manager in Chicago told the Wall Street Journal he used to power through illnesses but, after getting laid off, he takes sick days at his new job without hesitation.

Read: How to fly an American president into a country at war. (New York Times)

QUIZ

Speaker of the quiz

New Friday quiz image

The feeling of getting a 5/5 on the Brew’s Weekly News Quiz has been compared to the calendar of February 2015.

It’s that satisfying. Ace the quiz.

NEWS

What else is brewing

  • Peter Thiel, the billionaire Silicon Valley entrepreneur and Trump donor, is an FBI informant, Insider reported.
  • Taylor Swift’s bodyguard is one of thousands of IDF reservists flying to Israel to join the conflict against Hamas.
  • Nokia is cutting up to 14,000 jobs as part of a plan to lower costs after profits sank 69% year over year in the third quarter.
  • Super Mario Bros. Wonder hits the Nintendo Switch today in what could be one of the last hurrahs for the hand-held console before Nintendo releases the Switch 2.
  • Starbucks and the union representing its workers are suing each other over a pro-Palestine message the union posted on X two days after the Hamas terrorist attacks on Israel.

RECS

Friday to-do list

Watch: Musician Jon Batiste mesmerizes CNN’s Chris Wallace by transforming Beethoven’s “Für Elise” into the blues and gospel on piano.

Buy: Costco is selling a 157-piece Le Creuset kitchen set for $4,500, which sounds like a lot until you realize you’ll never need to buy anything for your kitchen again.

Vote: In honor of the 25th anniversary of the National Toy Hall of Fame, you can now vote for one of five previously overlooked toys to finally make it to the Hall. Justice for Transformers.

Bask: In the greatness of one of the greatest living filmmakers with Martin Scorsese’s Killers of the Flower Moon, which is out in theaters today and proves Marty’s still got his fastball.

Earn rewards + a $300 bonus: Enjoy exceptional rewards on purchases and a $300 welcome bonus with this credit card. Start racking up huge rewards—learn more here.*

Startup investing fund-amentals: Explore the entrepreneurial journey from concept to community-based funding with 3 founders and Morning Brew’s Alex Lieberman. Register to watch.*

*A message from our sponsor.

GAMES

The puzzle section

Jigsaw: Escape to a fall foliage paradise in today’s jigsaw puzzle. Play it here.

Friday puzzle

Identify the one letter that completes the following series:

“Using” is E

“Desist” is I

“Visits” is E

“Design” is ???

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morningbrew.com/daily/r/?kid=303a04a9

ANSWER

U. U is the final, missing piece that makes it a palindrome. The palindrome: Using is e desist is I visits is e design is u.

Give yourself a pat on the back if you got that one.

Source

Word of the Day

Today’s Word of the Day is: jamboree, meaning “a large festive gathering.” Thanks to Harrison from Santa Barbara, California, for the suggestion. Submit another Word of the Day here.

         
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