Morning Brew - ☕️ Put a ring on it

The FTC wants to stop the supermarket super merger...
February 27, 2024 View Online | Sign Up | Shop

Morning Brew

The Fundrise Flagship Fund

Good morning. This intro is for anyone working in marketing: If you’ve got a slow morning ahead of you, turn it into an opportunity to get ahead with Marketing Brew’s Feb. 28 event exploring how AI is going to change your industry. Leaders from Meta, Microsoft, UpWork, and more will explain how they’re already integrating AI with their customer service, brand strategy, and digital ads, and will leave you with tips that, for once, you might want to try at home.

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—Cassandra Cassidy, Molly Liebergall, Sam Klebanov, Abby Rubenstein, Neal Freyman

MARKETS

Nasdaq

15,976.25

S&P

5,069.53

Dow

39,069.23

10-Year

4.299%

Bitcoin

$54,602.55

Amazon

$174.73

*Stock data as of market close, cryptocurrency data as of 5:00am ET. Here's what these numbers mean.

  • Markets: Stocks fell as the Dow got a special delivery from Amazon, which joined the index yesterday, replacing Walgreens. That didn’t give the Dow a boost for the day, but it should help the index—whose performance is trailing the S&P 500—going forward by giving it more tech power.
 

RETAIL

FTC sues to block supermarket merger

Illustration of a grocery bag with the bottom cut off Francis Scialabba

Aiming to keep the cost of your Sunday evening grocery trip from increasing, the FTC announced yesterday that it’s suing to block the $25 billion Kroger–Albertsons merger.

The FTC alleges that the merger—which would combine the second and fourth largest grocery store chains in the US—would lead to higher food prices for customers at a time when Americans are already spending more of their money on food than they have in the last thirty years. The proposed mega grocery chain would own 5,000+ stores across the country, including popular stores like Fred Meyer, Ralphs, and Safeway, and would control 15%–20% of the market—still short of Walmart’s 5,200 stores and more than 25% market share.

What do Albertsons and Kroger say? Both companies claim customers would actually see lower prices if they teamed up.

And while the FTC claims the merger would result in lower wages and worse conditions for workers, Kroger and Albertsons note that they are mostly unionized, and argue that together they’ll be better able to compete with largely nonunionized big shots like Amazon, Costco, and Walmart. (But the unions representing their workers oppose the deal.)

They saw the FTC coming: Under the Biden Administration, the FTC has challenged several mergers that it claims could drive up consumer prices, including the proposed JetBlue–Spirit tie-up. In anticipation of antitrust challenges, Kroger had already pledged $500 million to reduce prices and $1 billion to increase wages, and offered to divest ~400 stores by selling them to Piggly Wiggly owner C&S Wholesale Grocers.

That wasn’t enough…the agency called the proposal “inadequate” and said it fell “far short of mitigating lost competition.” That’s probably because weighing the price of Dijon has the FTC feeling deja vu about Albertsons’s $9 billion merger with Safeway in 2014. Safeway and Albertsons won approval for that deal by agreeing to divest 146 locations to a private operator…which went bankrupt less than a year later.—CC

     

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For example…in 2023, interest rates reached the highest levels we’ve seen in over two decades. The effects were widespread, but the real estate market in particular suffered major losses as demand dropped like a rock.

The classic investing question…do falling prices mean it’s time to bail or time to buy?

For the Fundrise Flagship Fund, it’s time to buy. The Fund is gearing up to take advantage of today’s market by expanding its $1+ billion private real estate portfolio, and it plans to invest hundreds of millions into well-located residential and industrial assets over the next 12 months.

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WORLD

Tour de headlines

Sweden's Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson attends a press conference after Hungary's parliament has voted yes to ratify Sweden's NATO accession Sweden’s prime minister has something to smile about. JONATHAN NACKSTRAND/AFP via Getty Images

Sweden is set to become a NATO member. Sweden will soon be the 32nd member of the military alliance, after Hungary’s parliament voted yesterday to allow the nation to join NATO following more than a year and a half of saying “you can’t sit with us.” Sweden and Finland both sought to join after Russia invaded Ukraine. All member countries must approve any new ones, and while Finland got a quicker nod, Hungary’s authoritarian prime minister, Viktor Orban, blocked a vote on Sweden’s bid for more than 18 months. His decision to finally allow the vote, which went 188 to 6 in favor of admitting Sweden, paves the way for Sweden to join NATO as soon as this week.

Microsoft is looking at a broader AI future than just OpenAI. Microsoft has been at the forefront of the AI revolution through its $13 billion stake in the ChatGPT-maker, but yesterday it showed it’s also making other AI bets, announcing it will pursue several partnerships and is investing $2.1 billion in French startup Mistral AI. Mistral’s tech will be available to Microsoft Azure users. Microsoft President Brad Smith told Axios that OpenAI CEO Sam Altman is “brilliant,” but “just as the printing press quickly evolved beyond Gutenberg, AI is quickly evolving beyond any single individual.”

Palestinian Authority shakes up government, eyeing post-war Gaza role. Mohammad Shtayyeh, prime minister of the Palestinian Authority, which governs parts of the Israeli-occupied West Bank, submitted his government’s resignation to President Mahmoud Abbas. The move came after neighboring countries and the US pressured the Palestinian Authority to make changes so that it could manage Gaza after the war between Israel and Hamas ends. Abbas, who has asked the government to stay on until he can form a new one, is expected to appoint Mohammad Mustafa, a former World Bank official and chairman of the Palestine Investment Fund, as prime minister. Separately, President Biden said a deal for a cease-fire between Israel and Hamas could come as soon as this weekend.

LAW

The Supreme Court debates online free speech

barbed wire around a phone Francis Scialabba

Big Tech titans clashed with conservative-led states yesterday in two Supreme Court cases that could strip social media companies of much of their power to moderate content.

In the cases NetChoice v. Paxton and Moody v. NetChoice, trade groups that represent social media sites including Meta and Google are challenging state laws in Florida and Texas that would bar tech companies from 1) removing content on their social media sites that could be seen as political and 2) banning accounts based on the viewpoints they share—even if they violate user agreements.

Here’s what each side argued before the high court yesterday:

  • Attorneys for Texas and Florida say the laws (designed largely to shield conservative voices from moderation) protect people’s First Amendment rights against big companies’ ability to remove and shadowban content they deem harmful.
  • The social media companies maintain that they need to be able to remove disinformation and other harmful content, citing examples like spam, pro-terrorism speech, and the Tide Pod Challenge of 2018.

The decision is expected by June. During yesterday’s oral arguments, the justices appeared skeptical of the states’ laws and their arguments that deplatforming counts as censorship. But if the court does uphold the Texas and Florida laws, the social media companies’ bipartisan public and private sector allies say hate speech would flood platforms like TikTok and Facebook, likely driving advertisers away. Another option for the sites, if the court’s decision forces them to allow all opinions, could be to prohibit entire topics—like race or gender—from being discussed at all.—ML

     

TOGETHER WITH ENERGYX

EnergyX

The next gold rush. Demand for lithium, the essential component in EV batteries, is projected to soar 20x by 2040. Perfect timing for EnergyX—their technology extracts up to 300% more lithium than traditional methods, earning them investments from GM and POSCO. Now you can invest, too. Become an EnergyX shareholder here.

TECH

Samsung wants to put a ring on your finger

Samsung smart ring Pau Barrena/Getty Images

If you like your health, Samsung thinks you should put a Galaxy Ring on it. The company best known for catering to iPhone haters flashed a prototype of its first-ever smart ring at the Mobile World Congress that began in Barcelona yesterday. The wearable will track sleep and activity patterns for the Samsung Health app and may also enable contactless payments.

Samsung’s debut as a jeweler makes it the first tech giant to enter the electronic ring game, which has been dominated by startups like Finland-based Oura. Industry watchers expect the ring race to heat up, as Apple is also reportedly mulling whether to start encircling fingers (probably at Tiffany prices).

Why ring it up?

Samsung is betting that some users might be more comfortable sleeping with a ring rather than one of its Galaxy smartwatches, but its VP of Digital Health, Dr. Hon Pak, envisions customers wearing multiple devices for a more complete picture of their health.

  • The first-gen ring will measure heart rate, breathing, and movement during sleep.
  • You’ll be able to get one sometime this year in platinum silver, gold, or ceramic black.

It’s just a start…Samsung is developing noninvasive glucose monitoring and blood pressure sensing for its wearables.—SK

     

GRAB BAG

Key performance indicators

A hand holding a 100 dollar bill SOPA Images/Getty Images

Stat: When it comes to cash, it really is all about the Benjamins: There are more $100 bills in circulation than any other kind of US paper money, according to the Wall Street Journal. And there are now more than twice as many hundos out there as there were in 2012, data from the Federal Reserve shows. The prevalence of the denomination is in part because people tend to hang on to them longer than smaller bills, rather than forcing a cashier to hold them up to the light. But these days, most transactions aren’t happening with any bills—cash is only the third most popular payment method in the US, with 60% of payments being made with credit or debit cards.

Quote: “There’s a sh*tshow going on in Seattle.”

The CEO of Ryanair, the budget airline beloved by your friend who won’t stop talking about when they studied abroad in Europe, is none too happy with Boeing. Michael O’Leary did not hold back recently about his frustrations with the delays that Seattle-based Boeing’s safety problems have caused in getting new planes for the carrier. “We don’t really know how many aircraft we’re going to get from Boeing,” he explained, and, if it’s not enough, he warned Ryanair might have to cut flights or raise prices as much as 10% during its busy summer season.

Read: Why are there suddenly so many car washes? (Bloomberg)

NEWS

What else is brewing

  • Donald Trump is appealing the $350 million verdict against him in the New York civil fraud case. Meanwhile, prosecutors have asked the judge to impose a gag order on Trump in an upcoming New York criminal trial over an alleged hush money payment to porn star Stormy Daniels.
  • US Air Force member Aaron Bushnell died after lighting himself on fire outside the Israeli embassy in Washington, DC, saying he would “no longer be complicit in genocide.”
  • The lunar lander Odysseus sent back its first images from the moon. But the Intuitive Machines spacecraft’s mission is expected to be cut short since it landed on its side, giving its solar panels less sunlight.
  • Altice USA’s stock jumped 36% yesterday following reports that Charter Communications is thinking about buying the broadband company.
  • Adidas is selling off another batch of Yeezy sneakers after cutting ties with rapper Ye over his antisemitic comments.

RECS

Tuesday To Do List

Enter the matrix: A new game tests your movie trivia knowledge by having you place films into a grid.

Focus: Stare at a dot for one minute to boost your concentration.

Choose wisely: As streaming services raise prices and bundle up, here’s a guide to which ones are best for you.

Measure up: Here’s a list of units of measurement invented mostly to be funny, because we’re not above considering time in beard-seconds.

Mint shutdown blues?: Origin has all the budgeting features you loved with Mint, plus free tax filing, AI-powered planning, and automated investing. Just $12.99/month. Your first month’s free.*

*A message from our sponsor.

GAMES

The puzzle section

Brew Mini: Hunks and marsupials unite in today’s Mini. Play it here.

Guess the logo

A North American pro sports team announced a major rebrand yesterday, unveiling this new logo. Can you name the team?

NBA team logo for quiz

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ANSWER

Los Angeles Clippers

Word of the Day

Today’s Word of the Day is: prototype, meaning “an original model on which something is patterned.” Thanks to Jennifer from Los Angeles for the inspiring suggestion. Submit another Word of the Day here.

✢ A Note From The Fundrise Flagship Fund

Advertiser’s disclosure: Carefully consider the investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses of the Fundrise Flagship Fund before investing. This and other information can be found in the Fund’s prospectus. Read them carefully before investing. This is a paid advertisement.

✳︎ A Note From EnergyX

This is a paid advertisement for EnergyX’s Regulation A+ offering. Please read the offering circular at invest.energyx.com/.

         
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