The Message Box - Thoughts on a Pretty Good NYT Poll
Thoughts on a Pretty Good NYT PollThe latest New York Times/ Siena poll shows the President's campaign has some momentum.NOTE: This post was written, and this poll was conducted before Iran launched an attack on Israel yesterday. At times like these, domestic political analysis can seem wholly unimportant, even if the election result will dramatically affect issues like how the U.S. responds to such aggression abroad. In recent months, the release of a brand new New York Times/Siena poll kicked off a cycle of panic among Democrats. Last fall, this poll showed Donald Trump leading Biden significantly in the battleground states for the first time. In February, another New York Times/Siena poll led to calls for Biden to drop out because of concerns about his age. Yesterday, the folks at the self-proclaimed paper of record decided to drop another poll on us — potentially ruining another weekend for the poll junkies, but the latest New York Times/Siena poll is actually good news for President Biden. While the President trailed Trump by five among registered voters in February, the race is now essentially tied, with Trump leading 46-45. This result validates a trend. Since Biden’s well-received State of the Union, several polls show him tied or with a slight lead. None of those polls, however, had the credibility of the New York Times/Siena poll, which is FiveThirtyEights highest rated pollster and carries the significance of being attached to the nation’s most important media organization. While I agree this NYT poll is probably the most credible of the media polls because of their track record and the transparency that Nate Cohn brings to his process, it’s probably given too much weight by people who work in media and politics. But since I wrote about the two less-than-awesome polls, I owe you a post on a positive New York Times poll too. The Biden campaign and Democrats across the spectrum are breathing a sigh of relief this morning as we avoided another wave of panic and intra-party recriminations. It is reassuring to know that the President’s State of the Union, his new campaign ad blitz, and recent aggressive messaging on topics like climate change, the economy, gun violence, and student debt have had an impact. This poll provest the Biden campaign plan is working. They are on the right track, but the poll also shows that more work needs to be done. Here’s why this race is now essentially tied:... Continue reading this post for free, courtesy of Dan Pfeiffer.A subscription gets you:
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Message Box and Winning the Information Wars
Saturday, April 13, 2024
An Update on our plans for 2024. ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏
How to Push Back on Trump's New Abortion B.S.
Monday, April 8, 2024
Trump's new statement on abortion is not as clever as he thinks. ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏
Why is the Press Making Trump Seem More Normal?
Sunday, April 7, 2024
Believe it or not, much of the political press has an inadvertent pro-Trump bias ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏
Trump is Trying to Rig the Electoral College
Thursday, April 4, 2024
The former President and his MAGA allies are trying to pressure Nebraska to change how it awards its electoral votes ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏
How Obamacare Could Take Down Trump
Wednesday, April 3, 2024
Trump re-upping his efforts to repeal the ACA might be a fatal political error ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏
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