| | | Good Morning. Our poll yesterday had a fascinating mix of opinions & perspectives on Meta’s use of your Instagram/Facebook content to train its AI models. The mix pretty accurately reflects the overall impression I’ve picked up on in conversations with family and friends, which is interesting. | 37% of you are not cool with it, but as one reader wrote: “They will do it anyway.” 35% don’t really care 28% are perfectly alright with it; as one reader wrote: “If you don't want it out there for all to do with (as) they choose, don't post it.”
| In today’s newsletter: | 🚘 Cruise returns to the streets 🚔 Waymo is under investigation 🛜 Here’s how to understand the capabilities of LLMs 📺 Google unveils new AI tech at I/O conference
| One quick thing: | | Ilya Sutskever @ilyasut | |
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After almost a decade, I have made the decision to leave OpenAI. The company’s trajectory has been nothing short of miraculous, and I’m confident that OpenAI will build AGI that is both safe and beneficial under the leadership of @sama, @gdb, @miramurati and now, under the… x.com/i/web/status/1… | | May 14, 2024 | | | | 6.51K Likes 770 Retweets 517 Replies |
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| | Cruise returns to the streets | | Image Source: Cruise |
| This week, Cruise’s autonomous vehicles will begin supervised autonomous driving again in Phoenix, Arizona. | Each robotaxi will have a safety driver behind the wheel, just in case things go off the rails again. But Cruise said that the decision to resume supervised driving follows weeks of road mapping and validating safety requirements. | | Cruise’s rough road: | In October of last year, a San Francisco pedestrian, after being hit by another car, was dragged 20 feet by a Cruise robotaxi (the woman was injured, but survived). After the incident, Cruise halted its activity and brought in a whole new leadership team as it re-examined its operations and safety standards. Last month, the company laid out a road to resuming its driverless operations; this step gets everyone that much closer to autonomous Cruise fleets once again roaming the streets.
| | Waymo is under federal investigation | | Image source: Waymo |
| In more self-driving news, the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration's Office of Defects Investigation (ODI) said it opened a probe into Waymo on Monday. | The safety regulator flagged 22 incidents where Waymo’s autonomous vehicles either broke traffic laws or caused single-car accidents with everything from parked vehicles to “gates and chains.” The report also identified situations where Waymo cars drove “in opposing lanes with nearby oncoming traffic.”
| Waymo said in a statement that “we are proud of our performance and safety record over tens of millions of autonomous miles driven, as well as our demonstrated commitment to safety transparency.” | The broader picture: | NHTSA also recently opened an investigation into Zoox, Amazon’s self-driving unit. I’ve spoken with multiple AI/autonomous driving experts over the past year, and the consensus toward current autonomous vehicles is skeptical. Yes, improvements are coming fast, but since the AI powering this tech lacks the human ability to reason, it becomes very difficult to adequately train an AV for edge cases. These companies might rack up millions of miles, but a lack of reasoning means that those miles will not prepare the vehicles for each unique element of a random, unexpected edge case. And edge cases are where things go wrong.
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| Get your playbook today! | | How scientists are determining LLM capabilities | | Image Source: Unsplash |
| In the midst of product launches from both OpenAI and Google, it feels important to understand just how capable LLMs are. Both companies, especially in their demos, are really good at making their AI models appear intelligent, but scientists have to sink into the weeds (and through a couple of black boxes) to actually understand what’s going on here. And often, all they can do is make educated guesses, since these companies tend to keep their training data under lock and key. | AI researcher Melanie Mitchell recently broke down the problem in a bit of depth. | The challenge: | | The Solution: The counterfactual task paradigm | In this paradigm, models are tested on pairs of tasks that require the same type of reasoning: “In short, LLMs seem to have some ability to reason, but without stress-testing them (e.g., with counterfactual tasks), one can’t conclude that they are reasoning in a general way rather than relying on their training data in ways that won’t generalize to out-of-distribution examples.”
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| | 🌎 The Broad View: | April wholesale inflation came in hotter than expected (CNBC). Kyle Vogt (Cruise co-founder) is launching a bot company — the bots will “do chores so you don’t have to” (Kyle Vogt). Meta is developing AI-powered earphones with cameras (The Information).
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| | Google responds to OpenAI with tech unveils — Nvidia is the real winner | | Image source: Google |
| Google spent Tuesday trying in earnest to establish itself as a dominant force in the AI sector. | Everything (important) unveiled at I/O: | | | Demis Hassabis @demishassabis | |
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For a long time, we’ve been working towards a universal AI agent that can be truly helpful in everyday life. Today at #GoogleIO we showed off our latest progress towards this: Project Astra. Here’s a video of our prototype, captured in real time. | | | May 14, 2024 | | | | 1.06K Likes 189 Retweets 58 Replies |
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| | | My thoughts: | The timing of this really puts the “race” of AI development into sharper focus; OpenAI jumps out with a cool new product launch, Google leapfrogs OpenAI with a bunch of cool new product launches — some similar, some different — and so on. It’s a blow-for-blow competition between the largest companies in the world – and every bout reaffirms Nvidia’s dominance (Jensen Huang doesn’t care who wins, just as long as both sides keep buying his GPU chips). | The first thing I have to note here is the same thing I noted after OpenAI’s demo; this is just that, a demo, and Google has a bit of a history of its demos being less than legitimate. Hard to tell at this stage how good/reliable/usable these products will be in the real world. | Also worth noting that, with all these unveils, Google still did not spill the beans on its training data (which is particularly interesting for the multimodal model), or the energy cost of training/running all these models.
| We’re at a stage where, given the prominence of Google’s search and other products, generative AI is about to become a fact of daily life for a lot of people, whether they want it or not. | I’m wondering if a lot of people who’d rather not deal with AI in search are about to have no choice in the matter, or, perhaps, vice versa.
| Are you excited about AI Overviews in Google Search? | |
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| One last thing👇 | | Trung Phan @TrungTPhan | |
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The scene in “Her” when Theodore finds out his AI girlfriend Samantha has cheated on him has aged like fine wine: Theodore: Are you talking to anyone else? Samantha: Yeah. Theodore: How many? Samantha: 8,316. Theodore (shook): Are you in love with anyone else? Samantha:… x.com/i/web/status/1… | | | May 14, 2024 | | | | 4.4K Likes 499 Retweets 97 Replies |
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| That's a wrap for now! We hope you enjoyed today’s newsletter :) | What did you think of today's email? | | We appreciate your continued support! We'll catch you in the next edition 👋 | -Ian Krietzberg, Editor-in-Chief, The Deep View |
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