The Supreme Court gives a green light to jawboning

A decision this week should mean Russia won't easily be able to repeat its 2016 propaganda campaign — but First Amendment advocates still have concerns

By Casey Newton • 27 Jun 2024

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Here's this week's free edition of Platformer: a look at a critical decision by the Supreme Court this week that could reshape the 2024 election.

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Programming note: With this edition, Platformer is on summer break. We’ll be back with a special edition next Wednesday, and then return to our regular schedule July 15. As always, you can find our posting schedule here.

Here’s a simple question with a surprisingly complicated answer: if the FBI discovers evidence of foreign interference in the 2024 election on Facebook or other social platforms, can it legally share that information with Meta or other companies?

Until recently, the answer would have been an unequivocal yes. But then came Murthy vs. Missouri.

The lawsuit, which was brought by the states of Missouri and Louisiana along with five individuals, accused federal officials of illegally pressuring platforms to remove content in violation of the First Amendment. It consisted largely of innuendo, baseless conjecture, and outright fabrications.

But in September, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the 5th Circuit ruled that the Biden administration had improperly pressured social networks in some cases. This practice, known in legal circles as “jawboning,” describes incidents when governments attempt to persuade non-government actors into doing something they are not legally required to do.

The ruling deeply rattled federal agencies, who suddenly feared they would face legal consequences for publicly voicing their policy objectives. The National Institutes of Health even suspended a $150 million program that gives grants for communicating public health issues.

The administration appealed the Fifth Circuit’s decision, and the Supreme Court heard the case earlier this year. On Wednesday, the justices voted 6-3 to overturn the Fifth Circuit.

Here’s Andrew Chung at Reuters:

Conservative Justice Amy Coney Barrett, who authored the Supreme Court's ruling, wrote that the two Republican-led states and the other plaintiffs lacked the required legal standing to sue the administration in federal court. [...]

Barrett wrote that the plaintiffs could not show a "concrete link" between the conduct by the officials and any harm that the plaintiffs suffered. They "emphasize that hearing unfettered speech on social media is critical to their work," Barrett wrote. "But they do not point to any specific instance of content moderation that caused them identifiable harm."

The decision would seem to pave the way for government agencies to resume their contacts with social platforms — though perhaps not for the reason you would imagine.

In the end, the justices did not rule on the merits of the case, or establish under what circumstances the government can and cannot exert pressure on social platforms or other businesses. Instead, as Chung writes, they found simply that the plaintiffs could not prove officials’ conduct had harmed them and thus that they had no standing to sue.

One reason the plaintiffs were found not to have standing, the court wrote, is that platforms have many reasons to moderate content, and were moderating all the content named in the case before the defendants’ posts (about COVID, vaccines, and other topics) were removed. That “complicates the

plaintiffs’ effort to demonstrate that each platform acted due to ‘government-coerced enforcement’ of its policies,” Barrett wrote in the decision.

In the short term, the justices’ decision appears to be a win for our shared sense of reality. With federal agencies’ right to communicate reaffirmed, they can now alert social platforms to various risks without fear of being taken to court.

And in fact, they already have. In March, NBC reported that the FBI is once again alerting social platforms about foreign propaganda efforts. Under a program developed during the Trump administration, the FBI is contacting big platforms to share evidence of covert influence operations in an effort to disrupt them.

“In coordination with the Department of Justice, the FBI recently implemented procedures to facilitate sharing information about foreign malign influence with social media companies in a way that reinforces that private companies are free to decide on their own whether and how to take action on that information,” the FBI told NBC.

With the election less than five months away, platform sources I’ve spoken with tell me they expect that these efforts will now intensify.

What might they find? In recent months, Meta has disclosed significant ongoing influence operations around the world, including a major effort by Russia to decrease international support for Ukraine, and another one from Israel designed to bolster support for the country in its war on Gaza. In May, OpenAI disclosed Chinese and Russian efforts to use its products in influence operations as well.

It’s difficult to imagine an influence campaign like this deciding the outcome of the presidential election, if only because the major party candidates are both already so well known to voters. Still, to the extent that foreign countries do attempt to change the outcome here, we should now know much more about it in real time than we otherwise might have.

At the same time, First Amendment scholars are troubled about some aspects of the court’s ruling. On the Moderated Content podcast, the University of Chicago Law School’s Genevieve Lakier told host Evelyn Douek that Barrett’s requirements for a person to gain standing in a jawboning case seemed almost impossibly high. Not only do they have to prove that they were harmed by the government — a difficult task, given that jawboning almost exclusively takes place in secret and is thus invisible to the victim — but they must also prove that they are likely to be harmed by the government again.

In addition, they have to prove that the Supreme Court can effectively stop the harm from taking place. Because platforms have multiple incentives to moderate content — commercial ones, moral ones, legal ones — it’s not clear that the court saying “knock it off” will have any effect on the platforms’ actions.

In Murthy, which was based on evidence that amounted to little more than a conspiracy theory, the court’s high bar for standing doesn’t offer much reason for concern. But the practice of jawboning is rampant around the world, and increasingly common in the United States. Both liberal and conservative lawmakers here now regularly make statements urging platforms to remove speech that is legal under the First Amendment.

A future US government — a near-future one, even! — might use this week’s ruling to push the envelope even further. Perhaps they might work behind the scenes to get platforms to remove posts that are critical of the government or of one party’s candidates. Or maybe they would pressure them to remove posts that inform women how to get abortions across state lines.

In either case, those affected might never even know they had been harmed. And even if they did know, given that platforms remove posts for many interconnected reasons, it’s possible this court would never grant them the standing they need to begin the discovery process and get the evidence necessary to make their case.

At the beginning of the current Supreme Court term, it seemed as if 2024 might be a year that made platforms permanently less effective at investigating propaganda campaigns and moderating their platforms as they see fit. It still might be: the court is expected to rule on whether two laws restricting content moderation in Texas and Florida are constitutional in the coming days.

In the meantime, the Murthy decision offers some hope that a majority of justices are unwilling to impose radical and unpredictable changes on the status quo. But it may not be too long before we see that the fact that few can get standing in a jawboning case can cut both ways.

On the podcast this week: Kevin and I break down the record labels' lawsuit against Suno and Udio with RIAA CEO Mitch Glazier. Then, Christopher Kirchoff, who founded the Pentagon's Silicon Valley office, stops by to discuss his new book on how the relationship between tech and the military is changing. And finally: some HatGPT.

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Send us tips, comments, questions, and foreign propaganda: casey@platformer.news and zoe@platformer.news.

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