Is Kamala Harris Getting a Post-Debate Bounce in the Polls?
Is Kamala Harris Getting a Post-Debate Bounce in the Polls?It's early, but the initial signs are positive
There’s no question that Kamala Harris won the debate as all of the post-debate polls showed; but a poll isn’t necessary to state the obvious. Based on the sad look in his eyes and rage in his voice, even Donald Trump knew he was losing early into the night. Since the debate, the vibes have been great for Harris and terrible for Trump. The Vice President received the endorsement of Taylor Swift and has been barnstorming the battleground states with raucous rally after raucous rally. Trump, in contrast, is in the process of self-immolating over complaints about the moderator, spinning mythical tales of pet-eating migrants, and picking a fight with Taylor Swift. All of this is great news. Fifty days to go, and Harris’s opponent decides to abandon their message to pick fights with the media and popstars. We know debates can significantly impact a race because the last debate shifted the polls so much that Biden ended his candidacy. Therefore, the question is whether Kamala Harris’s big debate win would move the polls. I looked at of the polling and recent history, and here is what I found: What the Polls SayThe national polling averages remain largely unchanged. On the day of the debate, the FiveThirtyEight polling average had Harris leading Trump by 2.5%. Today, that lead is 2.8%. However, a steady stream of positive polls for Harris came out since the debate... ![]() Unlock this post for free, courtesy of Dan Pfeiffer. |
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Why Kamala Harris Wants to Debate Trump Again
Sunday, September 15, 2024
Some have wondered why Harris should risk another debate, but despite a great performance there is more work to do ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏
Today: Join my post-debate subscriber chat
Thursday, September 12, 2024
I will be answering subscriber questions about the debate and everything ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏
How Kamala Harris's Dominant Debate Will Affect the Race
Thursday, September 12, 2024
The Vice President's performance was designed to win the race, not just the debate ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏
Will Trump Benefit from a Debate Double Standard?
Tuesday, September 10, 2024
Back in the day, I argued that the importance of presidential debates was vastly overstated. ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏
Why You Shouldn't Panic about the NYT Poll
Monday, September 9, 2024
This was always going to be a close race, but Harris has more upside than Trump ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏
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