Ioana Neamțu, Umang Khetan, Jian Li and Ishita Sen
What do the 2023 Silicon Valley Bank collapse and the 2022 UK pension fund crisis have in common? Interest rate risk. Several sectors in the economy run significant asset-liability mismatch that makes them vulnerable to rapid interest rate changes: pension funds and insurers have short-term cash flows and long-term liabilities, while banks follow a lend-long-borrow-short approach. While interest rate derivatives enable risk transfers to hedge these exposures, research on this market is limited, leaving important questions on the extent of risk sharing and the consequences of imbalances unanswered. We construct the largest data set on interest rate swaps using confidential Bank of England data to unlock insights into how investors use these instruments, and their relative importance in determining swap prices.