PitchBook News - AI model prompts record funding

A 'Goldilocks year' for private credit; discounts on startup secondaries fade; cybersecurity VC funding returns to growth
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The Daily Pitch: VC
December 30, 2024
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Mega-deals double AI foundation model funding in 2024
(Drew Sanders/PitchBook News)
Mega-deals led by some of the world’s largest investors and corporations have pushed funding for AI foundational models up more than 100% this year—and left smaller VC firms looking elsewhere for opportunities in AI.

A record of more than $40 billion was invested into foundation models and other AI cores startups this year, bringing the total raised since 2023 to $60.2 billion, according to PitchBook data.
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2025 to be a 'Goldilocks year' for private credit
(Pakin Songmor/Getty Images)
A more relaxed regulatory environment and lower interest rates could spark more M&A transactions and drive dealmaking in private credit in 2025.

That optimism, though, is tempered by concerns that increased competition may tighten spreads, loosen covenants and compress returns on deals.
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Secondary discounts for startups have nearly recovered
(The Burtons/Getty Images)
Huge discounts on startup secondaries are vanishing, a sign that demand for these minority stakes is finally catching up to supply. Relative to their last funding round, prices of direct secondaries have gone from trading at an average discount of 50% in early 2023 to 12% in September.
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Cybersecurity VC funding returns to growth
Generative AI is lending a boost to information security VC investment, according to our recent Emerging Tech Research.
  • Infosec VC funding is on pace to grow year-over-year, with startups collecting $8.8 billion through Q3.

  • The Morningstar PitchBook Cybersecurity Unicorn Index has outperformed indexes of both global unicorns and AI unicorns since 2021.

  • A loaded IPO pipeline should benefit from Rubrik: The company went public in April, and its stock is up more than 50% over the past month.
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Mid-market recovery plays catch-up to larger buyouts
PE dealmaking in the middle market has sprung back to life. However, the recovery progressed at a less brisk pace compared to the broader PE market. Total middle-market deal value in Q3 rose 11% in Q3, while US buyouts of all sizes accelerated by 13.3% quarter-over-quarter, according to our US PE Middle Market Report, sponsored by LBMC.

In addition, exits remain sluggish, lagging pre-pandemic levels. Our analysts project fewer than 800 middle-market exits for 2024, below the annual average of nearly 900 from 2017 through 2019.
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