Finimize - 📈 Musk's baby is back

X reached its takeover valuation again and Tencent notched another W for China |
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Hi Reader, here's what you need to know for March 20th in 3:14 minutes.

  1. For the first time ever, investors valued X at the price that Elon Musk paid for the platform back in 2022
  2. How to keep your cool, and even profit, when the stock market gets volatile – Read Now
  3. Tencent kept the attention on China’s tech sector with its enviable earnings

📚 Finimized over a lemonade at Little Tree Books & Coffee in Athens, Greece (☀️7°C/44°F)

X’s and Oh’s
X’s and Oh’s

What’s going on here?

Investors reportedly valued X at $44 billion in a secondary market deal – the same price Elon Musk paid for the social media platform back when he was courting it.

What does this mean?

X was valued below $10 billion in September, after advertisers headed for the hills – or, uh, the other social networking sites. But since then, key partners like Amazon have returned to the fold, Musk has taken up an unofficial position as the president’s right-hand man, and a fresh 25% stake in xAI has polished X’s books. (That said, revenue’s still lower than before the takeover, despite aggressive cost-cutting.) This new-and-improved valuation could help X nab the $2 billion it hopes to raise in an upcoming funding round, as well as increase the wealth of the world’s richest man: Musk has bought hundreds of millions worth of shares in the platform over the past year.

Why should I care?

For markets: X might be out of puberty, but Tesla’s still a problem child.

Analysts expect Tesla’s sales to be 8% lower this quarter than the same time last year, which would be the worst reading in three years. The writing’s on the wall: drivers around the world have been steering clear of Tesla dealerships, and sales fell by an especially sharp 70% in Germany and 44% in Norway this year. With plenty of Chinese brands claiming those customers, Tesla’s lost around half of its market value since December. No wonder JPMorgan expects the stock to sink to $120 – less than half of its price just last week.

The bigger picture: You get a Starlink, you get a Starlink, everyone gets a Starlink.

Musk’s political influence has drawn criticism once again. Not only has his Starlink internet service been installed in the White House, but the government has pushed to hand the company up to $20 billion – nearly half of the $42 billion earmarked for rural broadband funding. With critics arguing that Starlink is both more expensive and less reliable than fiber internet, that raises serious concerns over competition and fairness.

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❓ Dollar, dollar bills

True or false: The US once printed $100,000 bills – and they’re illegal to own today.

(Scroll to the bottom of this email for the answer.)

TODAY'S INSIGHT

Fear, Greed, And Opportunity: How To Handle Market Swings

Theodora Lee Joseph, CFA

Fear, Greed, And Opportunity: How To Handle Market Swings

If it feels like there’s a new reason to worry about the stock market every day, you’re not wrong.

Between the constantly changing trade policies, stubbornly quick inflation, and the Federal Reserve’s mixed signals about interest rates, uncertainty seems like the only thing that’s… certain. It’s no wonder investors are feeling skittish.

The question is what to do about that.

When markets are volatile, it doesn’t pay to react to every market swing. Instead, you want to position your portfolio to handle whatever comes next.

That’s today’s Insight: how to invest when the stock market gets volatile.

Read or listen to the Insight here

My Ten Cents
My Ten Cents

What’s going on here?

Tencent showed off last quarter’s coins on Wednesday.

What does this mean?

The Chinese tech giant made a tidy 11% more revenue last quarter than the same time last year. That was largely thanks to a lucrative few months for its gaming and advertising businesses, the latter of which has been using AI to deliver more relevant ads. So, naturally, Tencent looks set to double down on the super-smart tech, with plans to spend over $10 billion on AI infrastructure this year. And that’s more than just an endorsement of AI: the fact that Tencent’s more focused on spending than saving indicates faith in the Chinese tech sector. And to bookend the good news, the firm announced a new $10 billion buyback scheme and a 32% increase to its dividend.

Why should I care?

For markets: China’s back, baby.

Chinese tech firms have made it clear that the AI race is not simply America’s to win. And in a near-miraculous turnaround, there are even signs that China’s property market implosion is recovering. UBS expects home prices to stabilize at the start of next year, since there’s been an increase in the number of homes sold lately and a stable number of listings, as well as a pickup in premium land sales. That explains why reinvigorated investors have sent Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index up 23% this year – enough to claim the title of 2025’s best-performing stock market.

For you personally: All that glitters is not… American.

Wary of the outlook for the US economy, investors have been ditching stateside stocks. If you share their concerns, you might want to consider Chinese and European stocks, as well as bonds. Don’t forget about gold, either: the precious metal notched a new record high this week.

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QUOTE OF THE DAY

"I believe in rules. Sure I do. If there weren't any rules, how could you break them?"

– Leo Durocher (an American baseball player)
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* SPONSORED BY HERON FINANCE

This year might not be like the last…

Investors are diversifying – and fast, worried about the rising uncertainty around the world.

If you want to reduce your reliance on stocks and bonds, you could consider private credit: these investments are not only less correlated to major markets, but they can be less volatile, too.

In fact, according to 2023 research by T. Rowe Price, private credit delivered nearly the same returns as US stocks with 75% less volatility over the last two decades.

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Disclosure: This is a paid advertisement. The opinions expressed in this advertisement are strictly those of Heron Finance. The information in this advertisement does not constitute an offer to sell securities or a solicitation of an offer to buy securities. Further, none of the information contained in this advertisement is a recommendation to invest in any securities. Please note there are no material conflicts of interest related to this advertisement. Annualized total returns for the past year as of 9/30/2024 taken as an average of all funds on the Heron platform, assuming dividend reinvestment. Any investment target interest rate presented here is intended for informational purposes only and does not guarantee future performance results.

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2. Rollercoasters, bungee jumps, and a-bit-too-spicy food. This guide walks you through an investment best suited for financial thrill-seekers.*

3. Tape your mouth shut – not in a rude way. The latest wellness trend: sleepmaxxing.

4. Crypto doesn't have to be scary. Here's how to check whether your crypto transactions are safe.*

5. Swap Tinder for timber. Hopeless romantics have sent love letters through this oak tree for over a century.

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❗️ Dollar, dollar bills

True: The US issued $100,000 bills between 1934 and 1935, but they never entered public circulation. Outside of federal government walls, they can only be used for educational purposes today.

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