Popular Information - The merry adventures of Robinhood
The reporting in this newsletter continues to prompt major corporations to suspend contributions to the 147 Republicans who voted to overturn the presidential election. This week, nine Fortune 500 companies — including AllState, Kraft, and General Mills — announced they would stop contributing to this group. Senator Josh Hawley (R-MO) appears very concerned about his fundraising prospects. In a new letter to the Senate Ethics Committee, Hawley demanded an investigation into whether Democratic Senators have been encouraging corporations to suspend their political giving. You can support this work — and help us do more of it — with a paid subscription. Hedge fund manager Gabe Plotkin is ridiculously wealthy. In November, Plotkin purchased a $32 million mansion in Miami with "nine bedrooms, twelve full bathrooms and four half bathrooms." To preserve his privacy, he also paid $12 million for the house next door. Plotkin also recently bought a "large chunk" of the Charlotte Hornets. How did Plotkin get so rich? The hedge fund he founded, Melvin Capital Management, has generated fantastic returns. Since its start in 2014, Plotkin's firm has averaged returns of 30% per year. Melvin Capital Management now has more than $12 billion under management and Plotkin collects 30% of the profit as his fee. Plotkin generates huge returns by taking big risks. One of Plotkin's strategies is short selling stocks he believes will decrease in value. The way you short sell a stock is by borrowing it from someone else, selling it and, hopefully, repurchasing it at a lower price later. When the short sale works out, the drop in share price becomes profit for investors like Plotkin. Short sales can be very profitable, but the strategy comes with extra risk. When you purchase a stock for $100, the worst that can happen is that it goes to zero and you lose all your money. When you execute a short sale for a stock at $100 and instead the price increases to $300, it will cost you another $200 to close out your position. Plotkin and his colleagues in the industry had no problem with these risks when they were generating enormous profits. But 2021 has presented challenges. On January 22, the Wall Street Journal reported that Plotkin's firm had lost 15% of its value in the first three weeks of the year. The losses were a result of the firm's extensive "short book, or array of bets against companies." Then things got much worse. A particular problem for Plotkin and other investors was short selling GameStop, the video game retailer. GameStop sells video games and related equipment in retail stores. Many hedge funds and others bet against GameStop because modern gamers are more likely to download their games and shop online. The pandemic hasn't helped GameStop's business prospects. But the bets against GameStop, which turned a profit and reduced its debt load in 2019, were very heavy. There were more GameStop shares sold short (71.2 million) than total shares available (69.7 million). This is possible for technical reasons, but the volume illustrates just how many people were betting on GameStop's situation to get worse. Further, not everyone believed GameStop was a lost cause. Ryan Cohen, the former CEO of online pet retailer Chewy, believes that GameStop can be reimagined as a force in online retailing. Cohen started buying a lot of stock and earlier this month, Cohen and two of his colleagues from Chewy were named to the GameStop board of directors. 2020 has seen a boom in retail trading, especially from no-cost apps like Robinhood. Some of these traders congregate on a Reddit forum called r/wallstreetbets. Users of that forum began buying GameStop stock. Some believed in Cohen's vision, some wanted to stick it to the Wall Street short sellers, and some just wanted in on the fun. Late last week, GameStop stock was trading at under $40. On Wednesday, the stock closed at nearly $350. How did some people hanging out on Reddit drive this kind of increase? Their stock purchases are only one component of GameStop's dramatic rise. When a stock that is sold short rises dramatically, lenders start to ask for their stock back. That means short sellers have to buy GameStop to close their position, driving the stock up further. Also, some of the buyers from Reddit and elsewhere were not directly buying GameStop stock but were buying call options — the right to buy GameStop stock at a higher price. But as the stock goes up, the firm on the other side of these trades purchases more GameStop stock to hedge its position. All three of these factors created a feedback loop that caused GameStop's meteoric rise on Tuesday. The dynamic was not limited to GameStop. Other stocks targeted by short sellers, including AMC and Blackberry are seeing large gains. The dynamic has panicked the Wall Street establishment, which began taking steps on Thursday to curtail the trading of Redditors and other retail investors. Ostensibly, these actions were done to save small investors from themselves. But is that what's really going on? Or do Wall Street titans just not like it when regular people use tactics normally reserved for "experts" to make money? Plotkin's bailoutPlotkin went quickly from running one of the best-performing hedge funds in the industry to serious financial peril. But he was rescued with a $2.75 billion cash infusion from two other hedge fund titans, Steve Cohen and Ken Griffin. Cohen was Plotkin's former boss at SAC Capital Management. SAC shuttered after the firm pled guilty to insider trading and paid $1.3 billion in fines. Cohen was not personally charged. Griffin runs Citadel LLC, a hedge fund which he found in 1990. Longtime Popular Information readers may remember Griffin for purchasing the most expensive home in America. In exchange, Citadel and Point72, the successor firm to SAC, own an undisclosed stake in Melvin Capital Management. The companies now all have an interest in Plotkin getting out of this jam and resuming his work of bringing in massive profits. The trio appears to be getting some help. Schwab and TD Ameritrade restrict retail tradersOn Wednesday, Schwab and TD Ameritrade, two large retail trading platforms with a common owner, took the highly unusual step of "restricting trading" on GameStop, AMC, and other stocks. TD Ameritrade said it was acting to protect its customers and itself. "In the interest of mitigating risk for our company and clients, we have put in place several restrictions on some transactions in $GME [GameStop], $AMC and other securities. We made these decisions out of an abundance of caution amid unprecedented market conditions and other factors," TD Ameritrade said. The SEC announced it was “actively monitoring the on-going market volatility in the options and equities markets.” Reddit’s r/wallstreetbets was temporarily set to private, supposedly because there were too many new members to moderate the content. A related discussion board on a service called Discord was shut down. Limiting trading of these stocks may make it easier for hedge fund managers like Plotkin — and his new investor Griffin — to navigate out of this predicament. Less buying of GameStop stock or call options will put downward pressure on the stock, making it easier for short sellers to unwind their position. Griffin, through Citadel, does a lot of business with retail trading platforms. When retail investors make a trade, it is frequently handled by Citadel. The Financial Times reported that "Citadel Securities accounts for 40 of every 100 shares traded by individual investors in the US, making it the number one retail market maker." Specifically, Citadel is "a big buyer of customer trades from the leading US retail brokerages such as Charles Schwab and TD Ameritrade." Citadel pays companies like Charles Schwab and TD Ameritrade tens of millions of dollars for the right to handle this "order flow." Citadel, in turn, profits from the "spread" — the difference between the price to buy and sell the stock. CNBC freaks outOn CNBC, many people were freaking out about the Game Stop situation. Host Scott Wapner, for example, said that the rise in GameStop's price was evidence of problems with the "integrity of the system." Investor Chamath Palihapitiya pushed back. "Just because you were wrong, doesn't mean you get to change the rules. Especially because when you were wrong, you got bailed out the last time. That's not fair," Palihapitiya said. Palihapitiya did not say who he was talking about, but he could have been talking about Griffin. In 2008, when the financial crisis hit, Citadel had massive exposure as a securities lending counterparty with AIG. If AIG went under, Griffin would be out hundreds of millions of dollars. But that never happened. AIG received a $182 billion taxpayer bailout. As part of this, AIG was able to pay counterparties full value for its otherwise worthless contracts. Citadel ended up with a $200 million cash infusion. Citadel benefited even more from the massive bailout of lenders it relied on to stay liquid. Griffin admitted that, one Friday during the crisis when he left work and realized that if Morgan Stanley did not open on Monday, Citadel would go under. But Morgan Stanley did not go under because it received a $100 billion bailout from the federal government. But now, twelve years later, we are told it is retail investors that are irresponsible and do not understand how things are supposed to work. |
Older messages
The Texas Republican Party has gone off the rails. Corporate America is along for the ride.
Wednesday, January 27, 2021
Three weeks ago, a deadly mob of Trump supporters attacked the US Capitol, leaving five dead. Many of those who participated in the riots are adherents of QAnon – an extremist ideology that alleges top
Threading the needle
Tuesday, January 26, 2021
Trump incited a riot at the United States Capitol on January 6 that left five people dead and endangered the life of the Vice President and every member of Congress. On the one hand, Senate Republicans
Microsoft's ugly truth
Monday, January 25, 2021
On Thursday, Microsoft President Brad Smith spoke to employees and defended the conduct of its corporate PAC. A transcript of Smith's comments was leaked on the social bookmarking site Pinboard,
Top D.C. lobbying firm quietly hires controversial Trump advisor
Thursday, January 21, 2021
Forbes Tate is one of the top ten lobbying firms in DC, bringing in over $14 million in publicly reported lobbying fees last year. Each month, the firm collects tens of thousands of dollars from A-list
A new day
Wednesday, January 20, 2021
1461 days ago, Trump became the 45th President of the United States. Today, it finally ends. And I want to take a beat and hear from you. What a…
You Might Also Like
Survey Results: PMS Symptoms
Friday, April 26, 2024
... ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏
City council audit trail is an audit fail after disastrous Oracle ERP rollout [Fri Apr 26 2024]
Friday, April 26, 2024
Hi The Register Subscriber | Log in The Register {* Daily Headlines *} 26 April 2024 Birmingham city hall City council audit trail is an audit fail after disastrous Oracle ERP rollout Europe's
Full-crime job
Friday, April 26, 2024
Lawyers for Trump argued before SCOTUS that the president has "total immunity" ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏
All of My Friends Have These Sweatpant Jeans
Friday, April 26, 2024
Here's What You Missed on the Strategist The Strategist Every product is independently selected by editors. If you buy something through our links, New York may earn an affiliate commission. All of
🌈 Live a bold & bright life
Friday, April 26, 2024
Introducing our theme for May plus fun stuff to read, watch, and click on curated by CreativeMornings HQ. April 25, 2024 Open in new tab Did a friend forward this? Subscribe today! Speech bubble logo
🕐 Time Is Running Out: Your $99 Offer Expires In 48 Hours
Thursday, April 25, 2024
This advisory has returned a massive 838% since inception compared to the 273% return from the S&P 500 Final 48 Hours Fellow Investor, We recently sent you an exclusive offer to try our flagship
The Professor Protesting Columbia’s Own Students
Thursday, April 25, 2024
Columns and commentary on news, politics, business, and technology from the Intelligencer team. Intelligencer THURSDAY, APRIL 25 The Professor Protesting Columbia's Own Students Shai Davidai, a
Before you lose your phone ...
Thursday, April 25, 2024
Do these things now ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏
Friday Briefing: Supreme Court hears Trump immunity case
Thursday, April 25, 2024
Also, more bodies found in a Gazan mass grave. View in browser|nytimes.com Continue reading the main story Ad Morning Briefing: Asia Pacific Edition April 26, 2024 Author Headshot By Amelia Nierenberg
Microsoft results beat quarterly expectations as profits rise 20% to nearly $22B
Thursday, April 25, 2024
Breaking News from GeekWire GeekWire.com | View in browser BREAKING NEWS Microsoft posted a 17% increase in revenue, to $61.9 billion, with $21.9 billion in profits, up 20%, and earnings of $2.94 per