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This issue is brought to you by Adam Katz, our newest contributor. Give him a follow on Twitter to stay up to date with all his latest analysis.

This week Adam's done a deep dive into the 1995 Pokemon Topsun Charizard, No Number
PSA 9 that will IPO on Otis April, 12th, 2021 at noon EST.

What is the 1995 Pokemon Topsun Charizard, No Number PSA 9?

The Topsun cards were some of the earliest Pokemon cards ever released, originally coming with packets of gum in Japan. Though it has a copyright date of 1995, they were actually released in 1997. There were three different variations, first, a blue back with no number, then a blue back with a number, and then finally a green back. This is a blue back, no number variation, the rarest and most valuable kind -- and Charizard is the most valuable card in the set.

There are 11 total PSA 9s of the blue back/no number variety of Topsun Charizards - with only 1 PSA 10 graded higher.

Otis bought their copy on February 27th for $98,850.

It IPOs on Otis at 12 PM EST (probably, but check the app!) on Monday, April 12th for $104,100. It is currently available to VIP members with a 100 share minimum buy.

Cultural Relevance

I wrote about Charizard here but suffice to say, it remains one of the most popular Pokemon characters and Charizard cards are highly sought after.

The Topsun version is the first time Charizard ever appeared on a trading card, and is in some ways Charizard’s true rookie card, though it’s not as prominent as the 1st edition base set version. Because this was a Japanese set and not as widely collected or played with as the base set, there isn’t the same kind of nostalgia for this variation, but the value has been catching up.

Inferred Value - $40k +

[Detailed Valuation available to Insiders Only]

Category Strength

The Game Trading cards subcategory returned -1% ROI in Q12021.

Subcategory Strength

[Insiders Only]

Risk Profile

[Insiders Only]

Asset Growth TTM

[Insiders Only]

Growth Outlook and Future Catalysts

Because of its status as one of the earliest sets and the relative scarcity of its cards, the Topsun set could see a surge in demand relative to the 1st edition base set version. Charizard will likely remain the most coveted character in any of the sets.

Asset Liquidity

This will have a roughly 30 day lockup period then will trade daily.

Platform Risk

[Insiders Only]

Intangibles

Charizard is pretty badass. Here’s a (sort-of) live-action version of him from the Detective Pikachu movie. Not exactly a cute and cuddly pocket monster.

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See you next time,
– Stefan & Wyatt

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