Yacht Industry, Warehouse Diet & Unequal Employment ⛵

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Are Startups Expensive or Undervalued?

According to venture capital data collected by PitchBook, prices spiked for startup equity across all stages of funding last year. The average early-stage startup valuation reached $45.0 million in 2021, a YoY growth of 50%. What’s astounding is that the average late-stage valuation of startups did not even reach that level until 2018. 

So we are effectively seeing 2018 late-stage pricing for early-stage deals now, a marked shift in the value of startup equity for more nascent companies.

Does that mean startups today are too expensive to invest in? 

The rising equity prices have also accelerated the value creation capacity of the startups. Meaning startups that attract high investments in early stages are also providing higher value to the investors in later stages. This obviously undercuts the viewpoint that startups are too expensive today. 

More simply put, it appears that the market has just decided that startups are worth more than they once were. 

Why is that? 

As many startups shut shop or faced takeover in the 2020-21 period, early-stage investors had more capacity for investments. And since today exit prices and liquidity capacity for startups is higher, investors are willing to pay more for shares. It seems that late 2010s deals that are reaching maturity today are potential goldmines, having raised early-stage capital at cheaper rates, but exiting at a time when software valuations are still rich.

This prompts another question: Were startups dramatically undervalued in prior years and decades? 

Not necessarily. Just that a lot of factors affected startups prices over the years.  

  • After the financial crisis of 2008, startup prices were modest due to lack of spending power and a shaky economy.
  • Startup valuations drifted higher in the 2010s as software and tech company revenues accelerated.
  • Then in the pandemic era, the value of software revenues shot higher, meaning that deals struck in prior years suddenly became cheap.

So it’s hard to say that in 2010 startup prices were incredibly unfair, given that exit values were lower than they are today.



Entrepreneurs and Yachts

Young entrepreneurs are flocking to buy luxury boats.

Yacht sellers sold $1.6 billion in inventory in 2021, a 175% increase over the prior year.  According to the U.S. National Marine Manufacturers Association, boat sales reached record highs in 2020 and 2021. Supply chain disruptions are impacting new boat deliveries, pushing more buyers to the pre-owned yacht market, which posted record sales of more than $7 billion in 2021. 

Where’s the demand coming from? 

Young crypto investors and tech startup executives are fuelling the boating industry boom. According to Forbes, a record 493 people joined the billionaires club globally in 2021, including nine new crypto billionaires. These new money entrepreneurs are investing in yachts to have a space for party and isolation during Covid.

There’s such a mad rush to buy yachts that owners/companies are selling yachts for the full-asking price. Competition is so fierce for these ultimate status symbols that some buyers are even purchasing yachts sight unseen.



Amazon's Ravenous Warehouse Diet

Amazon has been on a warehouse buying spree during the pandemic.

Over the past two years, the company has more than doubled its warehouse holdings from 192 million square feet in 2019 to over 410 million square feet today. The company has spent over $100 billion on purchases of property and equipment since the start of 2020, including eight out of the 10 largest warehouses being built in the US.

Impact? 

  1. All that buying is affecting the industrial real estate market. Warehouse vacancies are effectively zero and rents are spiking to record levels around the world, according to a recent report from Prologis. Globally, rents rose a record 15% in 2021; in the US and Canada, the average rent hike was nearly 18%.
  2. Startups that were forced to pivot to home delivery of goods are having an even harder time keeping up with rising warehouse costs. 
  3. The supply chain tumult has made it more costly for businesses to move goods around the world, which can in turn lead to price hikes for everything from used cars to Valentine’s Day roses. And so higher warehouse costs has made life even more difficult for startups and small businesses. 


In Charts: Unequal Employment

Men have largely recovered their pandemic-related job losses, but women—especially women of color—are still lagging behind. According to recent data from the Bureau of Labor Services, the unemployment rate for white men is relatively low, followed by that of white women overall. But Black women, Latinas, and women with disabilities are still experiencing unemployment at a much higher rate than their counterparts. The impact of Covid on these sections of the population are far from waning. 



Shorts ⏳
Self-aware Bots - Twitter has introduced "good bots" who can identify other "bad bots" and eliminate them. Basically, AI that can tell good from bad.  

Home Prices Are Okay - Million dollar homes in the US are becoming the new normal at the fastest pace ever. 

A Clock To Pay Bills - Julian Assange raised over $50 million in ether cyrptocurrency by selling an NFT of a clock to pay his legal bills. 

It's Harder To Get Fired - In December, just 0.8% of all US employees were laid-off, the lowest record in two decades - according to Bureau of Labor Statistics data

More Sues For Meta - Texas is suing Meta for capturing and using the biometric data of Texans without properly obtaining their consent. 

Crypto Stock Exchange - Gibraltar is planning to launch the world's first ever cryptocurrency stock exchange. 

Right Way To Hit Passengers - An American Airlines flight attendant hit an 'Unruly Passenger' with a coffee pot to stop him from opening the emergency exit-door mid-flight. 
Stash Recommends: Tools to Explore
🧪 QualtricsAn A/B testing software to capture and act on customer, product, brand & employee experience insights in one place.

🗣 UserVoiceAggregate all your user feedback into a single source and easily prioritize features and product improvements.

💹 Captable.ioAn equity management software that enables easy cap table creation, sharing and collaboration, fast 409A valuations, stock plan management and powerful round and exit modeling.

♒︎ Pttrns: The finest collection of design patterns, resources and inspiration. An essential tool for designers.


 
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