Earnings+More - Weekend Edition #46
Weekend Edition #46iGaming Next day one, BetMGM analyst reaction, NeoGames analyst call, sector watch - payments +MoreOne thing that struck us this week was that the questions being asked by analysts about the chances of the California electorate saying yes to the online sports-betting proposition in November were being directed at the wrong people. Obviously, the operators are going to say they are hopeful. But as was made plain yesterday at the iGaming Next event in New York, it is the tribes that hold all the cards right now. Operators can update their TAM estimates all they want; but take the optimistic noises with a mountain of salt. So, California dreamin’ indeed. iGaming Next New York day oneTooth and nail: Richard Schuetz says the Californian tribes will go to the mat to stop the commercial operators’ ballot measure getting the votes it needs in November.
Further reading: Steve Ruddock at Wagers.com on why the news about the withdrawal of the tribal mobile sports-betting bill is hugely significant. “Its withdrawal will only help the retail initiative supported by tribes.” Deep in the heart of Texas: Schuetz was similarly downbeat on the prospects in one of the other big four. "I don't have much faith anything is going to happen in Texas." No rush: Canadian Gaming Association CEO Paul Burns said Ontario regulators are working on public reports for online sports-betting and iGaming revenue figures. He predicts the reports would come out quarterly, but it's “too early to know”. Gotta dance: Bloomberg LP analyst Brian Egger says about ESPN. "I'm sure there's an opportunity out there" but a "lot of the dance partners are taken". “They're trying to figure out the puzzle pieces,” he added.
Stick to what you know: Asked whether sports teams might look at cutting out the middleman and move to operate sports-betting themselves, Ron Skotarczak, chief of sales and marketing, Madison Square Garden Entertainment - the company behind the Kicks and the Rangers - said they “looked at it”.
On socialIf one looks at the Mt. Everest-like plot of DraftKings capitalized value against time, it really staggers the imagination to realize the incredible mythology that needed to be created to generate such a chart. @iGamingNEXT ** Sponsor’s message: Venture capital firm Yolo Investments is home to €551m of equity in more than 70 of the most exciting companies across fintech, gaming and blockchain. It continues to build one of gaming’s most dynamic portfolios as it eyes up seed and A-stage opportunities across the sector. Its dedicated 29-company, €183m AUM gaming fund already houses holdings in fast-growing suppliers and operators, including Kalamba Games, SimWin and ThriveFantasy. Yolo Investments is also on the lookout for LPs as it looks to scale new concepts, including its high roller live casino brand, Bombay Club. BetMGM analyst reactionPuts and takes: With BetMGM increasing its TAM estimates to $37bn to include California, the team at Jefferies noted that current “momentum remains strong, driven by the addition of 11 state activations”, although a California “opening would likely delay the FY23E profitability target”. Affirmation: Deutsche Bank said BetMGM reaffirmed 2022 forecasts of ~$1.3bn revenues and adjusted EBITDA losses of ~$430m.
Differentiator: Wells Fargo said BetMGM’s omni-channel offering is a differentiator in comparison to its digital-centric peers.
Leverage: Wells Fargo said that what was striking was that CPAs for MGM-sourced customers was just 29% as high as a non-sourced customer while predicted NGR is 190% that of a non-MGM sourced customer.
Implications: Jefferies noted that investors in parent company Entain were yet to truly understand the value being created by BetMGM.
Earnings in brief
NeoGames analyst calliLottery hopes: CEO Moti Malul said NGMS was currently offering iLottery products in ~10 states and was targeting another 35 states with the product. The group was looking at other major markets such as Brazil and its 26 region states.
Hunger games: “Our appetite hasn't stopped,” said Malul. “We are looking at opportunities at three or four verticals and one of them was gaming.
Analyst take: Jefferies said they continue to believe NeoGames is “uniquely positioned in a space with inherent stability and higher barriers to entry, which provide for profitability today”. Startup funding newsLay up: Video engagement operating system (VEOS) startup StreamLayer has announced that Las Vegas Sands is now one of its investors (amount undisclosed).
Sector watch - paymentsClear and present: Nuvei has partnered with Fifth Third Bank and The Clearing House to launch real-time deposits in the US through its real-time payments (RTP) network. Real-time deposits move from a player’s bank account to a merchant’s account by using the request for payment feature on the RTP network from The Clearing House and are then transferred in real-time.
Play it safe: The Paysafe and Playtech payments partnership the two companies run in the US has been extended to European markets and will see Playtech offer Paysafe’s payment solutions to operators through a single API. The companies have deployed the integration with operators betPARX in Pennsylvania and New Jersey and Play Gun Lake in Michigan.
Cashless wonders: Gaming-to-fintech provider Everi said its cashless QuikTicket and CashClub Wallet solutions generated nearly $350m (~3% ) of the $10bn worth of transactions it processed during Q1.
DatalinesIndiana Apr22: Sports betting handle was up 52.3% to $360m, GGR was up 42.7% to $28.6m. Casino revenues were up 6.1% to $215.3m. Regulatory roundupSport-betting regulation in Missouri will not be happening this year. The inclusion of video lottery terminals in the prospective sports-betting regulations sank the bill. Kansas Governor Laura Kelly has signed her state's sports betting bill into law, legalizing mobile and retail sportsbooks in the process. Kansas is the second state after Maine to legalize sports betting in 2022 and hopes to have the first legal sportsbooks up and running by the fall. NewslinesSuperfast: Super Group, the parent company of Betway, has appointed Natara Holloway and Jonathan Jossel to its board of directors with immediate effect. MLB in NFT deal: The MLB has named NFT collectibles startup Sorare as an official NFT gaming partner. The partnership will see the launch of an NFT-based fantasy baseball game during the 2022 MLB season. What we’re readingUnstable coin: Terra in trouble. Hype fuelled: Venture capital invests in NFTs. On socialEverything’s OK… Even though I think a less divisive candidate would be better in 2024, I still think Trump should be restored to Twitter Calendar
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