Finimize - 🤓 Should you cash in on Coinbase?

Brits are numbing the pain | China says "cut" |

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Today's big stories

  1. UK retail sales were up in April, as Brits hit the bottle
  2. Our analyst has looked into whether you should buy Coinbase now it’s fallen so far – Read Now
  3. China slashed a key interest rate, as it tries to piece itself back together

Under The Influence

Under The Influence

What’s Going On Here?

Data out on Friday showed UK retail sales unexpectedly jumped in April, then stumbled around a bit, then started a fistfight with a pigeon.

What Does This Mean?

After two consecutive months of declines, the number of goods sold in UK stores and online climbed 1.4% in April from the month before. That might not sound like much, but it blitzed the 0.2% drop economists were expecting at a time when inflation is at a 40-year high. Then again, the bulk of the gain was driven by an uptick in supermarket alcohol and tobacco sales. That not only suggests that the cost-of-living crisis is forcing Brits to entertain themselves at home, but that they’re plying themselves with liquor and cigarettes to sand the edges off this otherwise miserable existence. We know we are. Hic.

Why Should I Care?

Zooming in: Get used to this.
Economists haven’t been fooled by April’s retail rebound, arguing that things are only going to get worse – maybe even recession-worse – as Brits are forced to tighten their belts over the next few months. For one thing, the UK government has recently made the unsympathetic move of increasing both taxes and the limit on how much energy giants can charge customers. And for another, shoppers are forking out extra for just about everything: they spent 13% more than in a pandemic-free February 2020 last month, even though they only bought around 4% as many products.

The bigger picture: Recession warning.
Disposable incomes in Britain have now fallen almost as fast as they ever have done, which might be why data out last Friday showed UK consumer confidence fell to its lowest level in nearly 50 years this month (tweet this). It’s now sitting below an ominous level that’s generally preceded a big dropoff in household spending, which itself has gone on to lead to a recession.

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Analyst Take

Should You Cash In On Coinbase?

Should You Cash In On Coinbase?

By Jonathan Hobbs, Analyst

Coinbase made its stock market debut amid the euphoria of a crypto bull market.

And now, just over a year later, this pioneering crypto exchange has found itself 85% lower than when it listed, after crypto has fallen well and truly out of favor.

Still, consider that Cathie Wood’s Ark Invest – which invests in innovative companies with massive growth potential – has recently bought $30 million worth of the company’s stock.

The question, then, is whether the company has enough cash coming through the door to make it worthwhile, and whether its regulatory efforts will pay off in the long run.

So that’s today’s Insight: how Coinbase’s fundamentals and technicals are looking, and whether it’s a buy.

Read or listen to the Insight here

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Xi No Evil

Xi No Evil

What’s Going On Here?

China cut a key interest rate by a record amount in a bid to boost its struggling economy.

What Does This Mean?

China’s property slump and the government’s zero-Covid policy have left the country’s economy black and blue, with consumer spending and industrial output last month plunging to their lowest levels since the pandemic began. That’s left the country scratching its head as to how to mitigate the slowdown, and it seems to have hit upon a solution: it just announced a record cut to a key interest rate that underpins mortgage lending from 4.6% to 4.45%. The lower rate – which will be applied to new mortgages immediately and existing mortgages next year – is a significant move to boost demand for loans and prop up the country’s all-important property sector, which makes up around a quarter of the Chinese economy.

Why Should I Care?

The bigger picture: China has plenty in the tank.
China is under a lot of pressure to meet its own growth target of about 5.5% this year – a goal that’s looking increasingly unachievable as it keeps up its stubborn fight to eliminate Covid. But you can’t fault its chutzpah: Bloomberg estimates that the country will pump $5.3 trillion into its economy this year, in the form of government spending, interest rate cuts, and more. That figure equates to roughly a third of China’s economy, and it’s not even its upper limit: the country spent more on itself in 2020, suggesting it can raise the stakes even more if it needs to.

Zooming out:
China and America could do a switcheroo.
China might believe its growth target is still achievable, but economists at Bloomberg certainly don’t: they’re convinced China’s economy will grow just 2% this year, compared to the US’s 2.8%. If they’re right about that, it’ll be the first time since 1976 that China’s economic growth undershoots America’s.

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💬 Quote of the day

“Some people never go crazy. What truly horrible lives they must lead.”

– Charles Bukowski (a German American poet and novelist)
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🎉 Coming Up This Week

All events are in UK time.

🧐 A Guide To Investing In Derivatives: 6pm, May 23rd
📈 How To Invest Thematically: 12pm, May 24th
🎨 How To Build And Manage A Balanced NFT Portfolio: 5pm, May 24th
⚡️ How To Invest In The EV Revolution: 1pm, May 25th
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📱 How To Hedge Against The Chip Shortage: 1pm, May 30th
📉 A Guide to Automated Crypto Trading: 6pm, May 30th

💪 And Then After That…

♻️ How Green Bonds Can Fuel A Sustainable Future: 1pm, May 31st
🏆 Peer-To-Peer Vs. Crypto Exchanges: 5pm, May 31st
🎉 De-Mystifying Refi: 5pm, June 1st
🌿 How To Get The Green With Cannabis ETFs: 12pm, June 9th
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🌍 How And Where To Invest In Africa: 5pm, June 14th
🚀 Finimize NFT Fest: 12pm, 15th June
🤗 Investing In Metaverse Opportunities: 5pm, 23rd June
🏘 How To Diversify Your Crypto Investments Through Commercial Real Estate: 6pm, August 3rd
🏡 Tokenizing Real Estate: 6pm, September 13th

🎯 On Our Radar

  1. We’ve been robbed of fine art. Superbad nearly had its very own sequel.
  2. Inside the YouTube brain. Here’s what happens when you start living online.
  3. Why plan lunch when you can roll the dice? There’s nothing like a crab and spam sandwich.
  4. Help your elders. These mice could teach us how to improve our aging brains.
  5. How alarming. Apple’s in trouble.
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