Finimize - 🛢 Russian oil slipped

Lufthansa was a high achiever | Russian oil prices plummeted |

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Today's big stories

  1. Lufthansa joined its rivals in predicting a jet-powered recovery this year
  2. Here’s one way to make the most of the market’s volatility – Read Now
  3. Russia’s energy revenues have tanked in the last year

Plane And Simple

Plane And Simple

What’s Going On Here?

Lufthansa made the airline business look like child’s play, with high-flying results out on Friday.

What Does This Mean?

Airlines are back, baby. The performance of Air France-KLM and IAG suggested as much, and now Lufthansa – the final major European airline to report – has banished any lingering doubts. See, the German carrier said the number of passengers it flew last year more than doubled from 2021, and its operating profit swung into the black too. There was one caveat, though: those passenger and operating profit figures still fell short of pre-pandemic levels, by 28% and 34% respectively. But Lufthansa’s predicting another big upswing – and with demand for business travel and sunny summer getaways already strong, the firm could well be right. Investors were convinced, at any rate, bumping shares up by 5%.

Why Should I Care?

The bigger picture: Plane sailing.
Even Lufthansa’s long-haul business, which looked like it was toast not so long ago, is making a comeback. In fact, demand’s so strong that the firm’s gone and ordered 22 new widebody planes from Airbus and Boeing, in deals worth a total of $7.5 billion. And in good news for the struggling manufacturers, it seems that’s part of a trend: Airbus announced plans to ramp up production of its biggest planes just last month, in a bid to meet rebounding long-haul demand.

Zooming out: Final call.
Promising the stars is all well and good, but reaching them requires a rocketship – a tall order when it’s hard to board even a meager plane. See, understaffed and under-resourced airports caused all kinds of trouble last summer, and no one wants a repeat of those scenes this time around. That’s got Lufthansa scrapping some flights, and battle-scarred airports limiting capacity too.

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Analyst Take

How To Profit In A Range-Bound, Choppy Market

How To Profit In A Range-Bound, Choppy Market

By Theodora Lee Joseph, Analyst

Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) can be a great way to diversify, and they’re becoming more and more sophisticated.

Besides allowing you to gain easy exposure to a market index, some also allow you to hedge your currency or interest rate exposure. 

If you’re like me, with a soft spot for high-yielding assets but no strong view about where the market’s headed over the next 12 months – then it’s time to ask yourself whether a covered call ETF could work for your portfolio. 

They do well when market volatility is high, with potential yields of up to 13%.

That’s today’s Insight: the ETFs that could help you make the most of a range-bound, choppy market. 

Read or listen to the Insight here

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Steep And Slippery

Steep And Slippery

What’s Going On Here?

Data out on Friday showed that Russian energy revenues have fallen off a cliff.

What Does This Mean?

The EU and G7 both hit back after Russia invaded Ukraine last year. Europe slapped a ban on seaborne imports of Russian oil, and the G7 set a price cap on the nation’s slippery elixir. And those sanctions are hitting Mother Russia where it hurts: the nation’s key oil export blend has tanked in value, fetching about half what it sold for a year ago. That financial pinch couldn't have come at a worse time either. The war in Ukraine is already putting a serious strain on the country’s coffers, and now February’s revenue from oil and gas taxes – which accounts for a big chunk of government income – has come in 46% below the same time last year.

Why Should I Care?

Zooming in: Perilous production.
Those sanctions might have hit the price of Russian oil, but production hasn’t taken a dip – at least not yet. But some experts think Russia could have trouble extracting oil before long, with the exodus of international firms leaving the country without the technical know-how and up-to-date equipment to tap trickier reserves. That means Russia’s oil output could drop by as much as 20% by 2030.

The bigger picture: Long-haul hurt.
Russia's economy held up better than expected last year, sure, but the country’s stats don’t bode well for ordinary citizens’ confidence. Retail sales dropped for the tenth straight month in January, and increasing numbers of Russians are saving instead of spending. Plus, hundreds of thousands of citizens have already fled to avoid being conscripted. In short, even if the war ended tomorrow, it would probably still take years for Russia’s economy to recover.

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💬 Quote of the day

“I hate housework. You make the beds, you do the dishes, and six months later you have to start all over again.”

– Joan Rivers (an American entertainer)
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CHART OF THE WEEK

Nvidia smashed through analysts’ expectations last quarter, thanks in no small part to its artificial intelligence (AI) chips picking up the slack from a lagging PC market. And the future’s full of promise for the chipmaker: AI’s rise toward probable world domination – think software like ChatGPT and Microsoft Bing’s AI chatbot – is a prime opportunity for Nvidia’s processors, capable of training and running machine learning software. That means the firm’s data center segment could take off over the coming quarters, and may soon make up an even bigger chunk of Nvidia’s overall revenue.

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🥳 Coming Up Soon…

All events in UK time.

💸 How To Pick Winning Exchange-Traded Funds: 5pm, March 7th
🌥 Do Recessions Have A Silver Lining?: 5pm, March 8th
🌎 Three Ways Long-Term Investors Can Act On Climate Change: 12pm, March 21st
🚀 What Will Be The Next Big Thing In Artificial Intelligence?: 1pm, March 22nd

🎯 On Our Radar

  1. No more meme stocks. The money’s pouring in again – but this time it’s a whole lot smarter.
  2. Japan’s expanding. The country just realized it has 7,000 more islands than it thought.
  3. Sleep paralysis sucks. Here’s why you see those hair-raising ghosts when you’re only half awake.
  4. Miserable millions. A bumper inheritance can be a problem when everyone you know wants a cut.
  5. AI’s the MVP. Artificial intelligence is helping scouts spot new soccer superstars.
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