PitchBook News - VC valuations feel the squeeze

Also: PE's new healthcare play; Carbon fintech and green construction opportunities; Crypto stabilizes after months of decline; The dawn of the AI era
Read online | Don't want to receive these emails? Manage your subscription.
PitchBook
Log in
The Research Pitch
May 13, 2023
Presented by CIBC Innovation Banking
Ads
Dawn of a new AI era: If you missed it, our Emerging Tech Future Report on generative AI examines how the new tech could transform a wide range of sectors. Get our deep dive into the age of AI: read the research.

Sneak peek: We'll give our new Carbon & Emissions Tech Report a wide release on Monday, covering the latest VC activity in the vertical and emerging areas like green construction. To access the research early: click here.
 
Headwinds continue to squeeze US VC valuations and deal sizes
Rising interest rates, a lack of liquidity via public markets, and the newly added stress of regional bank collapses exacerbated the difficult dealmaking environment for startup founders in Q1.

Across all stages but seed, median pre-money valuations and deal sizes continued their descent, further widening the gap from the record-high figures of the prior two years.

We expect the more formulaic nature of seed deals and the increased participation of larger, multistage investors to shield this stage from the broader compression. But the data also shows survivorship bias, as seed deal activity has declined significantly and a flight to quality is in effect.

Wavering confidence in the venture strategy has sidelined capital and led to the pullback of most nontraditional investors, impairing later-stage activity. For startups, this has made securing needed capital even more difficult, with the capital-demand-to-supply ratio spiking to new highs.
 
Source: PitchBook's VC Dealmaking Indicator

Despite the dreary dealmaking metrics, determined market participants have found opportunistic footholds, as bargaining power swings further in investors' favor.

More structured equity deals that include provisions for downside protection, dividends, and participating shares are all up for consideration, mitigating risk for investors and preserving startup valuations.

Much speculation remains as to when valuations will bottom out and paths to liquidity will reopen. Most startups are biding their time, taking on debt, or cutting costs, but others—particularly in the life sciences sector—need public markets to access large amounts of capital for clinical trials and R&D. Half of the public exits in Q1 were in the healthcare space.

How long other startups can maintain operations without exit opportunities is a question that will likely be teased out in coming quarters through increasing down rounds.

For more data on valuations and other deal terms, download our free US VC Valuations Report.
 
Best,

Max Navas
Analyst, Venture Capital
Share: Email LinkedIn Twitter Facebook
PE finds a new healthcare play in cardiology
Roughly one in every 10 dollars invested by private equity in the US flows into healthcare services.

PE's foray into healthcare delivery began with investments in surgical centers in the earliest days of the asset class and has since expanded to touch virtually every outpatient provider type.

So it is noteworthy when a new healthcare play opens up.

Since 2021, cardiology has drawn growing PE investor interest, and there are currently five PE-backed groups (four of them operational) in the US.
 
The hottest new PPM play for PE.

Cardiology benefits from compelling demand trends—around half of adults in the US have some form of cardiovascular disease. It also turns on two secular trends shaping the US healthcare industry as a whole: site-of-care innovation and value-based care.

The site-of-care theme broadly involves moving healthcare delivery from the inpatient (hospital) setting into other sites that offer equivalent or better care quality while reducing costs and providing a more convenient patient experience—e.g., outpatient centers, homes, retail centers, virtual modalities.

In the case of cardiology, technological progress has enabled more cardiovascular surgical procedures to be performed in ambulatory surgical centers instead of hospitals. This allows PE investors to back independent cardiovascular physician groups.

There is also a significant value-based care opportunity in cardiovascular care since heart disease is a high-spend category that can see improved patient outcomes via chronic condition management, lifestyle improvements, and preventative care.

Our new healthcare services research dives into these opportunities in cardiology, as well as the risks, which include a limited supply of targets and the potential for changing reimbursement dynamics.

It also charts the continued cooling off of PE deal activity in healthcare services broadly—Q1 notched the fifth straight quarter-on-quarter decline—amid a "new normal" of higher interest rates, lower leverage ratios, and sluggish exits.

Download our Q1 2023 Healthcare Services Report.
 
Best,

Rebecca Springer, Ph.D.
Senior Analyst, Healthcare Lead
Share: Email LinkedIn Twitter Facebook
 
Industry & Tech Research  
 
Challenges for consumer-facing fintech startups have driven investors toward B2B opportunities.

And while we expect VC investment in fintech to continue to fall, a less crowded B2C market does have its upsides.

Our Retail Fintech Report explores recent VC trends in the vertical and also highlights emerging long-term opportunities in sectors like digital financial passports and open-loop peer-to-peer payments:
read a free preview
 
 
After the collapse of FTX and a wobbly few months of fluctuating valuations, crypto has stabilized.

But a lot of the damage has been done, as Q1 marked the fourth straight quarter of declining deal activity and the lowest quarter for capital since 2020.

Our new Crypto Report covers the data and also where the vertical is growing most, highlighting segments where startups are working on privacy, data management, and security for Web3 protocols:
read a free preview
 
 
Webinars & Events  
 
This week, our analysts teamed up with our product department to demonstrate our new PitchBook Platform tool, the VC Exit Predictor.

Our webinar covered:
  • Current trends in the VC exit market and what the future holds in 2023

  • How our teams think about developing IP on top of our massive datasets

  • How to use the VC Exit Predictor to support your market research and deal-sourcing workflows
Watch the replay
 
In the News  

Our insights and data featured in the press:
  • "We've seen a lot of these large firms just add a seed strategy to their investment base that allows them to increase the pool of LPs, and they'll get those LPs that want a little higher risk in their portfolio." [Fortune]

  • The estimated market for generative AI in enterprise technology will rise to $98 billion in 2026 from nearly $43 billion this year. [WSJ]

  • Tech startups find one of their last funding sources—venture debt—is drying up. [Bloomberg]

  • The firms most likely to have stopped funding crypto altogether are generalists who have probably moved on to AI. [Forbes]

  • Deals between European PE firms have been halved on an annual basis as rising rates hit. [FT]

  • Decreasing valuations in healthcare may force PE firms to accept that a wait-and-see approach is no longer viable. [Institutional Investor]
If you're a journalist interested in interviewing our analysts or requesting data, contact our PR team.
 
ICYMI  

Highlights from our other recent research:

Market updates
Thematic research
Industry & tech research
Coming next week (subject to change)
  • European VC Valuations Report
  • Global League Tables
  • Supply Chain Tech Report
  • Foodtech Comp Sheet & Valuations Guide
  • Analyzing Public Venture Lending Earnings
 
A message from CIBC Innovation Banking  
Grow with confidence
Navigate your growth with a leading North American bank that understands the innovation economy.

Learn more
Share: Email LinkedIn Twitter Facebook
 

Thanks for reading! Feel free to email us any time with feedback, questions, or tips!

Learn more about the PitchBook Institutional Research Group, meet our analysts, or access our research libraries for clients and non-clients.

Did someone forward this newsletter to you? Sign up at pitchbook.com/subscribe.
 
 
Since yesterday, the PitchBook Platform added:
15
VC valuations
920
People
282
Companies
14
Funds
See what our data software can do
 
About PitchBook | Terms of use | Advertise with us | Contact
Follow us: in twtr fb

This email was sent to you via the PitchBook Platform.

Do you want to change your email address, get a different edition or unsubscribe? Manage your subscription here.

© 2023 PitchBook. Win what's next. All rights reserved.

Key phrases

Older messages

SoftBank's Vision Funds hemorrhage $39B

Friday, May 12, 2023

Unpacking crypto's potential; Survey: VC investors bet on AI; Amino Health bags $80M; enterprise tech exits fall Read online | Don't want to receive these emails? Manage your subscription. Log

Cardiology defies healthcare services slump

Friday, May 12, 2023

Will private debt fill the bank loan void?; synthetic biology energizes agtech; startups seek SAFE notes Read online | Don't want to receive these emails? Manage your subscription. Log in The Daily

VC valuations extend slump

Friday, May 12, 2023

First Citizens vies to retain SVB clients; private market trends at Milken; stormy skies for European fintech valuations; Petal grabs $35M Read online | Don't want to receive these emails? Manage

Investors pan for retail fintech gold

Tuesday, May 9, 2023

Mayfield raises $955M; female founders' funding flounders; Liquido emerges from stealth with $26M Read online | Don't want to receive these emails? Manage your subscription. Log in The Daily

A bumpy ride for insurtech

Monday, May 8, 2023

Down rounds not a problem for unicorns, yet; VC's busiest investors in gaming deals; Ace Turtle grabs $34M Series B Read online | Don't want to receive these emails? Manage your subscription.

You Might Also Like

Epic hack: +600% increase

Tuesday, April 23, 2024

Today's hack ʺAcquiring other websitesʺ growth strategy starts from $50 on a website auction Flippa.com What do you think when you hear about the "acquiring other websites" strategy? I

Hindenburg unwind nears end

Tuesday, April 23, 2024

Also in today's edition: Deadly sugar and spice; What's on the other side of polls ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏

FOD#49: Llama 3 + Electric Atlas

Tuesday, April 23, 2024

two releases that potentially can blur the lines between software and hardware ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌

This site did something 99% of sites don't do

Monday, April 22, 2024

And Google loves them for it ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌

Rank an AI Content Website in Google...Challenge Complete!

Monday, April 22, 2024

Over the past 6 months I've been holding a challenge with 143 participants to build a NEW site using AI Content. 6 Months ago was right in the middle of the HCU. The challenge is ending in the

95% of Bitcoin Now Mined Post-Halving

Monday, April 22, 2024

Plus Halving Day Sees Highest Ever Miner Fees ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌

📊 Lies, Damn Lies & Newsletter Stats

Monday, April 22, 2024

Newsletter Metrics, Another Newsletter Sale & An ESP Tiers Up ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌

How brand publishers are thriving in the age of retail media

Monday, April 22, 2024

With RMNs, publishers are driving revenue and enhancing user experience ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌

Get more high-value customers in 3 steps

Monday, April 22, 2024

Today's Guide to the Marketing Jungle from Social Media Examiner... Presented by Social Media Marketing World logo Tomorrow is Impossible 🧑‍🚀 Astronaut Day, Reader... Shout-out to all you fellow

Emergency AI broadcast tomorrow

Monday, April 22, 2024

Want to use AI to automatically generate revenue on ClickBank without getting banned? View in browser ClickBank You'll definitely want to be on tomorrow's emergency broadcast ... Because we