Bloomberg - Evening Briefing - Self-fulfilling prophecy

Bloomberg Evening Briefing

The downgrade of America’s credit rating by Fitch, which sought to justify the move in part by warning of Washington dysfunction, may end up causing a lot more of it. Fitch concluded that the consequences of gridlock, like the catastrophic default almost triggered by Republicans earlier this year, are further tarnishing America’s economic standing. Now, fresh fiscal brinkmanship is brewing among GOP members that threatens to do more damage. Congress left for an extended August recess without resolving conflicts over spending and social issues, raising the risk of a government shutdown when federal funding runs out after Sept. 30. Fitch’s rating determination has emboldened Republicans to try and demand fresh spending cuts as their price for avoiding a shutdown. One problem, however, is that the Fed will be making a key interest-rate decision in September, and the increased likelihood of a lengthy shutdown could upset its bid for a soft landing. Such a standoff “could make it even more difficult for the Fed,” says Gennadiy Goldberg, senior U.S. rate strategist at TD Securities. “It could lead to the Fed potentially missing a fall pivot point.” 

Here are today’s top stories

PayPal Holdings is rolling out a stablecoin, the first by a large financial company and a potentially significant boost to the sluggish adoption of digital tokens for payments. Stablecoins—crypto tokens that are pegged to an asset like the dollar—have been around for almost a decade, but they’re mostly used by traders to move digital assets between exchanges and have made limited inroads into consumer payments. 

Cathie Wood predicts that the US Securities and Exchange Commission may approve multiple spot-Bitcoin ETFs at the same time, reversing an earlier view that her firm would be first in line to get potential approval for the long-awaited product. “I think the SEC, if it’s going to approve a Bitcoin ETF, will approve more than one at once,” the ARK Investment Management CEO says.

Banks seeking to sell commercial-property loans are encountering a dried-up market with few options for an easy exit. Lenders including Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan have been trying to sell debt backed by offices, hotels and even apartments in recent months, but many are finding that tidying up loan books is no easy feat when concerns about commercial real estate have surged.

Yellow Corp. filed for bankruptcy and will remain shuttered—throwing 30,000 people out of work. The US carrier will sell its warehouses and trucks in order to repay a massive government loan and another $485 million in debt it owes private lenders. During the pandemic, Yellow received a $737 million loan from the Trump administration. The debt made up 95% of what was dispersed under a Cares Act program to offset losses for businesses critical to national security, but Congressional investigators last year concluded the Yellow Corp. was in fact ineligible for the loan.

Photographer: David Paul Morris/Bloomberg

An unusual sighting of a Russian military jet in North Korea is stoking concern that Kim Jong Un is selling Vladimir Putin weapons as ties strengthen between the sanctioned states. Neither Russia nor North Korea have reported on the plane, and it is unclear who was aboard.

The World Health Organization issued a global alert about a cold medicine made in India that was contaminated with toxic chemicals. A batch of Cold Out syrup made last year “is unsafe and its use, especially in children, may result in serious injury or death,” the WHO said Monday. It’s the sixth warning the WHO has issued in the past year regarding syrup medications tainted with poisonous industrial solvents, and the fifth tied to an Indian manufacturer. 

Gautam Adani, Jack Dorsey, Carl Icahn. Nate Anderson has picked them off one by one. In mere months this year, he erased as much as $99 billion of their combined wealth while knocking $173 billion off the value of their publicly traded companies. In an era when prominent short sellers have retreated from the limelight, the deft researcher has emerged as the gutsiest bear around. Allies say he’s risking lawsuits, physical attacks and potentially even overseas arrest. The surprise is that Anderson, 39, who runs tiny Hindenburg Research with a team of roughly a dozen researchers, probably reaped relatively small profits from those fights.

Nathan Anderson Photographer: Bryan Anselm/Redux

What you’ll need to know tomorrow

Hamptons Party People Worry About New York

In a tent decorated with pineapples and rattan chandeliers, former hedge fund manager John Paulson watched the Broadway theater owner James Nederlander raise his paddle and donate $65,000. The genteel moment Saturday night at Southampton Hospital’s 65th annual Summer Party was a stark contrast to the one Paulson recounted about a recent day in Manhattan. At a Duane Reade on Fifth Avenue, he says he watched someone empty shelves to fill a cart and walk out without paying. “New York City is definitely deteriorating, the quality of life and the quality of services,” the billionaire says. As for the tony Hamptons, Paulson reassures that all is well. “Southampton is an oasis, it’s so well run,” he says. “It’s quiet, services are excellent, crime is very low,”

Alina de Almeida and John Paulson Photographer: Amanda Gordon/Bloomberg

Older messages

US ratings hit

Saturday, August 5, 2023

Bloomberg Weekend Reading View in browser Bloomberg It was a torrid week for the bond market, a lackluster week for Apple and a mostly positive week for global economic data. China's central bank

Cool jobs data

Friday, August 4, 2023

Bloomberg Evening Briefing View in browser Bloomberg New US jobs numbers Friday seem to add insult to injury for Team Recession as data show the labor market cooling just enough, adding more support to

CEOs join the party

Thursday, August 3, 2023

Bloomberg Evening Briefing View in browser Bloomberg Another day brings another wave of mea culpas over the US recession that never happened. Indeed, there are increasing signs that CEOs don't

The price of retirement

Wednesday, August 2, 2023

Bloomberg Evening Briefing View in browser Bloomberg Workers are finding it harder to save for retirement, even as the amount they need keeps rising. The average savings target in the US is now $1.8

The big one

Tuesday, August 1, 2023

Bloomberg Evening Briefing View in browser Bloomberg In the most serious prosecution leveled against him yet, a federal grand jury in Washington has accused Donald Trump of crimes related to his

You Might Also Like

Longreads + Open Thread

Saturday, September 21, 2024

Shopify, Spam, Fintech, Oil, China, Revenue, Degrowth, Books Longreads + Open Thread By Byrne Hobart • 21 Sept 2024 View in browser View in browser Today's issue of The Diff is brought to you by

🇺🇸 Big US firms said no to ESG

Friday, September 20, 2024

The end of ESG, an intimidating pile of British debt, where pros would invest a windfall, and the social magic of spin classes | Finimize TOGETHER WITH Hi Reader, here's what you need to know for

A Month in the Life of a Compliance Officer

Friday, September 20, 2024

When Compliance Goes Wrong ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏ ͏

Harry's Rant 9-20-24

Friday, September 20, 2024

Harry's Rant September 20, 2024 ​ More economists and experts are seeing no recession now, and the Fed just started easing again to stimulate. Harry's challenge is simple: The longest and

🇮🇳 India beat China

Thursday, September 19, 2024

India's stocks overtook China's in a benchmark index, Swiss watchmakers gave a signal for luxury markets, one of Reddit's biggest mysteries| Finimize TOGETHER WITH Hi Reader, here's

3 reasons to refinance your student loan

Thursday, September 19, 2024

Take advantage of the rate cut When student loan refinance may be a good idea? Dropping When interest rates are dropping The Fed's 0.5% rate cut this week could mean lower student loan interest

Two months free for the asking—no strings

Thursday, September 19, 2024

Action required... ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌

Spruce Up Your Living Room Without Spending A Dime 🛋️

Thursday, September 19, 2024

Enter for a chance to win a new couch. ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌

John's Take 9-19-24 China Implosion

Thursday, September 19, 2024

​ ​ China Implosion by John Del Vecchio Last week, I shared one of my favorite charts showing that the amount of stock bought on margin is exploding. The chart illustrates that many speculators are

🫨 Inflation, greedy jobs, and fall events

Thursday, September 19, 2024

Plus what you can do about high car insurance, and how to calculate investable assets. ͏ ‌  ͏ ‌  ͏ ‌  ͏ ‌  ͏ ‌  ͏ ‌  ͏ ‌  ͏ ‌  ͏ ‌  ͏ ‌  ͏ ‌  ͏ ‌  ͏ ‌  ͏ ‌  ͏ ‌  ͏ ‌  ͏ ‌  ͏ ‌  ͏ ‌